Greg Ip
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- Milken Institute22 min
Global Economic Outlook: A Conversation with Dan Katz | Future of Finance 2026
The IMF warns that escalating Gulf conflict introduces significant inflation and growth risks by disrupting energy markets and straining fragile economies, necessitating cautious monetary responses based on the duration of the instability. Simultaneously, the Fund highlights excessive global external imbalances, specifically criticizing the United States' large current account deficit and China's reliance on weak domestic consumption, while urging structural shifts to reduce trade tensions. In parallel, the IMF addresses the emerging stablecoin ecosystem, noting its potential for financial inclusion alongside risks of banking disintermediation, and reaffirms the US dollar's enduring central role in the international monetary system despite recent market deleveraging.