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  1. The Economist10 min

    Why America and Iran are both claiming victory | The Economist

    Gregg Carlstrom, Jason Palmer

    Amidst an imminent US-imposed deadline that remains vulnerable to postponement, the US, Israel, and Iran are engaged in parallel asymmetric conflicts where both sides claim strategic victory despite failing to secure their core objectives. While recent operations highlighted the destruction of US critical assets like E3 AWACS planes and significant damage to Gulf bases, simultaneous systemic strikes on Iran have severely degraded its military supply chains and economic output, driving inflation above 52% and threatening $7 billion in non-oil revenue. With forward-looking risks escalating toward potential attacks on Iran's power grid or retaliatory strikes against Gulf desalination facilities, the current trajectory favors prolonged escalation over any near-term diplomatic resolution or temporary truce.

  2. The Economist9 min

    Will China be the real winner from the Iran war? | The Economist

    Edward Carr, David Rennie, Adam Roberts, Zanny Minton Beddoes, Ed

    Chinese strategic leadership now prioritizes establishing new economic chokeholds in pharmaceuticals and chemicals while explicitly exploiting Donald Trump's transactional nature to secure high-end chip access, fearing that his potential political decline would empower hawkish rivals like Marco Rubio. This approach is underpinned by a cynical calculation that the United States is losing global favorability and alliance cohesion, prompting Beijing to cautiously normalize relations with Southeast Asian partners and free-ride on the existing US-led security order. Despite acknowledging the need for systemic adaptation, China's strategy remains paralyzed by an internal contradiction, lacking a viable plan for a destabilized "law of the jungle" environment while simultaneously avoiding the risks required to lead a new global order.

  3. The Economist9 min

    How America is racing China to the Moon | The Economist

    Oliver Morton, Rosie Blau

    The Artemis II crew successfully launched on NASA's largest rocket, marking the first human spaceflight beyond Low Earth Orbit since the Apollo era. Under Administrator Jared Isaacman's leadership, this reconnaissance mission accelerates U.S. lunar ambitions to counter China's 2030 landing plans and establish a permanent lunar presence rather than a temporary visit. The spacecraft is currently executing a unique trajectory designed to culminate in a splashdown near San Diego by mission day ten, paving the way for the eventual Artemis III lunar landing.

  4. The Economist9 min

    Is a private-credit meltdown the next financial crisis? | The Economist

    Mike, Josh

    Private credit, a non-bank lending sector estimated at $1.5 to $3 trillion, surged following post-2008 regulatory shifts and a 2010s boom in private equity buyouts. Despite attracting institutional investors through high illiquidity premiums, recent redemption crises at major firms like Blue Owl Capital and Blackstone have exposed governance weaknesses and asset quality concerns. While experts predict a prolonged economic impact rather than a sudden systemic collapse, the sector faces ongoing scrutiny over the viability of its semi-liquid business model.

  5. The Economist9 min

    Peptides are not a miracle drug | The Economist

    Natasha Loder, Tim Cross, Jason Palmer

    Driven by high-profile endorsements and internet culture, the unregulated global market for peptides bypasses clinical trials to offer performance-enhancing substances riddled with purity risks and unknown long-term health effects. Regulatory bodies in the United States and United Kingdom are attempting to address this crisis through compounding pharmacy oversight and vendor crackdowns, yet enforcement struggles against the speed of online sales and social media promotion. Experts warn that without rigorous scientific validation, the current environment prioritizes profit and self-experimentation over the biological safety required to distinguish beneficial compounds from dangerous contaminants.

  6. The Economist9 min

    Big Oil’s Iran windfall won't last | The Economist

    Vijay Vaitheeswaran, Alice Fulwood, Ethan Wu

    At the record-breaking CIRA Week conference convened by historian Daniel Yergin, global energy executives expressed immediate financial jubilation regarding windfall profits from high oil prices while grappling with severe geopolitical risks threatening the Strait of Hormuz. Key figures like ADNOC CEO Sultan Al-Jaber and General Mattis warned that disruptions to this critical choke point endanger not only crude shipments but also essential fertilizer supplies and semiconductor helium, creating potential global food and technology crises. Simultaneously, the assembly noted a strategic disconnect in US policy regarding the conflict and observed that current instability is accelerating a structural shift toward electric vehicles and clean energy in emerging economies to reduce reliance on volatile supply chains.

  7. The Economist6 min

    Christine Lagarde: “Europe-bashing is vastly excessive” | The Economist

    Christine Lagarde, Zanny Minton Beddoes

    Despite the European Union's historical success in preventing war, the bloc now faces severe economic stagnation relative to the United States, characterized by a widening GDP gap, declining competitiveness, and growing populist unrest. While former Prime Minister Mario Draghi proposed extensive reforms and external pressures from Donald Trump's administration further exposed European vulnerabilities, progress remains incremental rather than transformative. This deteriorating landscape forces a strategic reckoning as the EU attempts to leverage its superior healthcare and social stability while navigating increasing diplomatic hostility from the US.

