Latest Interviews
Showing 61–75 of 88 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs31 min
What’s ahead for economies and markets in 2023?
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects a 35% probability of a U.S. recession in 2023 despite a baseline forecast for positive growth driven by cooling inflation and a labor market correction via reduced job openings. The firm anticipates Federal Reserve funds rates peaking between 5% and 5.25% by May, followed by a pause and potential cuts in late 2024 as inflation targets 3%. While U.S. equity valuations remain constrained by tight labor and rich pricing, emerging markets and Europe offer deeper discounts supported by anticipated global growth recovery and a structurally weakening dollar.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
M&A in 2023: A complex but optimistic outlook for deal-making
Stephan Feldgoise, Mark Sorrell, Alison Nathan, Stefan Felgoys
The 2022 M&A market experienced a sharp downturn in the second half driven by rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty, which caused private equity activity to slow while strategic deals and mega-transactions remained resilient due to strong balance sheets. As valuation gaps widened between public and private sectors, boards shifted their focus from growth multiples to cost of capital, prompting a surge in structured transactions and increased activism targeting operational improvements. Looking toward 2023, Goldman Sachs projects a recovery fueled by record private capital liquidity and attractive valuations, provided financing markets stabilize enough to allow debt syndication without prolonged deal delays.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
What’s next for crypto regulations?
Jay Clayton, Timothy Massad, Marcel Kasumovich, Gary Gorton, Alison Nathan
Following the collapse of major industry players like FTX, former SEC Chair Jay Clayton and former CFTC Chair Timothy Massad advocate for immediate joint standards and a self-regulatory organization to address jurisdictional gaps while enforcing existing laws. This proposed framework aims to balance innovation with investor protection by establishing common rules for asset custody and fraud prevention, despite ongoing debate over whether the current regulatory environment suffers from a lack of clarity or inadequate federal oversight. While experts agree on the resilience of underlying blockchain technology, consensus is shifting toward the imminent introduction of stablecoin regulations and potential Central Bank Digital Currencies to mitigate systemic financial risks.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
The Outlook for Financial Services
Richard Ramsden, Alex Blostein, Alison Nathan
Banking executives report strong current performance and record-low loan losses despite widespread market fears of a recession, as capital markets and M&A activity remain suppressed by high interest rates and valuation resets. Strategic priorities are shifting toward digitalization, alternative assets, and energy transition to counter margin compression, while lenders maintain stable underwriting standards and anticipate a gradual normalization of credit conditions. Although investors anticipate a recovery in capital market activity in the second half of 2023, the sector continues to navigate significant uncertainty regarding unemployment, commercial real estate values, and the broader macroeconomic impact of Federal Reserve tightening.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Asset Allocation Outlook for 2023: Greater Diversification and Divergence
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analyzes 2022's market turbulence, where real yield spikes and inflation-driven volatility caused equities and crypto to decline while commodities and the US dollar surged, fundamentally breaking traditional asset correlations. Looking ahead to 2023, the firm forecasts a high probability of recession and persistent market volatility as investors shift from the "TINA" narrative to seeking reasonable fixed income alternatives and real assets. Strategically, the outlook suggests avoiding overvalued cyclical equities while capitalizing on valuation discounts in international markets and a potential rotation away from the US dollar as it peaks.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Europe’s Energy Crisis: End in sight or far from over?
Samantha Dart, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan
Europe is navigating the current energy crisis with a heightened risk outlook driven by mild weather and robust gas storage, yet structural supply gaps and delayed LNG projects will necessitate recurring demand management through 2024. While geopolitical sanctions and price caps aim to redistribute Russian oil flows, Goldman Sachs forecasts Brent crude reaching $115 per barrel alongside a projected Eurozone recession starting in late 2022 due to persistent inflation. Ultimately, the region faces a volatile trajectory where industrial activity is already contracting and government interventions risk creating future fiscal cliffs if weather patterns turn colder or China's demand rebounds.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Investing with Oaktree Capital Management’s Howard Marks
Howard Marks, Katie Koch, Alison Nathan
Howard Marks characterizes the mid-2022 market environment as a corrected balance where significant public equity markdowns have created attractively valued opportunities absent from private markets. Rejecting macroeconomic forecasts, Marks outlines Oaktree's crisis strategy of deploying capital when others retreat, a methodology built on historical conditioning and the principle that price matters more than asset quality. His 35-year partnership with Bruce Karsh further reinforces this discipline through complementary governance, ensuring joint conviction remains high during market dislocations.
