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  1. Goldman Sachs27 min

    Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 3: Assets and Allocation

    Peter Oppenheimer, Kamakshya Trivedi, Daan Struyven, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alyssa Nathan

    A 2026 global equity strategy forecasts sustained optimism driven by profit growth and moderating inflation, with a strategic tilt toward undervalued emerging markets and AI application sectors. The outlook anticipates a depreciating US dollar and a tail end of global easing, prompting portfolio managers to favor equities over credit while hedging against stretched valuations through diversified alternatives. Simultaneously, commodities are positioned for divergence, featuring a base case for a 10% gold rally and strategic long exposure to local US power markets fueled by surging AI data center demand.

  2. Goldman Sachs22 min

    Oil’s extended reign? Adapting to a new era in oil markets

    Daan Struyven, Nikhil Bhandari, Alison Nathan, Dan Stroivin

    Goldman Sachs projects global oil demand will peak around 2034 rather than 2024, driven by emerging market growth in India and China where jet fuel and petrochemical consumption continue to rise despite stagnating EV sales in developed economies. The bank forecasts Brent crude to trade between $75 and $90 per barrel through 2026, supported by OPEC spare capacity, before supply risks intensify in the latter half of the decade due to underinvestment in long-cycle projects and structural tightness in the refining sector. Political outcomes in the 2024 US election may further influence prices through potential sanctions on Iran or changes to EV incentives, with the firm recommending gold over oil as a primary hedge against policy-driven inflation.

  3. Goldman Sachs21 min

    Shifting supply and demand dynamics buffer oil market

    Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stryven

    Brent crude currently trades near $80 per barrel with a modest geopolitical risk premium, supported by U.S. supply dominance and OPEC+ strategies to avoid extreme price spikes that could hinder Saudi Vision 2030. While global demand faces downside risks from China, growth in India and the United States keeps prices range-bound, with refined products and gasoline expected to hit summer peaks of $3.70 per gallon due to refining tightness. Simultaneously, the market anticipates a structural shift toward critical minerals like copper as EV penetration rises, while European natural gas markets face potential oversupply by 2026 and gold prices rise on expectations of lower U.S. interest rates.

  4. Goldman Sachs28 min

    What the Russia-Ukraine Conflict Means for the Global Economy and Markets

    Daan Struyven, Peter Oppenheimer, Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan

    Amidst the Russia-Ukraine conflict, global economic conditions have tightened by 50 basis points, prompting Goldman Sachs to revise inflation forecasts upward to 5.4% in the Euro area and anticipate a reduction in global growth. Central banks are navigating a bimodal trade-off between rising energy-driven inflation and growth risks, with the Federal Reserve projecting 11 rate hikes in 2023 and the ECB adopting a data-dependent strategy while Germany increases defense spending. To mitigate these shocks, strategic asset allocations are shifting toward commodities, energy equities, and safe-haven currencies like the US dollar and Canadian dollar, while European fiscal policy pivots toward energy security and refugee support.

  5. Goldman Sachs26 min

    The Delta Variant: Implications for Vaccines, Booster Shots and Economic Growth

    Terence Flynn, Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan

    Global discussions on the Delta variant highlight its heightened transmissibility and the robust protection of mRNA vaccines against severe disease, even as efficacy against mild symptomatic infection varies by region. Industry strategies are shifting toward booster programs for high-risk populations and the development of multivalent vaccines to address waning immunity and emerging threats. Concurrently, economic forecasts have been revised downward due to persistent case spikes in specific regions, supply chain bottlenecks, and consumer risk aversion slowing recovery in the United States and Asia-Pacific.