Time to buy bonds?

Despite a macroeconomic shift toward higher inflation and lower growth driven by tariff announcements since April, the 10-year Treasury yield has remained stable while credit spreads have partially recovered from their initial widening. Goldman Sachs Asset Management has strategically increased portfolio duration and favored Investment Grade credit over High Yield, citing bond outperformance versus equities and the U.S. dollar's status as a global safe haven. Although the firm acknowledges an increased recession probability and sector divergence within travel, it concludes that current market pricing does not yet fully reflect downside risks, prompting continued allocation to structured credit opportunities.