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  1. Bank of America24 min

    Declining costs mean more rising rockets; launch costs key for space industrialization

    Ron Epstein, TJ Thornton

    This analysis details how the aerospace industry's pursuit of full reusability, led by SpaceX's Starship program, aims to slash launch costs from $1,000 to $100 per kilogram to unlock a lunar economy and orbital data centers. While engineering hurdles like thermal management in space remain solvable, this cost reduction is projected to catalyze exponential market growth in satellite broadband, in-orbit manufacturing, and national security surveillance. Ultimately, the sector's future viability hinges on overcoming reusability thresholds and resolving unresolved regulatory frameworks regarding lunar resources and orbital debris.

  2. Bank of America24 min

    From sports to pop culture: Prediction markets $1 trillion bet

    Julie Hoover, TJ Thornton

    By early July 2026, prediction market volume surged to $13 billion weekly as incumbents like DraftKings and FanDuel launched vertical exchanges while Kalshi captured 4 million new users during the FIFA World Cup. The sector now approaches parity with traditional U.S. sports betting handle, driven by institutional adoption of earnings hedges, retail crypto trading, and a strategic expansion into non-traditional demographics through pop culture markets. Despite these gains, the industry faces significant regulatory uncertainty with active lawsuits in multiple states and a anticipated U.S. Supreme Court ruling on sports event contracts expected by 2027.

  3. Bank of America30 min

    Positive structural case for EM won’t collapse under a few Fed hikes

    David Hauner, David Beker, TJ Thornton

    BFA Global Research maintains a structurally bullish stance on emerging markets despite tactical caution driven by anticipated Federal Reserve rate hikes and geopolitical tensions in Iran. The firm forecasts that while US economic exceptionalism and strong dollar dynamics pose near-term risks, a strategic buying opportunity is expected in 2027 as global inflation declines and the dollar weakens. Specific market analyses highlight significant volatility in Brazil ahead of its October election and an asymmetric investment thesis for China, where undervalued currencies and strong exports contrast with weak domestic demand.