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David Bonderman

Showing 112 of 12 transcripts.

  1. Milken Institute1h 2m

    Money Never Sleeps: Global Investment Outlook

    Steve Krouskos, David Bonderman, Michael Carmen, Brian Sheth

    Panelists in this investment forum assert that technology-driven productivity gains and the digitalization of industries significantly outweigh current geopolitical risks, citing a 700% ROI for software and a critical shortage of IT talent. The discussion highlights a structural shift where companies remain private longer due to regulatory burdens, while private capital increasingly fills credit gaps for high-growth software firms. Looking forward, experts recommend focusing on long-term AI adoption and emerging markets like India over short-term volatility, while warning of potential near-term recessions triggered by premature Federal Reserve rate hikes.

  2. Milken Institute57 min

    Investment Titans: Dispelling the Myth of Emerging Markets

    Mark Wiseman, David Bonderman, Binod Chaudhary, Arif Naqvi

    A panel of investment leaders and institutional experts redefines emerging markets as "Global Growth Markets," highlighting that these regions now drive 60% of global GDP growth while remaining significantly under-allocated by major pension funds and sovereign wealth funds. Key figures including Arif Naqvi, David Bonderman, and Bino Chaudhry advocate for a shift from public indices to private equity strategies that prioritize local partners, rigorous compliance, and consumer-focused sectors in dynamic economies like India and Southeast Asia. The discussion concludes that successful capital deployment requires agile, long-term approaches capable of navigating political volatility and leveraging technological leapfrogging rather than relying on static acronym-based groupings.

  3. Milken Institute58 min

    Retrospective: Lessons Learned from Leading Investors

    Scarlet Fu, David Bonderman, William Ford, Joshua Friedman, Emmanuel Roman, Steven Tananbaum, Steve Tannenbaum, Bill Ford

    Prominent investors including David Bonderman, Josh Friedman, and Steve Tannenbaum assess a unique financial landscape marked by an unsustainable thirty-year secular decline in interest rates and the resulting compression of credit spreads. The panel analyzes sector-specific risks in retail and energy while debating the structural advantages of active management and private equity over passive strategies in this volatile environment. Despite current complacency, experts emphasize the necessity of holding dry powder for eventual portfolio re-ranking driven by rising rates and warn that structural changes in market-making could precipitate radical price adjustments.

  4. Milken Institute1h 2m

    Investment Outlook from Global Industry Titans

    Michael Milken, Leon Black, David Bonderman, Lei Zhang

    A coalition of 70 university researchers and global stakeholders is mobilizing a half-million-person initiative to address Japan's $23 trillion U.S. cash surplus and the social security gap through a new six-sector classification system. This strategy integrates fiscal reforms, climate change measures, and a dedicated focus on disability inclusion to stabilize currency fluctuations and revive underperforming industrial sectors highlighted during recent G20 discussions. By leveraging direct community engagement over social media and establishing a new scientific framework for labor, the group aims to achieve a 35% growth rate while avoiding the pitfalls of past economic failures.

  5. Milken Institute1h 15m

    Asia Summit 2015 - Global Capital Markets: Taking Stock of Recent Developments

    Martinson, David Bonderman, Josh Harris, Michael Kim, Mike Milken

    At the concluding panel of the Milken Institute Asia Summit 2015, David Bonderman, Josh Harris, Michael Milken, and Michael Kim discussed the global implications of China's market volatility and its structural transition from an export-driven to a consumer-led economy. The panelists, representing approximately $475 billion in assets, warned of tail risks associated with China's potential hard landing while identifying significant investment opportunities in Asia's aging demographics, healthcare sector, and financial technology gaps. Their consensus forecasted a prolonged low-interest-rate environment and emphasized that successful capital allocation requires deep localization and navigating the region's unique cultural and transparency challenges.

  6. Milken Institute1h 1m

    Where Does Russia Go From Here?

    Matt Winkler, David Bonderman, Ruben Vardanyan, Susan Eisenhower, Carl Theodore, Male Speaker 1

    In late 2014, Western sanctions and a 50% collapse in oil prices caused the Russian ruble and MOEX index to become the world's most volatile assets, yet the country began a recovery by early 2015 through stabilized currency values and a 30% growth surge in domestic food retail. Prominent figures including Ruben Vardanyan, David Bonderman, and Susan Eisenhower critique Western policy failures such as NATO expansion and broken agreements, arguing that these actions fueled Russia's strategic drift toward China while leaving the nation without a clear geopolitical identity. The panel warns of escalating nuclear risks due to these tensions but proposes immediate de-escalation through dedicated special envoys, Congressional diplomacy, and the establishment of clear benchmarks for sanction relief.

