David Clark

The New Rule for Picking AI Winners | The a16z Show

David George, David Clark

Frontier AI firms like Anthropic and OpenAI are currently outpacing the combined revenue growth of major tech giants, with a projected collective run rate of $200 billion driving valuations toward $100 billion by September. While current enterprise adoption remains largely efficiency-focused, supply chain constraints are expected to persist until late 2028, preventing an oversupply bubble despite the rapid scaling of $5 trillion in data center capital expenditures. As venture strategies pivot to securing market leaders in a shrinking startup half-life, the industry is poised for a structural shift where dominant AI entities redefine public market dynamics and consumer engagement over the next decade.