Goldman Sachs
Showing 121–135 of 533 transcripts.
- 9 min
2026 Outlook: The U.S. Is the Place to Be
Market analysts project a 2026 economic landscape characterized by moderating inflation and a terminal federal funds rate near 3% amid a moderate easing bias. While artificial intelligence investment drives corporate capital expenditure and shifts narratives toward enterprise adoption, equity markets remain resilient with no identified frothiness despite potential credit supply pressures. Strategic guidance for investors emphasizes avoiding recency bias while anticipating policy stability from tariff adjustments and a historically swift execution of administrative priorities.
- 8 min
Are More Rate Cuts Coming?
The Federal Reserve executed a third consecutive 25 basis point rate cut, adopting a dovish stance that diverged from hawkish expectations while Chair Jerome Powell signaled a lower threshold for future adjustments due to labor market concerns. Analyst Josh Schifrin forecasts the federal funds rate will fall to 3% or lower by 2026, projecting a steepening yield curve and a weakening US dollar that should support cautiously bullish equity markets driven by economic acceleration rather than monetary constraints. While long-term rate increases are viewed as compatible with risk assets, Schifrin identifies artificial intelligence thematic concerns as a primary source of potential market volatility and noted a conditional willingness to trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo to secure an NBA championship for the Knicks.
- 28 min
The US-China Tech Race
Mark Kennedy, Paul Triolo, Allison Nathan
The US-China technological rivalry spans four strategic arenas, with Washington retaining dominance in fundamental innovation and China leading in application, infrastructure deployment, and self-sufficiency efforts. While US export controls have stalled China's access to advanced EUV lithography and high-end GPUs, these restrictions are simultaneously accelerating Beijing's parallel development of domestic chip manufacturing and open-source AI models. This dynamic creates a potential future where the US owns core design standards while China controls physical hardware and global markets, though US leadership ultimately hinges on resolving domestic energy grid constraints and sustaining its talent pipelines.
- 10 min
Why the Dollar Could Drop
Goldman Sachs analysts project a 5% to 10% depreciation of the U.S. dollar in the first half of next year driven by shifting fiscal concerns and the resumption of economic data releases. Market expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve rate cut and the upcoming announcement of the Trump administration's Fed Chair nominee are anticipated to accelerate a rebalancing of global allocations away from hard dollar assets. Consequently, trading strategies are increasingly favoring high-yielding emerging market currencies in Brazil and Mexico over developed market alternatives, while betting on long-term Chinese currency appreciation amid historically low volatility.
- 30 min
From Assets to Alpha: David Kostin on US Equities
Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Koston forecasts a 20%+ return for U.S. stocks in 2026 based on economic stability and earnings growth, while distinguishing between the fundamentally grounded public AI market and a potentially bubble-ridden private sector driven by reflexive capital inflows. Despite projecting long-term annualized returns of 6.5% over the next decade, Koston identifies immediate opportunities in undervalued healthcare, stable middle-income consumer sectors, and AI-driven revenue generators as institutional funds struggle to outperform benchmarks. As Koston transitions from the Chief U.S. Equity Strategist role to an Advisory Director position in 2026, his successor Ben Snyder will inherit a market characterized by high concentration risk and shifting investor behavior from asset accumulation to alpha generation.
- 27 min
Managing the World’s Largest Publicly Traded Hedge Fund: Man Group CEO Robyn Grew
Under CEO Robin Grew, Man Group has scaled its assets under management to $193 billion by leveraging a three-generation AI evolution that augments human judgment with agentic systems while strictly enforcing cultural alignment in acquisitions. The firm simultaneously decouples operational scale from staffing costs to expand into credit strategies and US wealth markets, targeting long-term legacy talent rather than offering industry-standard upfront payouts. Looking ahead, Grew anticipates opportunities in resurging credit and bifurcated global economies, positioning the firm's work as essential financial security for healthcare, education, and retirement stability.
- 23 min
The Future of Global Travel: Trip.com Group CEO Jane Sun
Under the leadership of CEO Jane Sun, Trip.com Group has expanded from a domestic flight and hotel provider into a global platform generating over $40 billion in market capitalization with international revenue now comprising 40% of the total. During the pandemic, the company executed a massive crisis response involving $20 billion in borrowings and significant executive salary reductions to ensure immediate customer refunds and sustain its supply chain ecosystem. Looking forward, Trip.com is driving growth through aggressive AI integration, a "one-stop shopping" service model, and strategic initiatives targeting events, the senior demographic, and emerging markets to capture long-tail travel demand.