  8. The Economist10 min

    Former head of MI6: Iran has the “upper hand” in the war | The Economist

    Sir Alex Younger, Shashank Joshi

    Despite a powerful U.S. air campaign, Iran maintains strategic initiative through dispersed military capabilities and the threat of closing the Strait of Hormuz, creating a resilient conflict environment that paradoxically bolsters regime morale while facing an estimated 80% domestic opposition. The death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has accelerated a structural transition from religious theocracy to a pragmatic IRGC-dominated junta, characterized by the leadership of General Vahidi and the constrained influence of President Masoud Peseshkian. Analysts suggest that while the regime survives its "death throes" due to internal security crackdowns and limited Western intervention options, its long-term viability remains critically low given the population's desire for an end to theocratic rule and the potential for a successor-driven transition.

  9. The Economist8 min

    The Iran war will cause inflation to surge | The Economist

    Josh Roberts, Jason

    The escalation of conflict in Iran has triggered a surge in oil prices that threatens to transmit inflationary pressure globally through energy costs and critical fertilizer shortages at the Strait of Hormuz. Central bankers face a complex dilemma balancing the risk of a historical wage-price spiral against the potential for economic stagnation, while navigating political pressure to lower rates despite IMF forecasts predicting a two percentage point inflation jump. This crisis compels immediate policy intervention to prevent a permanent structural shift in inflation expectations, mirroring the cautionary precedents of the 1970s and recent cumulative global shocks.

  10. The Economist12 min

    Tucker Carlson on whether Trump betrayed America First over the Iran war | The Economist

    Tucker Carlson, Trump, Zanny Minton Beddoes

    In a recent address, the speaker argues that the United States was misled into war by Israeli lobbying and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's pressure, specifically criticizing the failure of Presidents Trump and George W. Bush to prioritize American national interests. While condemning the October 7 attacks, the speaker characterizes the resulting conflict in Gaza as a humanitarian and strategic disaster for both populations, asserting that the war contradicts the "America First" platform and is driven by flawed regime-change motives regarding Iran. The presentation further notes a rapidly declining public support for Israel across all US political demographics and advocates for universally applicable human rights over collective punishment or the "right to exist" doctrine.

  11. The Economist8 min

    Britain’s chancellor: closer relations with the EU are in our national interest

    Rachel Reeves, Rachana Shanbhogue

    The UK government has formalized a strategy for broader regulatory alignment with the EU to unlock an estimated 8% GDP boost, moving beyond previous sectoral deals in areas like food and energy to mitigate isolation risks from global protectionism. Led by the Chancellor and recently discussed with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, this approach prioritizes functional market integration while explicitly rejecting a return to the EU or Customs Union to avoid political division. European partners have welcomed these concrete commitments, viewing the UK's shift as a pragmatic step toward shared economic growth and security that leverages the nation's position as a G7 growth leader.

  12. The Economist8 min

    Why are Iranian drones so deadly? | The Economist

    Shashank Joshi, Rosie Blau

    Russia has adapted Iranian Shaheed drones into low-cost Geran munitions, creating a strategic challenge by outpacing traditional missile interceptors with volume and maneuverability. To counter this, Ukraine is exporting its operational expertise in FPV interceptor drones to Gulf states, offering technology transfers in exchange for defense investments and pressure on Western partners to supply high-end interceptors. This emerging alliance leverages Ukrainian successes in air and maritime defense to offset the economic imbalance of Russia's drone swarm tactics while reshaping regional security dynamics.

  13. The Economist8 min

    Is Russia the real winner from the war in Iran? | The Economist

    Zanny Minton Beddoes, Shashank, Greg, Ed

    A strategic assessment highlights Russia's improved economic resilience and reduced incentive for negotiations, while Gulf states face a binary choice between dealing with Iran or deepening US security ties at the cost of regional stability. The conflict simultaneously exposes critical US industrial limitations in interceptor stockpiles despite demonstrating superior technical execution, a dynamic that China interprets as evidence of American war fatigue. Consequently, these developments entrench Russia's position and accelerate Beijing's military modernization efforts focused on endurance and missile capabilities.

  14. The Economist7 min

    What stocks should you buy during an oil shock? | The Economist

    Joshua Roberts, Rosie Blau

    The ongoing war in Iran has disrupted global oil supplies, causing high-quality assets within the S&P 500 and MSCI World Index to underperform as rising energy costs strain long-term valuation models while boosting near-term earnings for low-quality energy stocks. This inversion of traditional flight-to-quality dynamics stems from the fact that speculative, high-multiple valuations are highly sensitive to geopolitical uncertainty, whereas lower-multiple firms possess a valuation buffer that supports performance during volatility. Analysts warn that while market trends currently favor low-quality stocks due to fear, a rapid reversal of this pattern is only anticipated if the Strait of Hormuz opens to restore free oil flow.

  15. The Economist9 min

    Should you pay off your student loan? | The Economist

    Joshua Roberts, Jason Palmer

    The current student debt system in England and Wales operates as a regressive loan mechanism where graduates repay 9% of earnings above a frozen threshold until the balance is cleared or 30 years elapse, a structure critics argue penalizes lower earners through extended duration rather than total cost. Historical fee hikes from £1,000 in 1998 to £9,000 in 2012, combined with eroding wage premiums and high interest rates, have left most graduates paying a significant portion of their income into their fifties without the possibility of early loan forgiveness. With government fiscal constraints limiting options to either maintaining current repayment terms or implementing a blanket tax increase to write off debt, the debate centers on whether this evolving financial burden constitutes a fair contribution or a punitive tax on a generation of graduates.