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  1. Y Combinator12 min

    How Intelligent Is AI, Really?

    Diana Hu, Greg Kamradt, François Chollet

    The ARC Prize Foundation, guided by François Chollet's definition of intelligence as efficient novelty, is advancing its benchmark through the upcoming interactive Arc AGI v3, which removes all textual instructions to test agent generalization via video game-like environments. Major industry players including OpenAI, xAI, Google, and Anthropic have adopted the benchmark as a standard metric, though the Foundation explicitly warns that high scores alone do not constitute AGI and emphasizes efficiency in data and energy consumption over simple accuracy. The organization maintains a rigorous stance that true artificial general intelligence will only be declared when systems demonstrate human-level adaptability and efficiency, immediately analyzing any system achieving perfect benchmark scores for potential overfitting rather than accepting them as a final milestone.

  2. Milken Institute6 min

    LeadersLink Kapila Viges

    Kapila Viges

    Kapila Vygis, CEO of the MPN Research Foundation, leveraged the LeadersLink program to secure mentorship and partnerships necessary for establishing a large-scale real-world evidence registry for myeloproliferative neoplasms. This initiative aims to collect electronic medical records to identify disease progression biomarkers and validate "progression-free survival" as a clinical trial endpoint for the 300,000 U.S. patients affected by these rare blood cancers. By adopting a phased roadmap developed with IQVIA and input from diverse stakeholders, the foundation is addressing data quality and cost sustainability to ultimately create curative-focused treatment strategies.

  3. Milken Institute6 min

    LeadersLink Eszter Hars

    Eszter Hars, Esther Harst

    Esther Harst, a molecular biologist and CEO of the Schwarzman-Diamond Syndrome Alliance, is deploying a patient-entered data platform to address the critical lack of "patient voice" insights in treating this rare genetic disorder that causes fatal leukemia in many patients. The initiative has secured IRB approval and is preparing to launch a pilot study to mobilize the community, facilitate clinical trial matchmaking, and catalyze global collaborations through an open architecture. Building on over 20 years of biotech experience, Harst aims to expand the program to the entire SDS community early next year after validating data utility and patient trust during the pilot phase.

  4. The Economist14 min

    Geothermal energy’s massive leap forward

    Vijay Vaitheeswaran, Alok Jha

    Driven by artificial intelligence data center demand and hydraulic fracturing innovations, next-generation Enhanced Geothermal Systems are overcoming historical geological constraints to provide 24/7 firm power. Leading this expansion is Vervo, a startup backed by Bill Gates and Google that recently secured California's largest commercial power purchase contract to generate hundreds of megawatts by 2026. While the U.S. Department of Energy forecasts production exceeding current nuclear output by 2050, realizing this potential requires resolving regulatory complexities regarding seismic supervision and market valuation.

  5. The Economist10 min

    Is China the new superpower?

    Zanny Minton Beddoes, Edward Carr, Ant, David, Ed, Alice

    The analysis examines the People's Liberation Army's advanced regional military capabilities and manufacturing dominance while highlighting severe internal economic stagnation, including three years of deflation and rising youth unemployment. Although China lacks the global projection power of the United States, its strategic focus on national security and superior hypersonic technology positions it to dominate the Indo-Pacific region. Experts conclude that while Beijing will achieve significant geopolitical strength, its long-term stability faces challenges from domestic discontent and an overreliance on foreign markets that it cannot fully control.

  6. Goldman Sachs8 min

    Are More Rate Cuts Coming?

    Josh Schiffrin, Chris Hussey

    The Federal Reserve executed a third consecutive 25 basis point rate cut, adopting a dovish stance that diverged from hawkish expectations while Chair Jerome Powell signaled a lower threshold for future adjustments due to labor market concerns. Analyst Josh Schifrin forecasts the federal funds rate will fall to 3% or lower by 2026, projecting a steepening yield curve and a weakening US dollar that should support cautiously bullish equity markets driven by economic acceleration rather than monetary constraints. While long-term rate increases are viewed as compatible with risk assets, Schifrin identifies artificial intelligence thematic concerns as a primary source of potential market volatility and noted a conditional willingness to trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo to secure an NBA championship for the Knicks.

  7. The Economist6 min

    How is Russia testing the West?

    Gordon Corera, David Rennie

    Russia currently perceives itself under a continuum of low-intensity conflict with the West, interpreting Ukrainian strikes as direct aggression while employing hybrid tactics to destabilize Western democracies and undermine the existing international order. While Moscow retains high risk tolerance born of this siege mentality, recent escalations appear tempered by the fear of triggering an all-out war that would contradict its strategic goal of dismantling Western dominance. Simultaneously, China maintains a cautious distance from Russian recklessness to preserve its own economic stability, creating a complex dynamic where global powers calibrate responses to deter adversary activities without sparking accidental escalation.

