Latest Interviews

Can Donald Trump secure a deal with Cuba? | The Economist

Donald Trump, Dr Christopher Sabatini, David Rennie, Sarah Birke, Christopher

A proposed transactional framework seeks to secure Cuban economic relief, including lifting the oil embargo, in exchange for a credible multi-party election plan. Key figures like Marco Rubio and Donald Trump aim to satisfy the Cuban-American voting bloc by offering a political roadmap that prioritizes economic liberalization over immediate regime change. Despite skepticism regarding the administration's long-term commitment, proponents argue that even a flawed agreement could dismantle the current stagnant leadership structure.

Is global culture dead? | The Economist

Tom Wainwright, Adam Roberts

Contrary to the expectation of cultural convergence, streaming data from 2019 to 2025 reveals a sharp global rise in local artist representation as audiences prioritize national identity over global homogeneity. This shift has compelled major platforms like Netflix to abandon failed "global first" productions in favor of domestic-focused strategies, while democratized technology and user-driven algorithms have further suppressed elite curation in favor of hyper-local viral trends. Consequently, charts in nations from Brazil to Mexico now show dominant local shares, with only specific language-sharing or Anglophone outliers remaining significantly influenced by foreign content.

Why are young Indians joining the Cockroach Janta Party? | The Economist

Tom Sasse, Rosie Blau

Launched by Boston-based consultant Abhijit Dipka as a satirical response to a Supreme Court Justice's remark, the "Cockroach People's Party" evolved into a physical street protest in Delhi where 1,000 to 2,000 young Indians demanded the resignation of the Education Minister over exam scandals. While the movement has amassed millions of digital followers and frames the unrest as a reaction to systemic failure and economic stagnation, analysts caution that its impact is limited by a lack of organizational cohesion and the ruling BJP's continued popularity among the youth. Although street politics has historically driven change in India, observers suggest this specific mobilization remains in its infancy and lacks the sustained leadership necessary to challenge the government effectively.

The Outlook for AI-Related Stocks and US Interest Rates

Muhammad Qubbaj, Chris Hussey, Mohamed Koubaj

In an interview on the Goldman Sachs trading floor, Mohamed Koubaj analyzed how recent Non-Farm Payrolls and CPI data shifted market expectations from rate cuts to hikes while geopolitical tensions and stretched equity valuations fueled volatility. Koubaj characterizes the current AI rally as a generational opportunity anchored by real earnings, yet warns that debt-funded investment structures could face stress in the credit market within 12 to 18 months as leverage cycles normalize. Looking ahead to the upcoming FOMC meeting, he anticipates a consensus-driven approach under Chair Jerome Powell to balance resilient labor data against sticky inflation, with Middle East developments remaining a critical variable for oil price stability.

Can Trump's UFC fight restore his popularity among men? | The Economist

Trump, James Bennett, John Prideaux, Charlotte Howard

The administration's strategy of framing political support for President Trump as a performance of masculinity, exemplified by a scheduled White House UFC event, is failing to retain young male voters who prioritize tangible economic improvements. Despite efforts to rally this demographic through masculine posturing, the lack of a manufacturing renaissance and persistent issues with affordable housing have weakened the correlation between voting for Trump and feelings of manliness. Consequently, the political landscape reflects a deeper structural crisis where the administration's narrative of blaming external forces contradicts the lived reality of job markets and challenges the historical Republican archetype of the protective "daddy party."

Can the US-Iran ceasefire hold? | The Economist

Gregg Carlstrom, Rosie Blau

Iran violated a US-mediated ceasefire by launching ballistic missiles against Israel in response to unauthorized Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon, prompting immediate Israeli retaliation against Iranian military and industrial sites. While President Trump publicly rebuked Prime Minister Netanyahu for undermining the agreement, the US administration is simultaneously working to restrain further escalation without directly engaging in combat. This cycle of limited strikes and diplomatic maneuvering now tests the stability of the fragile truce, with the future of the peace deal hinging on Washington's ability to enforce strict limits on Israeli operations.

What SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic's IPOs mean for investors | The Economist

Joshua Roberts, Jason Palmer

SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are executing simultaneous "giga IPOs" projected to inject up to $4 trillion into the US stock market, driven by urgent capital needs and a strategic push to capitalize on AI-driven market euphoria. While index providers plan to rapidly integrate these valuations into benchmarks like the S&P 500 within days, analysts warn that high price-to-sales multiples and historical IPO underperformance trends suggest significant risks of price volatility and subsequent declines for early investors. This surge marks a structural shift where tech giants prioritize massive capital raising over shareholder returns, potentially reversing previous capital flows as firms speculate on future revenue streams like Mars colonization and space-based data centers.

Copper: AI Hype or Supply Squeeze?