  7. Milken Institute1h 5m

    Asia Summit 2014 - Strengthening Asian Markets: Allocating Capital, Refining Policy

    Christine Tan, David Bonderman, Piyush Gupta, Lim Chow Kiat, Michael Milken, Jonathan Nelson

    Prominent investors and regulators, including Piyush Gupta and Mike Milken, identified a critical $500 billion capital shortfall and structural intermediation gaps preventing Asian markets from leveraging their massive savings surplus. The panel highlighted that while private capital is shifting toward the region due to superior risk-adjusted returns, significant barriers such as currency volatility, legal unpredictability, and fragmented regulatory frameworks continue to deter deep domestic investment. Looking ahead, experts project Asia will transition from financing the West to self-sufficiency within 15 years, driven by digital leapfrogging, RMB-denominated instruments, and a shift toward private infrastructure financing.

  8. Milken Institute1h 5m

    Private Equity: Rebalancing Risk

    Maria, Leon Black, David Bonderman, John Donachel, Jonathan Nelson

    Prominent private equity leaders including Leon Black, David Bonderman, and Jonathan Nelson discussed a market characterized by high valuations and a 5-to-1 sell-to-buy ratio driven by Apollo Global Management's successful shift toward international capital. The panelists debated sector opportunities, highlighting value in European bank deleveraging and energy while remaining cautious about overpriced consumer retail and the risks of emerging markets. Consensus emerged that successful investment strategies now rely less on pure capital deployment and more on operational expertise to navigate low-growth environments and technological disruption.

  9. Milken Institute1h 16m

    Chinese Market Culture: How Well Can You Know a Company? (updated)

    David Bonderman, Howard Chao, Benjamin Fanger, John Pattar, James McGregor

    This panel explored the structural complexities of China's corporate landscape, ranging from the historical dominance of Township and Village Enterprises to the persistent legal ambiguities of Variable Interest Entity (VIE) structures. Participants detailed how severe challenges in financial transparency necessitate "forensic" due diligence and asset-holding strategies akin to a pawn shop to mitigate enforcement risks in a judicial system lacking full independence. Ultimately, the discussion emphasized that navigating this high-risk environment requires investors to bypass reported earnings for cash flow analysis while closely monitoring specific political reform indicators to anticipate regulatory shifts.

  10. Milken Institute1h 16m

    Chinese Market Culture: How Well Can You Know a Company?

    Howard Chow, David Bonderman, Benjamin Fanger, John Pitar, Jim

    This presentation details the historical evolution of Chinese enterprise structures from Township and Village Enterprises to the modern State-Owned Enterprise landscape, while highlighting critical investment risks such as dual-book accounting, Variable Interest Entity (VIE) ambiguity, and unreliable official statistics. It outlines specialized mitigation strategies for foreign capital, including the necessity of forensic accounting, direct asset verification, and securing physical company seals to navigate non-independent courts and volatile regulatory environments. Ultimately, the analysis advises investors to bypass manipulated macroeconomic data in favor of cash-flow-focused due diligence using local talent to manage the unique political and legal complexities of the market.

  11. Milken Institute58 min

    Access to Global Capital: Investing in Growth

    Seth Marin, Jay Ireland, Jalal, David Bonderman, Bill Pierce, Mindy

    The Milken Institute launched its Access to Global Capital Initiative to mobilize private investment into four target nations—Rwanda, Indonesia, Poland, and Colombia—by leveraging improved governance to replicate Singapore's economic transformation over a 20-year horizon. The program addresses a stark capital concentration in the West by prioritizing countries that demonstrate political stability, rule of law, and anti-corruption measures to attract multinational supply chains. Key success factors identified for investors include reliable infrastructure, consistent fiscal policies, and a workforce capable of supporting long-term development, with oversight supported by development finance institutions like OPIC.

  12. Milken Institute1h 3m

    New Directions in Private Equity

    Leon Black, David Bonderman, Jonathan Nelson, Jonathan Sokoloff, Scott Sperling, Maria Bartiromo

    Despite a 30% drop in private equity deal volume, market leaders like Apollo's Leon Black and TPG's David Bonderman are pivoting from traditional leveraged buyouts to high-growth assets, minority stakes, and distressed opportunities in Europe. While valuations remain stretched due to cheap credit and seller reluctance, firms are prioritizing capital deployment in defensive sectors like media and consumer staples while navigating macroeconomic uncertainty. Panelists anticipate a continued harvest phase over the next 18 months, with capital flows shifting toward customized structures and emerging markets that offer differentiated returns beyond standard GDP growth metrics.