André Esteves
Showing 1–3 of 3 transcripts.
- Milken Institute1h 0m
The New Macro Playbook | Global Conference 2026
Stephanie Ruhle, André Esteves, George Goncalves, Karen Karniol-Tambour, Seema Shah, Jeffrey Solomon
Global capital flows are shifting from a U.S.-centric model to diversified inflows in emerging markets and resource economies, driven by a transition from efficiency-based globalization to sovereign security-focused supply chains. This structural change, characterized by modern mercantilism and massive AI infrastructure spending, has created a bifurcated economy where fiscal deficits and geopolitical fragmentation fuel persistent inflation while prompting investors to seek physical assets over traditional equities. As nations fragment into isolated economic blocks and governments face rising risks of financial repression, investors must navigate these divergent currency zones to identify opportunities in captive markets protected by national industrial policies.
- Milken Institute24 min
A Conversation with BTG Chairman, André Esteves | Global Investors' Symposium São Paulo 2025
André Esteves, Christiane Pelajo, Cris
Global market volatility driven by US policy shifts and a K-shaped economic divergence has elevated Brazil's strategic position as a neutral food and data hub leveraging its clean energy matrix. While AI capital expenditures are reshaping the industrial landscape, the speaker projects Brazilian interest rates to fall from 15% to a 7–11% range provided the government implements a 2% of GDP fiscal adjustment to resolve macroeconomic contradictions. Ultimately, the nation's future prosperity hinges on replacing social aid with formal labor incentives and utilizing deep capital markets to fund infrastructure independent of external geopolitical luck.
- Milken Institute57 min
Macroeconomic Outlook | Global Conference 2025
Gregory Zuckerman, Khalid Al-Falih, André Esteves, Karen Karniol Tambour, Kathryn Koch, Ron O'Hanley
Leading financial experts analyze the convergence of political volatility, trade uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical alignments that are driving a global reevaluation of U.S. exceptionalism and prompting investors to diversify into Asian markets, the UK, and the Middle East. The panel highlights critical macroeconomic headwinds, including a "baked-in" recession risk and a Federal Reserve constrained by tariff-induced inflation, which are forcing a repricing of Treasury yields and exposing vulnerabilities in risk assets. Amidst these challenges, private credit emerges as a vital, though stress-tested, innovation for risk dispersion, while advocates for conservative lending strategies and active management position themselves to capitalize on the expected rise in defaults and liquidity dislocations.