Andrew Tilton
Showing 1–4 of 4 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 2: Regional Perspectives
David Mericle, Andrew Tilton, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs economists David Miracle, Andrew Tilton, and Yari Stein outline regional economic forecasts for 2026, projecting 2.5% US growth driven by tax cuts and Fed rate reductions alongside a resilient 4.8% expansion in China fueled by manufacturing competitiveness. The analysis highlights contrasting monetary trajectories, including the Bank of Japan's aggressive tightening to 0.75% and the ECB's projected rate hold, while warning of US labor market uncertainties and European structural weaknesses. These insights, recorded on January 7, 2026, serve as the second installment of the Outlook 2026 series, setting the stage for subsequent asset class discussions.
- Goldman Sachs39 min
How countries and companies are reshaping their supply chains
Andrew Tilton, Luke Barrs, Richard Hill, Alison Nathan
Driven by pandemic disruptions and U.S.-China geopolitical tensions, a structural shift toward supply chain resilience is replacing pure cost efficiency with a "China plus one" diversification strategy among multinational corporations. Government policies, including the U.S. CHIPS Act and India's production-linked incentives, are actively accelerating capital investment in domestic manufacturing and critical minerals to secure economic sovereignty. While experts like Andrew Tilton and Luke Bars view this as an enduring trend of "slowing globalization" that benefits nations such as Vietnam and Mexico, critics warn that the inevitable loss of efficiency and lack of a specialized workforce may lead to higher consumer costs rather than full self-sufficiency.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
China’s New Digital Currency Initiative
China's People's Bank of China is piloting the e-CNY, a centralized digital currency distributed through commercial banks to maintain monetary sovereignty against private payment rivals and international threats like Libra. While current trials in cities such as Shenzhen and plans for the 2022 Winter Olympics focus on domestic financial inclusion and transaction transparency, officials are implementing holding caps and interest restrictions to prevent banking disintermediation. Analysts predict that despite the infrastructure's potential to enhance policy transmission and reduce remittance costs, the e-CNY will not significantly disrupt the US dollar's global reserve status in the near future.
- Goldman Sachs7 min
Takeaways from China’s Economic Data
China's first-quarter GDP contraction forces authorities to reconsider its 6% growth target while industrial recovery outpaces the slower service sector rebound. Policymakers are pivoting to aggressive stimulus through interest rate cuts and expanded fiscal measures to counter global demand weakness. Meanwhile, the region anticipates a delayed economic trajectory for the second quarter, with a projected recovery in the third quarter mirroring China's timeline.