Adam Crook, Tony Kim

A commodities strategist analyzes the divergence between gold's resilient safe-haven performance during the Iran conflict and the skepticism regarding its near-term upside caused by shifting macro rates. The trader assesses silver's limited upside potential due to its tight correlation with gold, while maintaining a neutral stance on copper despite AI-driven demand narratives that conflict with current global surplus levels. Finally, the outlook for aluminum projects a temporary physical deficit and price appreciation through summer before a surplus is expected to emerge following the resumption of Middle Eastern production later in the decade.

Why are Gen-Z socialists obsessed with taxing billionaires? | The Economist

Generational shifts are driving a move from traditional progressive taxation toward novel levies on immovable wealth, exemplified by New York's new pied-à-terre tax on non-resident luxury properties. While economists debate whether targeting static assets like real estate avoids the innovation-killing pitfalls of direct billionaire wealth taxes, the discourse is increasingly expanding to include inheritance reform and one-off proposals in states like California. As AI-driven IPOs generate new ultra-high-net-worth individuals, this debate is poised to redefine fiscal policy beyond the narrow "billionaire" label in both the US and UK.

Will European Equities Outperform the S&P?

Sharon Bell, Chris Hussey

European equities have surged to near all-time highs driven by a 6–7% average upgrade in earnings estimates within the commodity and financial sectors, supported by resilient economic growth and planned German fiscal spending. Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month Euro Stoxx 600 forecast to 660, citing the region's broader market breadth and the underappreciated potential of heavy asset companies in defense, aerospace, and utilities that are benefiting from global infrastructure and defense spending. While analysts project high single-digit returns for Europe over the coming year, the market is expected to trail U.S. and Asian performance due to lower energy independence and the concentration of tech dominance in American hyperscalers.

Rising airfares no match for a consumer going full throttle on experiences

Andrew Didora, TJ Thornton

Presented at the May 20th BVA conference, airline executives and analysts projected flat domestic capacity for mid-2026 to match a 21% year-over-year fare increase while relying on AI to optimize margins rather than drive demand. Concurrently, leisure market data highlights a persistent K-shaped recovery where premium segments like cruises and wellness outperform, supported by high-income consumers less sensitive to rising prices. Sector outlooks indicate that capacity discipline will remain the primary airline strategy throughout the second half of 2026, contingent on geopolitical stability and oil price trends.

Conductor CEO Charlie Holtz Walks Us Through His AI Coding Setup

Charlie Holtz

Charlie, co-founder of Conductor, leads a team developing a macOS application that orchestrates multiple coding agents to generate software primarily in TypeScript and Rust. The platform enforces a strict non-terminal workflow where AI handles code generation while humans intervene only through specific review modes to maintain quality and prevent error cycles. With a strategic focus on high-efficiency model selection and a future roadmap emphasizing malleable, modifiable agents, Conductor positions itself as a tool that shifts software value from code itself to human-authored prompts and descriptions.

Must Read Research: Size of the Market, World Cup & Paper Goods, Energy Contingencies, and LatAm ...

Candace Browning

Market analysis highlights record U.S. equity holdings and a 40% S&P 500 concentration in Big AI firms, while the North American World Cup is projected to drive beverage demand and aluminum packaging premiums. Simultaneously, investors await oil price shocks below $65 per barrel despite robust long-term supply from the Permian and Canada, and Latin American macro stability hinges on the 2026 election cycle, particularly Brazil's ability to meet its fiscal surplus targets.

Who will be California’s next governor? | The Economist

Charlotte Howard, James Bennet, Aryn Braun, Tom Steyer, Xavier Becerra, Steve Hilton

A contentious California gubernatorial runoff looms as a referendum on the state's affordability crisis, featuring progressive challenger Tom Steyer's aggressive advertising campaign against incumbent Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton's tax-cut proposal backed by Donald Trump. Critics argue that decades of co-opted ballot measures and structural fiscal deficits under Governor Gavin Newsom have driven out-migration and created recurring budget holes, fueling a narrative of state dysfunction that Republicans hope to exploit for a rare statewide victory. The election outcome will ultimately determine whether voters prioritize the status quo or support significant policy shifts intended to reverse California's economic decline and reverse its demographic power loss in Congress.

Why it’s so much harder to hide on the battlefield | The Economist

Adam Roberts, Shashank Joshi, Raleigh, Anshul

The Ukrainian conflict has transformed into a translucent battlefield where ubiquitous sensors and cheap precision munitions have expanded kill zones to over 30 kilometers, forcing soldiers to face near-certain death from saturated airspace. Top Ukrainian commanders have leveraged this "democratized precision" to inflict monthly casualty rates of 35,000 on Russian forces, effectively testing the limits of Russia's training capacity through a strategy designed to bleed the adversary dry. While this environment empowers weaker nations to challenge superior adversaries, the high lethality of modern drone swarms simultaneously renders traditional amphibious assaults and major ground invasions increasingly untenable for global powers like China.