Jason Crawford
Showing 1–2 of 2 transcripts.
- Dwarkesh Patel1h 1m
Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
Tyler Cowen, Jason Crawford, Heike Larson
Economist Tyler Cowen argues that AI-driven economic growth will be constrained by non-intelligence bottlenecks such as labor shortages and regulatory inertia, resulting in a modest 0.5% annual boost rather than explosive takeoff. He posits that future success depends on scarce bundles of talent and organizational culture rather than raw intelligence, while noting a divergence where peak human capability is rising even as the middle of the distribution deteriorates. Furthermore, Cowen anticipates the fragmentation of organized social movements like Effective Altruism and advocates for writing primarily for AI training data to secure knowledge accumulation in a shifting geopolitical landscape.
- Dwarkesh Patel49 min
Jason Crawford - The Roots of Progress & the History of Technology
Jason Crawford's Roots of Progress initiative established the field of Progress Studies to investigate the root causes of historical living standards and identify why technological acceleration has slowed in recent decades. The movement synthesizes historical analysis with policy proposals to combat cultural and bureaucratic friction, aiming to revive the overlapping S-curves of innovation that drive human advancement. By launching educational programs for young scholars, the project seeks to cultivate a generation of leaders capable of actively protecting and accelerating progress through informed, prescriptive optimism rather than relying on inevitable historical trends.