Don Stroyven
Showing 1–2 of 2 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
How the US-Iran Deal Could Affect Oil Prices
Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stroyven
Following a diplomatic breakthrough between the U.S. and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Brent crude prices retreated from over $120 to the low $80s as markets priced in a normalization of Middle Eastern supply by late July. Goldman Sachs forecasts average prices of $75 to $80 per barrel through 2027, noting that while most demand losses from the 14% production shock will recover, structural shifts like accelerating EV adoption in China may leave a 500,000 bpd deficit relative to pre-conflict baselines. Despite the recent sell-off, prices are expected to remain elevated by roughly $20 due to lingering security premiums and low inventories, with upside risks to $130 outweighing downside scenarios where quick recovery drives prices to $60.
- Goldman Sachs14 min
Gold, Oil, and Rare Earths: Commodities on the Move
Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stroyven
Goldman Sachs analysts outline a market landscape defined by U.K. sanctions on major Russian oil producers, which could raise prices by $20 per barrel if OPEC+ fails to offset the disruption, while simultaneously projecting Brent crude to decline to the mid-$50s by 2026. The report highlights critical supply chain fragilities in the rare earth sector, where China's 92% refining dominance and decade-long Western build-out timelines create geopolitical leverage that investors must hedge. To mitigate these risks, the strategy recommends a structural reallocation toward gold, with a target of $4,900 per ounce, as a primary defense against fiscal debasement and resource weaponization alongside silver's volatile, liquid-dependent profile.