David Vila

Pensions: The Real Fiscal Cliff

Brad Belt, Jeff, Brian Pellegrino, Larry Schloss, David Vila

This analysis contrasts the severe underfunding of U.S. public and corporate pensions, highlighting Illinois's $100 billion shortfall against Wisconsin's successful hybrid model that achieves 99.8% funding. While New York City struggles with governance failures and outsourced management costs despite rising contributions, the corporate sector increasingly adopts Liability-Driven Investment strategies and benefit redesigns to mitigate insolvency risks. Ultimately, the report concludes that investment returns alone cannot resolve multi-trillion dollar deficits, necessitating structural reforms such as COLA adjustments or increased contributions to prevent taxpayer bailouts or state bankruptcy.