Goldman Sachs
Showing 106–120 of 533 transcripts.
- 20 min
Will macro tailwinds drive stocks higher?
Markets in early 2025 exhibit a shift from narrow AI concentration to broader cyclical leadership, driven by non-U.S. outperformance in regions like Japan and Korea alongside a breakout in U.S. bond yields. Analysts project a Federal Reserve holding rates through spring before implementing 50 to 100 basis points of cuts later in the year, coinciding with a "Year of the Tariff" that is expected to transition into a global growth cycle by 2026. Investors are consequently advised to diversify beyond the S&P 500 into international equities and U.S. cyclicals like housing and regional banks to navigate elevated valuations and a steeper yield curve.
- 25 min
Anastasia Soare: Building a Billion-dollar Beauty Brand
Anastasia Sorey, founder and CEO of Anastasia Beverly Hills, joined Goldman Sachs to recount her journey from navigating communist Romania to building a billion-dollar beauty empire through a philosophy of mastering craft and prioritizing client well-being. Sorey detailed how she leveraged resilience, a self-developed product line, and strategic partnerships with retailers like Nordstrom and media figures like Oprah Winfrey to scale her brand while rejecting traditional business planning in favor of direct market validation. The event concludes with Sorey's advocacy for immigrant entrepreneurs to pursue their dreams through hard work and a "pay it forward" mentality, underscored by the release of her new book *Raising Brows*.
- 27 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 3: Assets and Allocation
Peter Oppenheimer, Kamakshya Trivedi, Daan Struyven, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alyssa Nathan
A 2026 global equity strategy forecasts sustained optimism driven by profit growth and moderating inflation, with a strategic tilt toward undervalued emerging markets and AI application sectors. The outlook anticipates a depreciating US dollar and a tail end of global easing, prompting portfolio managers to favor equities over credit while hedging against stretched valuations through diversified alternatives. Simultaneously, commodities are positioned for divergence, featuring a base case for a 10% gold rally and strategic long exposure to local US power markets fueled by surging AI data center demand.
- 14 min
Which Equity Markets Will Outperform?
Goldman Sachs Co-CEO Kunal Shah outlined a robust 2026 U.S. economic outlook featuring 2.8% GDP growth driven by AI-fueled capex and easing financial conditions, while warning of elevated leverage and political risks to central bank independence. The firm forecasts balanced returns across U.S., European, and Asian markets despite divergent drivers, noting that excess savings in non-U.S. regions are shifting toward domestic spending rather than external deficits. In strategic asset allocation, the firm highlights Treasury bonds for diversification if labor markets weaken and recommends gold as a hedge against de-dollarization, though it cautions against shorting credit spreads due to their historically tight levels.
- 23 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 2: Regional Perspectives
David Mericle, Andrew Tilton, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs economists David Miracle, Andrew Tilton, and Yari Stein outline regional economic forecasts for 2026, projecting 2.5% US growth driven by tax cuts and Fed rate reductions alongside a resilient 4.8% expansion in China fueled by manufacturing competitiveness. The analysis highlights contrasting monetary trajectories, including the Bank of Japan's aggressive tightening to 0.75% and the ECB's projected rate hold, while warning of US labor market uncertainties and European structural weaknesses. These insights, recorded on January 7, 2026, serve as the second installment of the Outlook 2026 series, setting the stage for subsequent asset class discussions.
- 26 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 1: The Big Picture
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects 2026 global growth to reach 2.7%, driven by the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," German fiscal easing, and the fading impact of 2025 tariffs. The firm forecasts a 2.5% expansion for the U.S. economy alongside expected Federal Reserve rate cuts that aim to lower inflation and address labor market stagnation. While equities are anticipated to deliver low double-digit returns, analysts warn of recession risks tied to the "SOM Rule" and elevated valuations that may trigger significant market volatility.
- 22 min
Turning $700 into a Billion-Dollar Brand: John Paul DeJoria
John Paul DeJoria, Meena Flynn
John Paul Mitchell founded John Paul Mitchell Systems and successfully launched the Patrón tequila brand by leveraging resilience and a partnership-based management philosophy derived from his Navy service and humble childhood. The company operates under a 360-year trust structure that prevents sale and ensures all proceeds benefit the beauty industry and its partners, while Mitchell continues to prioritize anonymous philanthropy focused on homelessness and food insecurity. Through strategic pivots from hair care to premium spirits, Mitchell transformed a bootstrapped startup into the world's largest privately owned salon hair care company and executed the largest liquor business sale in history.
