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  1. Goldman Sachs20 min

    Why Japanese Stocks Could Keep Rallying

    Bruce Kirk, Alison Nathan

    Driven by Prime Minister Senei Takeuchi's snap election victory, Japanese equities have surged 14% year-to-date in 2026, outperforming US benchmarks and triggering a Goldman Sachs price target increase based on anticipated political stability. This supermajority is expected to facilitate long-term policy continuity, attracting foreign capital as investors anticipate concrete corporate governance reforms and accelerated ROE growth to sustain the current market cycle. While risks such as leadership transitions or policy missteps remain, the landslide win signals a transition into a "delivery phase" where structural economic security and defense clarity ahead of the March 19 summit will likely drive further valuation expansion.

  2. Goldman Sachs8 min

    Tech Comeback Ahead?

    Peter Callahan, Mike Washington

    In 2026, the technology sector is experiencing a 3% to 4% year-to-date decline and lagging the broader market for the first time in 15 years as investor focus shifts from generative AI infrastructure builds to commercial implementation and revenue verification. Despite "best-in-class" earnings growth across the Mag Seven cohort, equity valuations remain suppressed because companies face intense pressure to convert massive capital expenditures into immediate top-line growth within the next 6 to 24 months. Analysts maintain a constructive outlook on clean tech valuations but anticipate high volatility in the coming weeks as the market transitions from sector-wide moves to stock-specific differentiation.

  3. Goldman Sachs16 min

    The New AI Trades

    Ryan Hammond, Allison Nathan

    In early 2026, software stocks suffered a 25% valuation collapse as forward earnings multiples compressed, while investors grappled with AI-driven disruption risks across sectors like legal and media. Simultaneously, five U.S. hyperscalers are projected to spend $660 billion on capital expenditures this year, a surge consuming 90% of their operating cash flows that has forced reduced buybacks and increased debt reliance. Amidst these headwinds, Goldman Sachs forecasts an S&P 500 recovery driven primarily by 12% fourth-quarter earnings growth and a market rotation toward cyclical sectors rather than AI-centric leaders.

  4. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Still Bullish on Gold

    Lina Thomas, Chris Hussey

    Competing demand from central banks and private investors is driving a self-reinforcing rally in gold prices, while Goldman Sachs forecasts a 2026 target of $5,400 based on declining Federal Reserve rates and fiscal debasement fears. The silver market is experiencing extreme volatility due to a severe liquidity squeeze in London vaults, which Goldman Sachs expects to persist despite the metal's potential as a speculative vehicle. Although geopolitical tensions are fueling broader commodity stockpiling, the firm distinguishes gold's constrained supply as superior to the scalable nature of non-precious metals like copper, which limits their capacity for a sustained super cycle.

  5. Goldman Sachs13 min

    Stock Market Shakeout

    Shawn Tuteja, Chris Hussey, Sean Tatasia

    Following the most significant volatility since the onset of the COVID pandemic on February 4th, U.S. equities underwent a structural risk reduction driven by excessive long positioning rather than a fundamental market shift. Despite record shorting activity and a divergence between legacy tech and cyclical sectors, the bull market thesis remains intact supported by 11% earnings growth and strong macroeconomic indicators. Market strategists now recommend capitalizing on the recent dip by shifting focus toward the "AI productivity" phase, targeting non-technology companies like banks and retailers that leverage artificial intelligence to improve margins.

  6. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Finding Opportunities in Financials

    Christian DeGrasse, Chris Hussey

    Recent earnings revisions and a widening yield curve have driven upward momentum for large and regional banks, supported by improved loan growth and resilient consumer credit quality. Despite a recent sell-off in technology and private credit sectors, analysts view the financial industry as undervalued with positive catalysts expected from upcoming regulatory clarifications and AI-driven operational efficiencies. Looking ahead to 2026, the sector is projected to modestly outperform, although investors remain cautious about potential macro risks such as rising unemployment and soft pricing in the property and casualty insurance market.

  7. Goldman Sachs16 min

    Poppi Founders: Disrupting the Beverage Industry

    Stephen Ellsworth, Vanya Kasanof, Allison

    Founders Allison and Steven transformed their apple cider vinegar discovery into Poppy, a modern soda brand that leveraged aggressive marketing tactics like a record-breaking Super Bowl campaign and strategic Amazon launches to bypass traditional industry barriers. Prioritizing long-term brand awareness and cultural agility over immediate sales metrics, the team executed rapid product iterations and viral content strategies that ultimately drove the company toward a two-year acquisition by Pepsi. This sale secured the distribution scale necessary to fulfill the founders' mission of revolutionizing soda consumption, successfully transitioning the brand from a niche startup to a mainstream competitor for the next generation.

