Tracy Alloway

Trends Shaping Global Credit Markets

Tracy Alloway, Sir Michael Hintze, Paul Horvath, Steven Shapiro, David Warren, Michael Hintze

Senior secured floating-rate managers and credit strategists navigated a market characterized by a mid-to-late cycle risk profile and diverging equity-bond valuations by pivoting away from generic high-yield exposure toward distressed special situations and hard assets. Despite warnings that rising rates and thin subordination could stress lower-rated issuers, panelists identified attractive dislocations in emerging markets and complex restructurings while utilizing options to hedge systemic risk cheaply. These strategic shifts reflect a calculated approach to capitalizing on liquidity mismatches and negative convexity in an environment where quantitative tightening is increasing default probabilities.