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  1. Goldman Sachs14 min

    Which Equity Markets Will Outperform?

    Kunal Shah, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs Co-CEO Kunal Shah outlined a robust 2026 U.S. economic outlook featuring 2.8% GDP growth driven by AI-fueled capex and easing financial conditions, while warning of elevated leverage and political risks to central bank independence. The firm forecasts balanced returns across U.S., European, and Asian markets despite divergent drivers, noting that excess savings in non-U.S. regions are shifting toward domestic spending rather than external deficits. In strategic asset allocation, the firm highlights Treasury bonds for diversification if labor markets weaken and recommends gold as a hedge against de-dollarization, though it cautions against shorting credit spreads due to their historically tight levels.

  2. Goldman Sachs23 min

    Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 2: Regional Perspectives

    David Mericle, Andrew Tilton, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs economists David Miracle, Andrew Tilton, and Yari Stein outline regional economic forecasts for 2026, projecting 2.5% US growth driven by tax cuts and Fed rate reductions alongside a resilient 4.8% expansion in China fueled by manufacturing competitiveness. The analysis highlights contrasting monetary trajectories, including the Bank of Japan's aggressive tightening to 0.75% and the ECB's projected rate hold, while warning of US labor market uncertainties and European structural weaknesses. These insights, recorded on January 7, 2026, serve as the second installment of the Outlook 2026 series, setting the stage for subsequent asset class discussions.

  3. Goldman Sachs26 min

    Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 1: The Big Picture

    Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs projects 2026 global growth to reach 2.7%, driven by the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," German fiscal easing, and the fading impact of 2025 tariffs. The firm forecasts a 2.5% expansion for the U.S. economy alongside expected Federal Reserve rate cuts that aim to lower inflation and address labor market stagnation. While equities are anticipated to deliver low double-digit returns, analysts warn of recession risks tied to the "SOM Rule" and elevated valuations that may trigger significant market volatility.

  4. Goldman Sachs22 min

    Turning $700 into a Billion-Dollar Brand: John Paul DeJoria

    John Paul DeJoria, Meena Flynn

    John Paul Mitchell founded John Paul Mitchell Systems and successfully launched the Patrón tequila brand by leveraging resilience and a partnership-based management philosophy derived from his Navy service and humble childhood. The company operates under a 360-year trust structure that prevents sale and ensures all proceeds benefit the beauty industry and its partners, while Mitchell continues to prioritize anonymous philanthropy focused on homelessness and food insecurity. Through strategic pivots from hair care to premium spirits, Mitchell transformed a bootstrapped startup into the world's largest privately owned salon hair care company and executed the largest liquor business sale in history.

  5. Goldman Sachs9 min

    Emerging Markets Could Keep Surging

    Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs projects MSCI Emerging Markets equities to deliver 15% returns in 2026, driven by attractive valuations, a weaker dollar, and a strategic preference for broad diversification over concentrated bets on China. The firm highlights Latin America, particularly Brazil, as a primary growth engine ahead of anticipated interest rate cuts, while also championing an "EM AI" sector expected to outperform US peers with 30% earnings growth. Analysts Stratford Dennis and Chris Hussey advise investors to monitor upcoming US employment data for Federal Reserve clarity while positioning portfolios in Taiwan, Korea, and Brazil to capture these specific opportunities.

  6. Goldman Sachs12 min

    Oil Market Impacts from Venezuela

    Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan

    Following the U.S. capture of President Maduro and the installation of an interim government, Venezuela's political transition has triggered a muted market reaction while positioning heavy crude supply for potential growth through 2030. Goldman Sachs projects that increased U.S. reinvestment could boost daily output from 800,000 to 2 million barrels, creating symmetrical short-term volatility but ultimately depressing global prices by approximately $4 by the end of the decade. Concurrently, the geopolitical fracture has driven gold prices up nearly 3% as major powers compete for commodity dominance, with U.S. refiners and energy firms poised to capitalize on the realignment of heavy crude flows toward the West.

  7. Goldman Sachs24 min

    Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong: Propelling the Crypto Economy

    Brian Armstrong, David Solomon

    Brian Armstrong co-founded Coinbase in 2012 to bridge cryptocurrency and traditional finance, growing the platform into a publicly traded entity serving over 150 governments and 80% of Bitcoin ETFs. The company is currently transitioning its infrastructure toward an on-chain ecosystem through its Base Layer 2 solution and open-source AgentKit tools, which facilitate AI-driven payments and tokenized assets. Armstrong has further solidified the industry's political viability by mobilizing two million users to support pro-crypto candidates, positioning regulatory clarity as a prerequisite for the next decade of global financial innovation.

  8. Goldman Sachs35 min

    Looking for Trends: One River Asset Management's Eric Peters

    Eric Peters, Tony Pasquarello

    Eric Peters, a veteran trader and founder of One River, outlines a macro strategy combining systematic trend following and long volatility to navigate a global debt expansion era while advocating for Bitcoin as a sovereign-resistant collateral. His analysis projects a significant financial crisis within the next decade driven by unsustainable interest obligations, despite current government efforts to leverage AI and monetary policy to delay the inevitable. Peters emphasizes that a robust portfolio must dynamically hedge against these non-linear risks, leveraging historical data showing a 40x return over the S&P 500 since 2007 through this disciplined, non-directional approach.

