Latest Interviews
Showing 346–360 of 1,193 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs27 min
US presidential elections outlook: Implications for policy and markets
Joe Wall, Alec Phillips, Alison Nathan
The 2024 U.S. presidential election, held on November 5, presents significant market volatility risks as former President Donald Trump leads the Republican primary against Nikki Haley despite facing 91 criminal indictments. The general election outcome will likely be decided by seven competitive states, with third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. polling at historically high levels that could impact Democratic margins in a race where economic concerns regarding inflation and tariffs dominate voter sentiment. Political analysts project that a divided government or an all-Republican victory is more probable than a Democratic sweep, with fiscal policy heavily dependent on whether the 2017 tax cuts are extended and how proposed tariffs are implemented.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Nature Conservancy’s Jennifer Morris focuses on the global food system and climate change
Jennifer Morris, Anna Skoglund
Jennifer Morris, President of The Nature Conservancy, outlines a strategic shift toward measurable 2030 goals targeting the annual removal of three gigatons of carbon and the protection of 650 million hectares of land through direct corporate engagement and innovative finance. By executing $1.2 billion in debt-for-nature swaps across four nations and forging joint ventures like Pacific Island Tuna with Walmart, the organization leverages market mechanisms to fund conservation while mitigating sovereign debt and over-exploitation risks. This approach combines rigorous data tracking with a "problem-solver" philosophy that integrates agricultural transition and corporate partnerships to achieve the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C target.
- Goldman Sachs54 min
KKR's Henry Kravis on private equity, culture, and global markets
In an October 2023 interview, KKR co-founder Henry Kravis outlines the firm's evolution from a $120,000 startup to a $520 billion alternative investment manager while detailing its transition to a co-CEO leadership model under Joe Bae and Scott Nuttall. The discussion highlights KKR's distinct value creation philosophy that aligns management and shareholder interests through owner-operator capital requirements, alongside a strategic "lean in" approach to market downturns focused on operational efficiency. Kravis further addresses the firm's broader macroeconomic outlook regarding sustained inflation and geopolitical risks, while emphasizing its internal "Ownership Works" culture and philanthropic commitment to education and social mobility.
- Goldman Sachs35 min
Uncharted territory: Navigating a ‘geopolitical recession’
Jared Cohen, Ian Bremmer, Allison Nathan
Former State Department official Jared Cohen and political analyst Ian Bremmer describe a global "geopolitical recession" where domestic political pressures in the US and China have eroded traditional governance, creating a credibility deficit that forces all sectors into the crossfire of great power rivalry. While the Middle East conflict has isolated Washington and empowered Iran, strategic stabilization has emerged in US-China relations driven by Beijing's economic fragility, leaving a leadership void that can only be partially filled by climate cooperation. The speakers advise businesses to abandon pure efficiency for "intellectual efficiency," targeting geopolitical swing states like India and the Gulf nations to navigate an era defined by fragmented trade blocs and supply chain weaponization.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Planning portfolios for 2024: Goldman Sachs leaders discuss
Brittany Boals Moeller, Amal Alibair, Matt Weir
Financial strategists advise clients to lock in higher rates on long-term bonds and maintain a U.S. asset overweight due to superior institutional stability and GDP growth. The firm implements disciplined cash deployment tranches to mitigate inflation erosion while prioritizing private markets for persistent alpha, specifically targeting top-quartile managers and themes like supply chain infrastructure. This approach integrates multi-generational legacy planning with philanthropic goals, emphasizing early education and structural diversification to ensure long-term purchasing power.
- Goldman Sachs33 min
Asset allocation outlook: The case for greater portfolio diversification in 2024
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs Research and Asset Management teams project a 2024 landscape defined by a strategic rotation out of underweight cash holdings toward a rebalanced 60-40 equity-bond mix to capitalize on normalizing inflation and renewed diversification benefits. While the U.S. economy is identified as late-cycle with a 30% recession probability, the firms recommend extending fixed income duration, utilizing equity put options for downside protection, and increasing exposure to private markets and real assets to navigate persistent structural inflation and AI-driven productivity divergence. This comprehensive strategy aims to achieve a soft landing by hedging against rising credit delinquencies and supply pressures while actively capturing alpha in a higher-rate environment where zero-interest rates are not expected to return.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
Focus on financials: Why banks and asset managers are constructive about the economy in 2024
Richard Ramsden, Alex Blostein, Alison Nathan
Financial institutions now anticipate a soft landing with reduced recession risks, driven by stable deposit flows and a shift toward a higher-for-longer interest rate environment. While commercial lending stagnates due to tightened underwriting and regulatory capital requirements, the private credit sector is expanding rapidly as non-bank lenders absorb displaced loan demand. Concurrently, banks are fortifying reserves against commercial office real estate exposure and navigating a contentious regulatory framework that could further compress traditional intermediation while accelerating industry consolidation.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Middle East risks
Edward P. Djerejian, Emile Hokayem, Alison Nathan
