Dominic

Will macro tailwinds drive stocks higher?

Dominic, Josh

Markets in early 2025 exhibit a shift from narrow AI concentration to broader cyclical leadership, driven by non-U.S. outperformance in regions like Japan and Korea alongside a breakout in U.S. bond yields. Analysts project a Federal Reserve holding rates through spring before implementing 50 to 100 basis points of cuts later in the year, coinciding with a "Year of the Tariff" that is expected to transition into a global growth cycle by 2026. Investors are consequently advised to diversify beyond the S&P 500 into international equities and U.S. cyclicals like housing and regional banks to navigate elevated valuations and a steeper yield curve.