  9. Goldman Sachs22 min

    AppLovin's Adam Foroughi: The Power of a Startup Mindset

    Adam Foroughi, Dan Dees

    AppLovin CEO Adam Farooqi leads the $200 billion mobile technology firm, which leverages a lean 400-person core team and advanced neural networks to dominate performance marketing and generate over $4 billion in annual EBITA. Following a near-total valuation collapse after its 2021 IPO, the company executed a strategic $5 billion share buyback program that restored over $100 billion in market value and drove stock prices to approximately $600 per share. Farooqi sustains this growth by enforcing a culture of extreme operational efficiency, mandatory AI integration for internal workflows, and direct personal oversight of all key hiring decisions.

  10. Goldman Sachs27 min

    Transforming Work Productivity with AI: Glean CEO Arvind Jain

    Arvind Jain, Kim Posnett

    Founded by Arvind Krishna to address enterprise productivity crises caused by fragmented knowledge, Glean has evolved from an internal search engine into an agentic AI platform that proactively executes business tasks while maintaining strict data security through permission-based access. The company is on track to facilitate one billion agent actions this year by leveraging a four-year head start in deep integration and specialized "thinking models" that minimize hallucinations. Krishna positions this technology as an augmentation tool designed to expand human potential and strategic capacity rather than replace teams, predicting that the majority of knowledge work will shift to proactive AI systems within five years.

  11. Goldman Sachs11 min

    “We Like Bonds”

    Lindsay Rosner, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs interprets recent U.S. labor data as a temporary distortion driven by the government shutdown, maintaining that the economy remains soft rather than collapsing while projecting only two Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2025. The firm advocates for an intermediate-duration bond strategy between two and five years to balance yield pickup against global term premium risks, avoiding the longer end of the curve despite tight corporate credit spreads. Market outcomes will likely pivot on whether AI-driven productivity achieves a disinflationary expansion or if a sharper labor deterioration prompts a more aggressive monetary response from the central bank.

  12. Goldman Sachs37 min

    ‘Who’s the Next Winner?’: Diameter Capital’s Scott Goodwin

    Scott Goodwin, Michael Brandmeier, John Lewinson

    Diameter Capital leverages proprietary data analysis to navigate credit market stress, identifying distress in private credit and SaaS while capitalizing on undervalued opportunities in AI infrastructure and the X (Twitter) debt restructuring. Founded by Scott Goodwin and Jonathan Lewinson, the firm differentiates its strategy by bypassing traditional ratings to target unrated securities, a disciplined approach that generated significant returns on fiber and spectrum bets through active syndicate management with partners like Goldman Sachs. Looking ahead, the firm anticipates a prolonged AI microcycle and a gradual software sector correction, positioning its portfolio to acquire distressed assets as the market shifts from capital expenditure to actual adoption phases.

  13. Goldman Sachs9 min

    2026 Outlook: The U.S. Is the Place to Be

    Ashok Varadhan, Tony

    Market analysts project a 2026 economic landscape characterized by moderating inflation and a terminal federal funds rate near 3% amid a moderate easing bias. While artificial intelligence investment drives corporate capital expenditure and shifts narratives toward enterprise adoption, equity markets remain resilient with no identified frothiness despite potential credit supply pressures. Strategic guidance for investors emphasizes avoiding recency bias while anticipating policy stability from tariff adjustments and a historically swift execution of administrative priorities.

  14. Goldman Sachs8 min

    Are More Rate Cuts Coming?

    Josh Schiffrin, Chris Hussey

    The Federal Reserve executed a third consecutive 25 basis point rate cut, adopting a dovish stance that diverged from hawkish expectations while Chair Jerome Powell signaled a lower threshold for future adjustments due to labor market concerns. Analyst Josh Schifrin forecasts the federal funds rate will fall to 3% or lower by 2026, projecting a steepening yield curve and a weakening US dollar that should support cautiously bullish equity markets driven by economic acceleration rather than monetary constraints. While long-term rate increases are viewed as compatible with risk assets, Schifrin identifies artificial intelligence thematic concerns as a primary source of potential market volatility and noted a conditional willingness to trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo to secure an NBA championship for the Knicks.

  15. Goldman Sachs28 min

    The US-China Tech Race

    Mark Kennedy, Paul Triolo, Allison Nathan

    The US-China technological rivalry spans four strategic arenas, with Washington retaining dominance in fundamental innovation and China leading in application, infrastructure deployment, and self-sufficiency efforts. While US export controls have stalled China's access to advanced EUV lithography and high-end GPUs, these restrictions are simultaneously accelerating Beijing's parallel development of domestic chip manufacturing and open-source AI models. This dynamic creates a potential future where the US owns core design standards while China controls physical hardware and global markets, though US leadership ultimately hinges on resolving domestic energy grid constraints and sustaining its talent pipelines.