Former U.S. Ambassador Edward Jerijian and IIS Senior Fellow Emile Hokeyem analyze how the October 7th attacks successfully recentered the Palestinian cause while triggering a broader regional conflict involving Iran-aligned groups in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen. Experts warn that although Hamas has achieved its goal of ending the marginalization of Palestine, Israel remains committed to its military destruction while facing significant risks of miscalculation due to Hezbollah's involvement and disruptions to global oil flows. The prevailing consensus identifies a two-state solution as the only viable long-term resolution, yet current Israeli political constraints and the absence of credible Palestinian leadership render such a framework impossible in the immediate future.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
M&A in 2024: Navigating opportunities and challenges
Stephan Feldgoise, Mark Sorrell, Allison Nathan
Following a 2023 period defined by valuation misalignments and high interest rates, the M&A market is experiencing a surge in dialogue and specific sector activity driven by resilient natural resources, healthcare, and stable industrial performance. While private equity deal volume has contracted due to financing costs, corporate buyers have maintained robust activity and public-to-private transactions have reached record levels to address pressure on portfolio monetization. Looking ahead to 2024, experts anticipate a normalization of interest rates and reduced inflation will catalyze a rebound in technology deals and strategic spinoffs, with international activity expected to trail the US market by several months.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Why the global economy and markets can continue to outperform in 2024
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs reports that the global economy outperformed 2023 forecasts, with the U.S. avoiding recession through post-pandemic normalization while equity markets mispriced resilience against aggressive rate hikes. Looking ahead to 2024, the firm projects modest global growth and declining inflation, predicting that risky assets like equities and commodities will outperform cash as central banks approach a peak in policy rates before gradual cuts begin in the second half of the year. Despite elevated long-term interest rates and geopolitical risks such as Middle East tensions, the investment strategy emphasizes a shift toward diversified portfolios to capitalize on AI-driven earnings and supply-side commodity pressures.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Unlocking the AI M&A Supercycle
Jung Min, Matt Lucas, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs' latest analysis characterizes the current generative AI boom as a transformative, economy-wide shift driven by chat interfaces and algorithmic leaps, while noting that widespread enterprise adoption remains in a nascent phase. Investment capital is currently concentrated on infrastructure components like semiconductors and data centers, leading to a shift in public market valuations toward tangible results rather than speculation. Although acquisition activity is temporarily constrained by strategic uncertainty, future M&A waves and significant economic productivity gains are projected to emerge once regulatory frameworks stabilize and enterprise spending matures over the coming decade.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Commercial real estate risks
Scott Rechler, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Alison Nathan, Sten van Nuremberg
Distinguished voices Scott Reckler and Sten van Nieuwerberg diverge on the severity of the commercial real estate crisis, with Reckler predicting a bifurcated market and slow stabilization by 2025 while van Nieuwerberg argues for a structural decline affecting even premium assets. Both experts warn that $2.6 trillion in maturing loans and restrictive lending standards will trigger a "train wreck in slow motion" forcing the conversion of obsolete office space, though physical constraints limit viable housing transitions to a small fraction of the stock. Consequently, regional banks face severe distress as asset values plummet 40–60%, potentially wiping out equity and precipitating a banking consolidation comparable to the 1980s S&L crisis or a mild recession driven by a credit crunch.
- Goldman Sachs34 min
Colossal Biosciences’ Ben Lamm sees ‘de-extinction’ as vital to fighting climate change
Ben Lamm, Amit Sinha, George Church
Co-founded by CEO Ben Lamb and geneticist George Church, Colossal Biosciences leverages multiplex CRISPR editing to restore extinct species like the woolly mammoth as functional tools for Arctic climate mitigation and biodiversity preservation. The company has secured $225 million in funding to execute a for-profit model generating revenue through carbon credits and ecological services, while simultaneously advancing spin-off technologies in artificial wombs and human medicine. By reintroducing megafauna to the Arctic, Colossal aims to lower ground temperatures and store carbon, with subsequent targets including the Thylacine and Dodo to address global ecological voids.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Robert Rubin: The biggest risks to the US economy are political, not financial
Robert Rubin, David, Bob Rubin
Former Treasury Secretary Bob Rubin outlines a philosophy where all decision-making must rely on probabilistic assessments rather than certainties, a principle that guides his assessment of current systemic stability and global risks. He identifies political dysfunction in the United States as the primary threat to the economy, while arguing that governments, not corporations, must lead the transition on climate change and international cooperation with China. Drawing from his decades at Goldman Sachs, Rubin emphasizes that sustainable success requires intense focus balanced with institutional support for employees to navigate an uncertain future where guarantees are nonexistent.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
Emerging market equities poised to overtake developed market equities
Presentations by financial strategists project a structural shift where emerging market equity capitalization rises to 55% of the global total by 2075, driven primarily by the transition of private assets to public markets and sustained GDP growth in nations like India and China. While demographic shifts and potential protectionism pose risks, the long-term outlook favors diversifying away from US exceptionalism toward a globally balanced portfolio to capture higher earnings growth and rising valuation multiples. This strategic pivot anticipates that seven of the ten largest economies in 2075 will be current emerging markets, fundamentally altering the landscape of global investment returns.