  8. Goldman Sachs12 min

    Long Gold and Long Stocks

    Anshul Sehgal, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs' Anshul Sehgal characterizes the current economic landscape as an ambiguous phase driven by a projected $1 trillion AI capital expenditure wave, which he compares to a new industrialization era comparable to Detroit's mid-20th century automotive boom. While anticipating a bimodal distribution for Federal Reserve interest rates, Sehgal argues that structural disinflationary forces from technology and demographics will likely offset inflationary pressures from geopolitical fragmentation and a shifting global reserve asset mix toward gold. Consequently, the firm advocates a portfolio "barbell" strategy balancing growth equities with physical commodities to navigate potential K-shaped labor market shifts and capitalize on expected double-digit global growth over the next decade.

  9. Goldman Sachs16 min

    How AI is Driving Drug Discovery: Xaira Therapeutics' Marc Tessier Lavigne

    Marc Tessier Lavigne, Sonia Gupta

    Zara Therapeutics CEO Mark Tessier Levine is applying a three-pillar strategy combining AI-driven design, massive-scale biology, and clinical experience to disrupt an industry where 90% of drug candidates currently fail. By leveraging frontier models from David Baker and over $1 billion in funding, the company targets undruggable proteins and aims to reduce development timelines from five years to under two. This approach shifts the paradigm from intuitive trial-and-error to a systematic, in silico process designed to fundamentally increase clinical success rates.

  10. Goldman Sachs12 min

    “A Massive Broadening Trade”

    Rich Privorotsky, Chris Hussey

    Global markets are pivoting from a narrative of fading geopolitical risk to one dominated by Japanese bond volatility and a surging "real asset" rally driven by central bank diversification and inflation expectations. While U.S. mega-cap tech faces valuation compression due to AI investment concerns, capital is rotating aggressively into emerging markets and cyclical sectors like Greek banks to capitalize on a broader pro-growth strategy. As investors await critical tech earnings and Federal Reserve leadership nominations, the primary market risk remains a potential shift from rate cut expectations to aggressive hikes should U.S. labor data stabilize.

  11. Goldman Sachs14 min

    Which Equity Markets Will Outperform?

    Kunal Shah, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs Co-CEO Kunal Shah outlined a robust 2026 U.S. economic outlook featuring 2.8% GDP growth driven by AI-fueled capex and easing financial conditions, while warning of elevated leverage and political risks to central bank independence. The firm forecasts balanced returns across U.S., European, and Asian markets despite divergent drivers, noting that excess savings in non-U.S. regions are shifting toward domestic spending rather than external deficits. In strategic asset allocation, the firm highlights Treasury bonds for diversification if labor markets weaken and recommends gold as a hedge against de-dollarization, though it cautions against shorting credit spreads due to their historically tight levels.

  12. Goldman Sachs9 min

    Emerging Markets Could Keep Surging

    Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs projects MSCI Emerging Markets equities to deliver 15% returns in 2026, driven by attractive valuations, a weaker dollar, and a strategic preference for broad diversification over concentrated bets on China. The firm highlights Latin America, particularly Brazil, as a primary growth engine ahead of anticipated interest rate cuts, while also championing an "EM AI" sector expected to outperform US peers with 30% earnings growth. Analysts Stratford Dennis and Chris Hussey advise investors to monitor upcoming US employment data for Federal Reserve clarity while positioning portfolios in Taiwan, Korea, and Brazil to capture these specific opportunities.

  13. Goldman Sachs12 min

    Oil Market Impacts from Venezuela

    Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan

    Following the U.S. capture of President Maduro and the installation of an interim government, Venezuela's political transition has triggered a muted market reaction while positioning heavy crude supply for potential growth through 2030. Goldman Sachs projects that increased U.S. reinvestment could boost daily output from 800,000 to 2 million barrels, creating symmetrical short-term volatility but ultimately depressing global prices by approximately $4 by the end of the decade. Concurrently, the geopolitical fracture has driven gold prices up nearly 3% as major powers compete for commodity dominance, with U.S. refiners and energy firms poised to capitalize on the realignment of heavy crude flows toward the West.

  14. Goldman Sachs11 min

    “We Like Bonds”

    Lindsay Rosner, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs interprets recent U.S. labor data as a temporary distortion driven by the government shutdown, maintaining that the economy remains soft rather than collapsing while projecting only two Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2025. The firm advocates for an intermediate-duration bond strategy between two and five years to balance yield pickup against global term premium risks, avoiding the longer end of the curve despite tight corporate credit spreads. Market outcomes will likely pivot on whether AI-driven productivity achieves a disinflationary expansion or if a sharper labor deterioration prompts a more aggressive monetary response from the central bank.

  15. Goldman Sachs9 min

    2026 Outlook: The U.S. Is the Place to Be

    Ashok Varadhan, Tony

    Market analysts project a 2026 economic landscape characterized by moderating inflation and a terminal federal funds rate near 3% amid a moderate easing bias. While artificial intelligence investment drives corporate capital expenditure and shifts narratives toward enterprise adoption, equity markets remain resilient with no identified frothiness despite potential credit supply pressures. Strategic guidance for investors emphasizes avoiding recency bias while anticipating policy stability from tariff adjustments and a historically swift execution of administrative priorities.