- Goldman Sachs33 min
How Companies are Navigating the Energy Transition
Giulia Chierchia, Michele Della Vigna, Alison Nathan
Amidst a historic energy investment shortfall and geopolitical disruption from Russia's invasion of Ukraine, major integrated oil companies like BP are pivoting to balance decarbonization targets with energy security. BP aims to reduce its hydrocarbon portfolio by 40% by 2030 while investing billions in green hydrogen and renewable assets to reach net-zero emissions, viewing natural gas as a critical transition fuel. Simultaneously, the broader industry leverages these strategic shifts and aggressive capital allocation to attract valuation re-ratings as renewable technologies become more economically viable despite near-term supply chain inflation.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Investing with The Carlyle Group’s Sandra Horbach
Sandra Horbach, Alison Mass, Alison Nathan
In a May 23, 2022 conversation, Sandra Horbach of the Carlyle Group discusses the private equity industry's evolution from a niche sector to a mainstream asset class while detailing Carlyle's specialized investment strategies focused on market leaders and ESG integration. Horbach outlines the firm's aggressive diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives, including a compensation-linked mentorship program and a $2 million award pool, aimed at empowering women to secure high-impact leadership roles. Addressing current macroeconomic headwinds, she advises prioritizing companies with resilient business models capable of thriving through volatility while reflecting on her 35-year career trajectory from her early days at Forsman Little to her current advocacy for long-term, quality-driven value creation.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
The Boom in Private Credit
Lotfi Karoui, James Reynolds, Alison Nathan
On June 21, 2022, market participants discussed how the private credit sector has evolved from a niche alternative into a $1.2 trillion mainstream asset class that now rivals public high-yield and syndicated loan markets in size. The discussion highlighted that direct lending strategies offer borrowers bespoke, flexible financing structures while attracting a diversified investor base, yet the sector faces immediate pressure from rising interest rates that threaten borrowers with unsustainable capital structures. Despite concerns over potential defaults and future regulatory scrutiny, experts argued that direct lending remains structurally sound compared to the 2008 crisis due to lower leverage levels, locked-in capital alignment, and minimal asset-liability mismatches.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon on the Economy, Investing and Sustainability
David Solomon, Valentijn van Nieuwenhuijzen, Alison Nathan, Valentine Van Nieuwenhuizen
Goldman Sachs has completed its acquisition of NN Investment Partners to significantly expand its European asset management platform and accelerate its sustainable investing capabilities under CEO David Solomon's four-year strategy. While the transaction strengthens the firm's fee-based revenue streams and operational scale, Solomon warns that clients should brace for increased market volatility and a heightened recession risk in Europe driven by energy supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions. The integration aims to combine NNIP's sustainability expertise with Goldman's global capital resources to deliver active returns that outperform passive benchmarks amidst the current uncertain economic climate.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Investing with Norges Bank Investment Management’s Nicolai Tangen
Nicolai Tangen, Katie Koch, Alison Nathan
Nikolai Tangen, chief executive of Norges Bank Investment Management, directs the world's largest sovereign wealth fund as it navigates a projected decade of stagflation and geopolitical instability through tactical portfolio adjustments and a rigorous negative selection strategy. Leveraging an interrogative background and a philosophy of active ownership, Tangen emphasizes capitalizing on undervalued opportunities in markets like China while excluding companies with weak balance sheets to preserve the fund's $1.3 trillion in long-term assets. His approach integrates diverse intellectual perspectives and a commitment to transparency, as evidenced by his "Good Company" podcast and a pledge to donate most of his personal wealth to educational initiatives.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Cybersecurity Deals Surge Amid Rising Attacks
David Campbell, Marco Poletti, Alison Nathan
Driven by projected cyber losses soaring to $10 trillion by 2025, the sector attracted over $30 billion in investment last year while facing an attack surface that has diversified from centralized data centers to cloud and IoT endpoints. Organized crime currently dominates the threat landscape, prompting a strategic market shift toward M&A consolidation, simplified security stacks, and defensive spending that is forecasted to exceed $100 billion. Investors, including Goldman Sachs Asset Management, are prioritizing early-stage platforms with proven teams and robust AI capabilities to navigate regulatory tightening and a global shortage of security professionals.
- Goldman Sachs33 min
Investing with KKR’s Joe Bae
Joe Bae, Alison Mass, Alison Nathan
KKR co-CEOs Joe Bay and Scott Nuttall oversee the firm's evolution from a pure capital provider into a global solutions provider managing a multi-asset portfolio while navigating macroeconomic shifts like supply chain resiliency and the energy transition. Under their leadership, KKR has expanded significantly into Asia and life sciences while prioritizing diversity initiatives that have increased female junior hiring to over 50% and established board diversity targets for portfolio companies. Complementing these business strategies, the firm launched the Asian American Foundation to combat anti-Asian hate and is actively investing over $27 billion in sustainability themes to address long-term social and environmental challenges.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Investing with Advent International’s Tricia Glynn
Tricia Glynn, Alison Mass, Alison Nathan
Advent International's Tricia Glynn outlines a strategy for navigating a volatile macroeconomic landscape by prioritizing governance, downside control, and data-driven insights to drive growth at scale. The firm leverages its global network to advance decarbonization efforts and transfer cross-border technologies like live selling while championing aggressive Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion goals for 2030. Glynn concludes that future investment success will depend on balancing rigorous analytics with human-centric leadership to attract top talent in a transformed labor market.