Peter Budko
Showing 1–2 of 2 transcripts.
- Milken Institute56 min
Outlook for High-Yield and Leveraged Finance
Tom Braithwaite, Christopher Boyle, Peter Budko, Henry Chyung, Robert Kricheff, Andrew Whittaker
Global macroeconomic analysis characterizes the current environment as a late-stage credit cycle driven by unprecedented central bank interventions, including negative interest rates and massive sovereign debt issuance, which have created a distorted market feedback loop. Analysts observe a sharp bifurcation in high-yield securities where defensive sectors outperform cyclical energy and mining industries facing significant downgrades, while passive investing amplifies short-term volatility and liquidity illusions. Consequently, investment strategies favor active management and diversification to navigate the risks of over-leveraged balance sheets and potential default spikes, as financial engineering rather than organic growth currently underpins market expansion.
- Milken Institute1h 1m
Disequilibrium in Global Debt
Felix Salmon, Peter Budko, Damian Lillicrab, Nouriel Roubini, Gene Sperling, Andrew Whittaker
Leading economists and strategists including Nouriel Roubini, Peter Budko, and Gene Sperling analyzed the unsustainable trajectory of global debt, debating whether net asset offsets and low servicing costs justify current high leverage ratios. The panel highlighted a critical disconnect where massive debt accumulation has fueled asset bubbles and corporate buybacks rather than productivity, leaving markets vulnerable to earnings shocks due to "covenant light" lending and constrained fiscal safety nets. Concluding that central banks have become overstretched fiscal substitutes, the experts warned that without a political compact linking stimulus to structural reform, the global economy faces a prolonged cycle of financial repression and inequality.