Weijian Shan
Showing 1–3 of 3 transcripts.
- Milken Institute1h 0m
China’s Investment Outlook: Optimism or Caution? | Milken Institute Global Conference 2024
Susan Li, Shenglin Ben, Goodwin Gaw, Fred Hu, Weijian Shan, Lu Zhang, Kevin Rudd
A panel of experts characterizes the current U.S.-China relationship as toxic and downward-spiraling, with Biden and Trump administrations jointly enforcing a hawkish stance that risks global recession if a Taiwan Strait conflict materializes. Despite these geopolitical tensions, investors are capitalizing on China's undervalued stock market and property sector corrections, leveraging the country's significant monetary policy space to support private sector confidence rather than direct stimulus. The discussion concludes that while a "China Plus One" strategy will persist for decades, the most effective path forward involves U.S. policymakers avoiding zero-sum thinking and recognizing that global technological advancement requires engagement with Chinese counterparts in sectors like AI and climate tech.
- Milken Institute54 min
Truce or Dare: Navigating US-China Relations
Curtis Chin, Steven Ciobo, Ng Kok Song, Weijian Shan, Lord Mandelson
Moderated by former Australian Trade Minister Steve, a panel including Kok Song of Avanda, PAG CEO Weijin Shan, and former European Trade Commissioner Lord Peter Mendelsohn analyzed the deteriorating US-China economic relationship and the declining probability of a bilateral trade deal before the 2020 election. Participants highlighted how tariffs have widened the US trade deficit while China's shifting focus toward domestic consumption and supply chain stickiness have left American consumers bearing an estimated $80 billion in costs. The experts forecast a prolonged period of geopolitical friction and potential global system bifurcation, predicting that political posturing will likely prevent meaningful resolution despite severe economic inefficiencies.
- Milken Institute1h 3m
China's Trade-Off: The Outlook on Investment
Kevin Lu, Wei Sun Christianson, Kenneth Gaw, Richard Hu, Weijian Shan, Jing Ulrich
Leading financial executives from Partners Group, Morgan Stanley, and JP Morgan convened to analyze the shifting dynamics of Chinese foreign direct investment, noting a 2017 policy reversal that incentivizes capital inflows despite persistent barriers in financial ownership and exit mechanisms. Panelists discussed how structural challenges, including succession issues in the private sector and tightening geopolitical scrutiny on outbound deals, are reshaping investment strategies toward sectors like technology and consumer finance. Strategic forecasts predict China's transformation into the world's largest consumer market by 2040, driven by a growing middle class and a shift in elite talent from engineering to finance.