- 18 min
Across America with Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses
Jill Bomarito, Bill Michaels, Jenny Steffensmeyer
The Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses program functions as a strategic "mini MBA" that equips entrepreneurs like Jill Bomarito, Bill Michaels, and Jenny Steffensmeyer with the framework to transition from daily operations to high-level business management. Through this initiative, case study participants achieved significant scale by addressing critical gaps in cash flow, marketing, and leadership, resulting in sales growth ranging from 20% to tenfold and facilitating shifts from local to international markets. Beyond individual financial gains, the curriculum fosters a supportive peer network that empowers graduates to advocate for small business policy changes and secure their enterprises' long-term succession planning.
- 7 min
Why Stocks Are Getting Wild
Driven by surging expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, equity markets are experiencing heightened volatility that has prompted investors to rotate capital from information technology into defensive sectors like healthcare and financials. Systematic momentum triggers and reduced liquidity have created selling pressure estimated at up to $60 billion in the near term, while strategists recommend hedging large-cap concentration through equal-weighted indices and VIX call spreads to mitigate downside risk.
- 17 min
What’s Driving the Surge in Deal-Making?
Stephan Feldgoise, Allison Nathan, Stefan Feldgauis
Goldman Sachs reports that 2025 witnessed a historic surge in M&A activity, with billion-dollar transactions doubling and late-year volumes matching 2021 peaks despite tariff-related slowdowns. This resilience was driven by the convergence of aggressive buyer appetites, widened capital markets, and a strategic pivot by boards toward long-term AI and biotech consolidation across the Americas and Europe. Looking ahead to 2026, the firm maintains a cautiously bullish outlook anticipating sustained deal mandates, though geopolitical instability and credit market volatility remain the primary risks to this trajectory.
- 16 min
The Apollo Theater’s Michelle Ebanks: Preserving Legacy and Celebrating Harlem's Cultural Scene
Apollo Theater President and CEO Michelle E. Banks, joined by Megan Hogan, outlines the historic venue's evolution from a 1934 Harlem Renaissance hub into a modern civic engine that blends performing arts with social advocacy. The institution sustains this mission through a hybrid financial model that funds artistic risk alongside voter registration and education initiatives, while innovating via omni-channel content strategies to reach global audiences. Leadership emphasizes that the organization's relevance depends on deep community accountability, successfully leveraging its legacy to launch careers ranging from Ella Fitzgerald to contemporary artists like Emmanuel Gerard.
- 8 min
Consumer Concerns and Equity Opportunities
Goldman Sachs' Scott Filer analyzes a consumer landscape marked by record-low sentiment and broad earnings weakness across retail and service sectors, driven by heightened price sensitivity and shifting pandemic-era spending trends. Despite these October headwinds, market participants anticipate a resilient holiday season as consumer activity concentrates on specific peak events rather than the "in-between" periods. Filer advises investors to favor defensive discretionary stocks, such as off-price retailers and auto parts, while avoiding traditional staples burdened by inventory destocking, ahead of potential $60 billion in stimulus spending projected for early 2026.
- 24 min
Will the Fed cut rates in December?
Analysts project a tight December Federal Reserve decision amid data gaps from the government shutdown, while market volatility reflects a recalibration of the AI growth narrative and a corporate shift toward leveraging debt. Corporate sentiment signals an inflection point in capital allocation as hyperscalers increase borrowing and reduce headcounts to chase AI efficiency, echoing historical leverage cycles. Simultaneously, geopolitical shifts and unexpected policy output from the 2025 administration are reshaping global trade flows and currency trends despite persistent inflationary stickiness.
- 23 min
AI and the Enterprise Revolution: Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi
Founded by Ali Ghodsi in 2013 to bridge the gap between AI potential and enterprise reality, Databricks recently secured over $100 billion in Series K funding to expand its multi-cloud strategy and deploy "Agent Bricks" and "Lakehouse" technologies across 500 beta customers. To navigate what Ghodsi identifies as an inflated "AI bubble," the company prioritized strategic acquisitions like Mosaic AI, Tabular, and Neon while rejecting vaporware in favor of revenue-generating use cases such as chatbots and coding assistants. This approach aims to solve critical talent and infrastructure deficiencies, positioning the platform to drive genuine productivity gains over the next decade rather than chasing abstract benchmarks.
- 21 min
The Fed's Tightrope: Inflation, Labor, and the Path Ahead
Rob Kaplan, Allison Nathan, Robert Kaplan
Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan warns that the Federal Reserve faces a difficult December decision on interest rates as conflicting signals from tariffs, immigration uncertainty, and recent government shutdowns complicate the labor market outlook. With inflation running above target and structural mismatches limiting the efficacy of monetary policy, Kaplan argues that immediate cuts carry risks and suggests waiting for clearer data on 2026 growth drivers like AI infrastructure and tax incentives. While political pressure for lower rates exists, Kaplan maintains that the Fed's independent culture remains robust, though he anticipates potential shifts toward long-term bond purchases to manage the balance sheet.