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Zach Ablon

Showing 13 of 3 transcripts.

  1. Goldman Sachs1 min

    Goldman Sachs’ Zach Ablon on the credit risks to watch in the AI buildout

    Zach Ablon

    Analysts project that a slowdown in AI capital expenditure could trigger a credit rally and tighten spreads even as hyperscalers face equity market volatility. Current data indicates severe market stress, evidenced by new deal concessions widening from 2 to 3 basis points to 20 basis points following large hyperscaler issuances. Future hyperscaler offerings will serve as a critical barometer to determine whether the market can digest the sector's valuation or if asymmetric risks will emerge.

  2. Goldman Sachs1 min

    GS’ Zach Ablon on how hyperscalers are also turning to the high yield markets for financing

    Zach Ablon

    Recent market analysis reveals that AI-driven investment-grade supply has reached 18%, mirroring high-yield composition while hyperscaler spreads widen and 17 of 23 data center joint venture deals trade above their originated yields. Investors are increasingly scrutinizing emerging data center deals with investment-grade wrappers that trade significantly wider than the double-B benchmark, which itself screens as very rich at approximately 165 basis points over Treasuries. Furthermore, projections indicate that chip financing will carry a lower duration compared to existing data center structures, reflecting shifting valuation concerns within the high-yield spectrum.

  3. Goldman Sachs26 min

    How AI Debt Is Reshaping Credit Markets

    Amanda Lynam, Zach Ablon, Allison Nathan

    Global credit markets have shifted as AI-driven debt issuance from hyperscalers and the broader ecosystem now dominates supply, reaching nearly $500 billion year-to-date in 2026 alone. This unprecedented concentration is reshaping the Investment Grade landscape by skewing duration weight toward tech giants like Amazon and Google, while simultaneously testing market absorption limits and driving spread widening among insurance investors. As traditional US IG capacity approaches a $510 billion ceiling, the financing void is forcing a structural pivot toward private capital, non-USD jurisdictions, and alternative vehicles like project finance to sustain the multi-trillion-dollar AI investment cycle.