- 9 min
Emerging Markets Could Keep Surging
Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey
Goldman Sachs projects MSCI Emerging Markets equities to deliver 15% returns in 2026, driven by attractive valuations, a weaker dollar, and a strategic preference for broad diversification over concentrated bets on China. The firm highlights Latin America, particularly Brazil, as a primary growth engine ahead of anticipated interest rate cuts, while also championing an "EM AI" sector expected to outperform US peers with 30% earnings growth. Analysts Stratford Dennis and Chris Hussey advise investors to monitor upcoming US employment data for Federal Reserve clarity while positioning portfolios in Taiwan, Korea, and Brazil to capture these specific opportunities.
- 12 min
Oil Market Impacts from Venezuela
Following the U.S. capture of President Maduro and the installation of an interim government, Venezuela's political transition has triggered a muted market reaction while positioning heavy crude supply for potential growth through 2030. Goldman Sachs projects that increased U.S. reinvestment could boost daily output from 800,000 to 2 million barrels, creating symmetrical short-term volatility but ultimately depressing global prices by approximately $4 by the end of the decade. Concurrently, the geopolitical fracture has driven gold prices up nearly 3% as major powers compete for commodity dominance, with U.S. refiners and energy firms poised to capitalize on the realignment of heavy crude flows toward the West.
- 24 min
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong: Propelling the Crypto Economy
Brian Armstrong, David Solomon
Brian Armstrong co-founded Coinbase in 2012 to bridge cryptocurrency and traditional finance, growing the platform into a publicly traded entity serving over 150 governments and 80% of Bitcoin ETFs. The company is currently transitioning its infrastructure toward an on-chain ecosystem through its Base Layer 2 solution and open-source AgentKit tools, which facilitate AI-driven payments and tokenized assets. Armstrong has further solidified the industry's political viability by mobilizing two million users to support pro-crypto candidates, positioning regulatory clarity as a prerequisite for the next decade of global financial innovation.
- 35 min
Looking for Trends: One River Asset Management's Eric Peters
Eric Peters, a veteran trader and founder of One River, outlines a macro strategy combining systematic trend following and long volatility to navigate a global debt expansion era while advocating for Bitcoin as a sovereign-resistant collateral. His analysis projects a significant financial crisis within the next decade driven by unsustainable interest obligations, despite current government efforts to leverage AI and monetary policy to delay the inevitable. Peters emphasizes that a robust portfolio must dynamically hedge against these non-linear risks, leveraging historical data showing a 40x return over the S&P 500 since 2007 through this disciplined, non-directional approach.
- 22 min
AppLovin's Adam Foroughi: The Power of a Startup Mindset
AppLovin CEO Adam Farooqi leads the $200 billion mobile technology firm, which leverages a lean 400-person core team and advanced neural networks to dominate performance marketing and generate over $4 billion in annual EBITA. Following a near-total valuation collapse after its 2021 IPO, the company executed a strategic $5 billion share buyback program that restored over $100 billion in market value and drove stock prices to approximately $600 per share. Farooqi sustains this growth by enforcing a culture of extreme operational efficiency, mandatory AI integration for internal workflows, and direct personal oversight of all key hiring decisions.
- 27 min
Transforming Work Productivity with AI: Glean CEO Arvind Jain
Founded by Arvind Krishna to address enterprise productivity crises caused by fragmented knowledge, Glean has evolved from an internal search engine into an agentic AI platform that proactively executes business tasks while maintaining strict data security through permission-based access. The company is on track to facilitate one billion agent actions this year by leveraging a four-year head start in deep integration and specialized "thinking models" that minimize hallucinations. Krishna positions this technology as an augmentation tool designed to expand human potential and strategic capacity rather than replace teams, predicting that the majority of knowledge work will shift to proactive AI systems within five years.
- 11 min
“We Like Bonds”
Goldman Sachs interprets recent U.S. labor data as a temporary distortion driven by the government shutdown, maintaining that the economy remains soft rather than collapsing while projecting only two Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2025. The firm advocates for an intermediate-duration bond strategy between two and five years to balance yield pickup against global term premium risks, avoiding the longer end of the curve despite tight corporate credit spreads. Market outcomes will likely pivot on whether AI-driven productivity achieves a disinflationary expansion or if a sharper labor deterioration prompts a more aggressive monetary response from the central bank.
- 37 min
‘Who’s the Next Winner?’: Diameter Capital’s Scott Goodwin
Scott Goodwin, Michael Brandmeier, John Lewinson
Diameter Capital leverages proprietary data analysis to navigate credit market stress, identifying distress in private credit and SaaS while capitalizing on undervalued opportunities in AI infrastructure and the X (Twitter) debt restructuring. Founded by Scott Goodwin and Jonathan Lewinson, the firm differentiates its strategy by bypassing traditional ratings to target unrated securities, a disciplined approach that generated significant returns on fiber and spectrum bets through active syndicate management with partners like Goldman Sachs. Looking ahead, the firm anticipates a prolonged AI microcycle and a gradual software sector correction, positioning its portfolio to acquire distressed assets as the market shifts from capital expenditure to actual adoption phases.