Kate McShane
Showing 1–3 of 3 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Can the US consumer stay strong?
David Mericle, Kate McShane, Bonnie Herzog, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist David Miracle projects moderate U.S. consumption growth in 2024, attributing current resilience to strong household balance sheets while warning that unemployment risks could trigger a shift to job loss. Retail analysts Kate McShane and Bonnie Herzog observe a bifurcated consumer environment where spending prioritizes services and essentials while lower-income demographics defer discretionary purchases and trade down to private labels. Despite these pressures, the market faces further headwinds from a five-day shorter holiday shopping window, persistent price levels, and election uncertainty, leading management to adopt cautious strategies focused on revenue growth and value optimization.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Amid rising inflation and slowing growth, how is the U.S. consumer faring?
David Mericle, Kate McShane, Eric Sheridan, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs economists project U.S. consumption growth will stabilize near 1% in late 2022 and 2023 as falling household wealth and the expiration of pandemic stimulus offset modest gains in real disposable income. While retail growth remains price-driven with consumers prioritizing essential goods over big-ticket items, the technology sector faces a shift toward lower single-digit growth rates focused on free cash flow visibility. Looking ahead, industry participants anticipate normalized supply chains and a balanced mix of unit and price growth in 2023, though retailers must manage elevated inventory levels through targeted promotions to offset slowing demand.
- Goldman Sachs7 min
Arriving Now: Retailers’ Solutions for Same Day Delivery
Goldman Sachs Research analyzes how pandemic-driven shifts transformed last-mile delivery from a niche restaurant service into a dominant omnichannel strategy leveraging physical inventory for two-hour windows. The report highlights a critical trade-off where retailers balance the profitability and operational efficiency of outsourcing to third-party platforms like Shipt and Instacart against the risks of quality control and data leakage. Ultimately, the convergence of free curbside pickup and paid home delivery is identified as a competitive moat that increases consumer engagement beyond what online-only models can achieve.