Brad Rogoff
Showing 1–2 of 2 transcripts.
- Milken Institute54 min
Banks, Private Credit, and the Future of Risk | Global Conference 2026
Erik Schatzker, Vivek Bantwal, Molly Duffy, Jeffrey Gundlach, Kristofer Kraus, Brad Rogoff, Paul
A panel of financial experts convened to assess that while direct lending poses no immediate systemic threat comparable to the 2008 crisis, significant risks remain due to loosened underwriting standards, high leverage in enterprise software, and critical liquidity mismatches in semi-liquid funds. The discussion highlighted how valuation opacity and rising refinancing costs ahead of the 2028–2029 maturity wall are eroding investor trust, particularly among retail participants facing redemption gates. Despite these structural fractures and a potential recessionary spike in defaults, institutional capital continues to view the volatility as an opportunity to deploy funds at wider spreads while awaiting a market correction driven by credit dispersion rather than a total collapse.
- Milken Institute1h 0m
Credit Trends and Private Credit Evolution | Global Conference 2025
Eric Platt, Greg Braylovskiy, Anne-Marie Fink, Steve Kuppenheimer, Brad Rogoff, Kevin Sherlock
Industry experts analyze the convergence of private credit and traditional banking, forecasting a modest U.S. recession with rising default rates reaching 5% this year amidst widening credit spreads and tightening underwriting standards. While giant private credit firms are displacing banks in the middle market, the sector is evolving through strategic joint ventures that shift risk off balance sheets and limit systemic exposure, despite concerns over valuation transparency and future refinancing challenges. The panel concludes that lenders are pivoting toward special situations and asset-backed strategies with shorter durations as direct lending spreads compress and regulatory bodies monitor potential asset-liability mismatches in the rapidly maturing private credit landscape.