  8. The Economist8 min

    Why Syria might face another uprising

    Gareth Browne, Rosie Blau

    President Ahmad al-Shara has secured significant international diplomatic gains and sanctions relief while simultaneously centralizing power through shadow institutions that marginalize the Alawite and Druze communities. This governance strategy has exacerbated sectarian tensions, triggering over 1,500 deaths in recent violence and driving 25,000 former regime affiliates to flee as they organize new insurgencies. Despite restoring civil liberties and dismantling the Assad-era secret police, the administration's failure to provide transitional justice or economic stability threatens to destabilize the state and negate its diplomatic achievements.

  9. The Economist7 min

    Why doesn’t the UK become closer to the EU?

    Zanny Minton Beddoes, Edward Carr

    Analysts predict Prime Minister Starmer will gradually pivot to a pro-EU stance by 2028–2029, driven by strong public support for closer ties that has outlasted the domestic political trauma of Brexit. Concurrently, the government has successfully reduced net migration to approximately 200,000 annually through stricter visa rules, though rising asylum claims continue to fuel a public perception of failing border control. This stabilization of migration figures may enable a political shift toward accepting free movement with the EU within three years, provided internal European instability does not undermine cooperation.

  10. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Why the Dollar Could Drop

    Brian Dunne, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs analysts project a 5% to 10% depreciation of the U.S. dollar in the first half of next year driven by shifting fiscal concerns and the resumption of economic data releases. Market expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve rate cut and the upcoming announcement of the Trump administration's Fed Chair nominee are anticipated to accelerate a rebalancing of global allocations away from hard dollar assets. Consequently, trading strategies are increasingly favoring high-yielding emerging market currencies in Brazil and Mexico over developed market alternatives, while betting on long-term Chinese currency appreciation amid historically low volatility.

  11. The Economist10 min

    Keir Starmer on the threat to centrist politics

    Keir Starmer, Zanny Minton Beddoes

    Prime Minister Keir Starmer frames the upcoming election as a critical defense of centrist democracy against the "populist right," specifically warning that a Reform UK victory would fracture social cohesion, jeopardize foreign security alliances, and radicalize the nation. While rejecting a return to the EU Customs Union, Starmer details a pragmatic "fundamental reset" that has improved trade relations and eased border checks, positioning the UK as a trusted European partner despite the 2016 referendum. The Labour campaign, operating under the slogan "Progressive national renewal," seeks to distinguish its platform from traditional Conservative politics by focusing on economic viability, NHS performance, and national security, asserting that only a progressive government can safeguard the country's future.

  12. The Economist9 min

    What we know about the Ukraine peace plan

    Zanny Minton Beddoes, Edward Carr, Olly, Ed, Shashank, Zannie, Chris

    Emerging from Geneva talks, a draft treaty to partition Ukraine has evolved from a 28-point plan to an 18-point document featuring relaxed military caps and the potential removal of constitutional bans on NATO membership. While special representative Steve Witkoff allegedly advised Russian negotiators on pressure tactics and leaked communications cast suspicion on the security of the process, key disputes remain regarding the status of Donbass, the enforceability of vague US security guarantees, and the exclusion of European military forces. Analysts warn that despite the removal of restrictive weapon bans, the proposed framework relies on unenforceable terms and creates a strategic vacuum for Ukraine's post-war defense.

  13. Goldman Sachs18 min

    Across America with Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses

    Jill Bomarito, Bill Michaels, Jenny Steffensmeyer

    The Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses program functions as a strategic "mini MBA" that equips entrepreneurs like Jill Bomarito, Bill Michaels, and Jenny Steffensmeyer with the framework to transition from daily operations to high-level business management. Through this initiative, case study participants achieved significant scale by addressing critical gaps in cash flow, marketing, and leadership, resulting in sales growth ranging from 20% to tenfold and facilitating shifts from local to international markets. Beyond individual financial gains, the curriculum fosters a supportive peer network that empowers graduates to advocate for small business policy changes and secure their enterprises' long-term succession planning.

  14. The Economist7 min

    Has the world reached “peak Trump”?

    Trump, John Bolton, David Rennie

    A recent analysis challenges foreign expectations of normalizing Trump's political influence, highlighting instead a diminishing Republican Party grip evidenced by the rejection of filibuster-ending calls and internal revolts over the Jeffrey Epstein scandal. While acknowledging significant institutional damage characterized by a "retribution presidency," the speaker asserts that Trump functions more as a destructive force akin to Pompey rather than an authoritarian capable of constitutional seizure. Consequently, the assessment concludes that although current policies require urgent correction, the underlying American system remains resilient enough to eventually repair the damage through sustained effort and long-term democratic stability.

  15. Goldman Sachs7 min

    Why Stocks Are Getting Wild

    Brian Garrett, Chris Hussey

    Driven by surging expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, equity markets are experiencing heightened volatility that has prompted investors to rotate capital from information technology into defensive sectors like healthcare and financials. Systematic momentum triggers and reduced liquidity have created selling pressure estimated at up to $60 billion in the near term, while strategists recommend hedging large-cap concentration through equal-weighted indices and VIX call spreads to mitigate downside risk.