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Soumaya Keynes

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  1. The Economist38 min

    US-China trade war: live Q&A with The Economist

    Soumaya Keynes, Henry Curr, Sarah, Sameah Kanes

    The anticipated "Phase One" U.S.-China trade agreement has been delayed until next year after the cancellation of a critical summit between President Trump and Premier Xi removed the necessary political catalyst for resolution. With a December 15 tariff deadline approaching, the impasse risks triggering widespread tariff reimposition that shifts economic costs to U.S. importers and consumers while accelerating supply chain fragmentation. This prolonged conflict reflects a deepening bipartisan structural confrontation over China's state-led economic model, extending beyond trade into national security and technology control that continues to suppress global investment.

  2. The Economist9 min

    America v China: why the trade war won't end soon

    Soumaya Keynes, Deng Xiaoping, Trump, David Rennie, Chad Bowne, Samaya

    After sixteen months of reciprocal tariffs triggered by US concerns over China's rapid economic ascent and alleged unfair trade practices, the conflict has escalated to impose 25% duties on billions of dollars in goods while specifically targeting the agricultural sector to influence political outcomes. The dispute has severely impacted global growth projections and business investment, with recent restrictions on tech firm Huawei and a stalled "phase one" deal highlighting the deep structural disagreements regarding intellectual property and market access. Analysts caution that while a limited agreement might offer temporary tariff relief, the fundamental clash over US dominance in future industries and China's state-led economic model suggests a prolonged stalemate without comprehensive resolution.