Caitlin Burrows

Commercial Real Estate and the Economic Recovery

Caitlin Burrows, Liz

Goldman Sachs analysts project divergent pandemic-era trajectories for real estate investment trusts, with industrial sectors capitalizing on e-commerce logistics while office and retail markets navigate complex shifts in utilization and long-term demand. A dramatic reversal in CEO sentiment regarding space requirements, coupled with hybrid work models that still necessitate full-week capacity, suggests office occupancy and rent growth will improve sequentially starting in late summer. Meanwhile, open-air retail centers are expected to recover temporarily through tenant re-filling, whereas mall REITs face structural challenges from e-commerce, and all sectors face varying inflationary hedges depending on lease terms ranging from daily resets to decade-long escalators.