The global economy in 2075: Growth slows as Asia rises

Goldman Sachs Research has released its 2024 iteration of the long-term global economic forecast, extending the projection horizon to 2075 across 104 economies to analyze structural drivers like demographics and productivity. The study predicts a global population peak of 10 billion by 2050, which will decelerate growth but enable low-income emerging markets to continue converging with developed nations, ultimately driving China to overtake the US economy by 2035 and India to catch up by 2075. While these structural trends support a shift of investment and corporate expansion toward emerging markets, the outlook remains vulnerable to specific risks including rising protectionism and climate change impacts on vulnerable economies.