Alyssa Nathan
Showing 1–3 of 3 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 3: Assets and Allocation
Peter Oppenheimer, Kamakshya Trivedi, Daan Struyven, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alyssa Nathan
A 2026 global equity strategy forecasts sustained optimism driven by profit growth and moderating inflation, with a strategic tilt toward undervalued emerging markets and AI application sectors. The outlook anticipates a depreciating US dollar and a tail end of global easing, prompting portfolio managers to favor equities over credit while hedging against stretched valuations through diversified alternatives. Simultaneously, commodities are positioned for divergence, featuring a base case for a 10% gold rally and strategic long exposure to local US power markets fueled by surging AI data center demand.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Will Fed policy trigger a US recession?
Allison Nathan, Claudia Sahm, Bill Dudley, Rob Kaplan, Alyssa Nathan
Following the technical activation of the Sahm Rule in July 2024, leading economists are divided on the likelihood of an imminent U.S. recession, with estimates ranging from Goldman Sachs' 20% probability to Bill Dudley's 60% forecast based on conflicting interpretations of labor supply shifts and demand destruction. While Fed Chair Powell signals impending rate cuts, experts like Claudia Sahm and Dudley warn that monetary policy risks lagging behind structural economic shifts, potentially turning a soft landing into an unforced recession if the central bank fails to act decisively. The prevailing base case anticipates a mild downturn or no contraction if the Federal Reserve successfully lowers borrowing costs, though divergent views persist regarding whether current unemployment data reflects a genuine demand shock or a temporary labor force anomaly.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Beyond roads, bridges, and tunnels: the megatrends shaping infrastructure investments
Teresa Mattamouros, Alyssa Nathan
The global infrastructure sector has expanded from traditional physical assets to include critical data centers and renewable energy projects, driven by a fourfold demand for decarbonization, digitization, deglobalization, and demographic shifts that currently outpace the trillion-dollar gap between public spending and estimated needs. Legislative frameworks like the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act have accelerated this transition by unlocking over $400 billion in private capital for clean power and manufacturing, contrasting with Europe's more rigid, top-down regulatory approach while offering investors inflation-protected returns and portfolio diversification. Despite these opportunities, the long-duration nature of these assets exposes them to risks from geopolitical instability and interest rate fluctuations, which may complicate refinancing and delay large-scale capital commitments.