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  1. Goldman Sachs53 min

    The CARES Act and its Impact on the US Economic Outlook

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alec Phillips, Jan Hatzius, William G. Gale, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani, Bill Gale

    On March 31, 2020, Goldman Sachs hosted a client call featuring Chief Economist Jan Hatzius and external fiscal experts to analyze the CARES Act and downgrade the 2020 U.S. economic outlook to a record contraction. The discussion detailed the legislation's targeted relief components, including expanded unemployment benefits, direct stimulus checks, and $46 billion in aid for the airline industry, alongside projections that Q2 GDP will fall approximately 10% with net debt-to-GDP rising above 100%. Despite these severe short-term headwinds, experts concluded that low interest rates and the Federal Reserve's potential $4.5 trillion lending capacity would likely prevent a sovereign debt crisis.

  2. Goldman Sachs58 min

    An Update on the Economic and Public Health Implications of Coronavirus for Europe

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Dr. David Heymann, Sven Jari Stehn, Silvia Ardagna, Peter Oppenheimer, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani

    Hosted by Goldman Sachs on March 26, 2020, a panel of infectious disease experts and economists analyzed the severe impact of the coronavirus on Europe, highlighting Italy's high mortality due to demographic factors and early hospital overload while noting a potential 9% GDP contraction in the Euro area by year-end. In response to the crisis, European central banks and governments deployed unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures, including unlimited asset purchases and corporate loan guarantees, though fragmentation within the Eurozone contrasted with more coordinated US actions. Despite the deepening economic downturn, equity strategists noted that market valuations have reached historic lows, projecting a high probability of double-digit returns over the subsequent 24 months as earnings decline stabilizes.

  3. Goldman Sachs1h 22m

    A Coronavirus Update with Leading Health Experts and Business Leaders

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Dr. Thomas Schinecker, Steve Rusckowski, Dr. Leonard Schleifer, Stéphane Bancel, Pablo Tebas, Peter Slavin, Dr. Barry Bloom, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani

    Hosted by Goldman Sachs on March 20, 2020, industry leaders including Regeneron's Dr. Leonard Schleifer, Moderna's Stefan Bancel, and Quest Diagnostics executives detailed rapid advancements in diagnostic scaling, therapeutic trials, and vaccine development. The panel highlighted that while testing capacity is projected to meet demand within weeks, critical bottlenecks in PPE and supply chains persist, prompting urgent calls for Defense Production Act mobilization to protect healthcare workers. Simultaneously, experts outlined aggressive timelines for Moderna's mRNA vaccine reaching healthcare workers by late 2020 and emphasized that sustainable economic recovery relies on serologic testing and strict social distancing to prevent a predicted second wave.

  4. Goldman Sachs16 min

    Why Investing in the Longest Bull Market in History is Still a Smart Move

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Jake Siewert, Jake Seward

    Goldman Sachs Private Wealth Management's 2020 "Room to Grow" report argues that the current economic expansion will likely persist through 2020, citing favorable central bank policies, a low 20% recession probability, and balanced market conditions that support an 87% chance of positive returns. The firm recommends a strategic overweight in U.S. equities driven by superior demographics and productivity, while cautioning that high capital gains taxes make it inefficient for investors to sell assets waiting for a market dip. Although the analysis acknowledges short-term volatility from geopolitical tensions and the coronavirus outbreak, it projects that disinflationary trends and robust household balance sheets will allow underlying economic growth to reassert itself within months.

  5. Goldman Sachs14 min

    "Catch-Up With David": with Goldman Sachs' Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, David Solomon

    A senior Goldman Sachs executive outlines a continued strategic overweight in US equities, attributing this "American preeminence" to robust institutions, favorable demographics, and resilient political structures despite rising geopolitical risks. While identifying the evolution of the US-China relationship as the primary external threat, she argues that historical precedents and strong institutional safeguards make the US economy uniquely positioned to withstand internal and external shocks. Drawing on a diverse personal background spanning engineering and diplomacy, she reinforces her investment thesis through decades of client management and significant philanthropic efforts in foreign policy and healthcare sectors.