J. Todd Morley
Showing 1–4 of 4 transcripts.
- Milken Institute49 min
MI Summit 2013 - London: U.S. Overview: Gathering Steam? (updated)
Gregory Cappelli, Ross DeVol, Harold Ford Jr., J. Todd Morley, Eric Spiegel, Philippa Thomas
Facing a potential partial government shutdown and debt ceiling breach by mid-October, U.S. political leaders like Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell are navigating intense intra-party gridlock driven by primary threats. Concurrently, the economy hovers near 2% growth sustained by Federal Reserve stimulus, though experts warn of a structural skills gap, a housing mini-bubble, and an over-reliance on monetary policy that masks underlying weaknesses. Panelists advocate for urgent structural reforms including corporate tax cuts and immigration changes to resolve regulatory stagnation and stimulate genuine long-term innovation.
- Milken Institute49 min
MI Summit 2013 - London: U.S. Overview: Gathering Steam?
Gregory Cappelli, Ross DeVol, Harold Ford Jr., J. Todd Morley, Eric Spiegel, Philippa Thomas
The panel analyzed a precarious October 1 government shutdown and impending debt ceiling crisis driven by ideological gridlock between Speaker John Cornyn and the Tea Party faction against the White House. While macroeconomic indicators show resilience with GDP growth near 2% and recovering manufacturing, the economy faces severe headwinds including a skills gap affecting 3.5 million jobs, regulatory uncertainty from healthcare legislation, and stalled corporate investment due to political paralysis. Experts concluded that breaking the current economic logjam requires urgent structural reforms, specifically corporate tax reduction and energy pipeline approvals, as the lack of political compromise threatens to derail both fiscal stability and long-term U.S. competitiveness.
- Milken Institute1h 12m
Reading the Tea Leaves: Where Are Markets Headed? (updated)
John Calamos Sr., Anne Casscells, George Evans, J. Todd Morley, John Rogers Jr., Christopher Ailman, Chris Ailman
Moderated by CalSTRS CIO Chris Ailman, a panel of prominent investment leaders including John Rogers, Todd Morley, and John Calamos debated diverging economic forecasts regarding US growth trajectories and the sustainability of current market valuations. Participants articulated contrasting strategies ranging from Ann Cassells' focus on demographic-driven deleveraging to John Rogers' prediction of a resurgence in traditional equity growth driven by pent-up housing demand. The discussion concluded with specific asset allocation recommendations, such as Todd Morley's pivot toward hard commodities and John Rogers' long positions in consumer brands, while warning against the risks of prolonged quantitative easing and sovereign debt devaluation.
- Milken Institute1h 12m
Reading the Tea Leaves: Where Are Markets Headed?
John Calamos Sr., Anne Casscells, George Evans, J. Todd Morley, John Rogers Jr., Christopher Ailman, Chris Ailman
Moderated by CalSTRS CIO Chris Ailman, a panel of five prominent investment leaders debated whether the U.S. economy has settled into a "new normal" of slower growth or is returning to an "old normal" of higher expansion. While Ann Cassells and John Rogers offered divergent GDP forecasts based on demographic shifts and housing recovery, other panelists like Todd Morley and John Calamost warned of imminent violent reflation and market distortions caused by excessive monetary stimulus. Ultimately, the consensus urged investors to abandon traditional 401(k) allocations in favor of hard assets, private credit, and global consumer brands to navigate an era defined by structural market dysfunction and potential currency devaluation.