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Goldman Sachs10 min

The Future of Airline Travel

Greg Lee, Liz

Interview

The global airline industry is navigating an unprecedented existential crisis characterized by a 50% to 75% revenue collapse, forcing carriers to rely on massive government stimulus and innovative financing tools such as leveraging frequent flyer programs and airport slots. Executives at major carriers like American Airlines, Delta, and Lufthansa are executing deep cash-flow stress tests and securing capital through diverse instruments including rights offerings and preferred stock to survive the prolonged liquidity crunch. While recovery timelines are projected to extend until 2022 or 2023 with a staggered return of demand starting in leisure sectors, the sector is adapting to permanent structural changes in hygiene protocols and testing capabilities.