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  1. The Economist10 min

    What can Donald Trump get from Xi Jinping? | The Economist

    Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Jeremy Page, John Prideaux, James Bennet

    Donald Trump's administration faces a complex landscape in US-China relations where both nations share AI safety concerns regarding nuclear weapons and cyber fraud despite deep trust deficits and divergent strategic priorities. Simultaneously, geopolitical tensions over Taiwan persist as President Xi Jinping demands extreme caution regarding arms sales following record-breaking approvals, while direct negotiations between the two leaders challenge previous diplomatic assurances. Economic negotiations may pivot toward establishing a Trade Board to resolve export overcapacity, with Beijing likely to authorize purchases of American soybeans and beef only in exchange for tangible reductions in US trade restrictions.

  2. The Economist6 min

    Will Rahm Emanuel run for president? | The Economist

    Rahm Emanuel, Zanny Minton Beddoes

    A prospective Democratic presidential candidate outlines a strategy for winning swing states by prioritizing "redistribution and growth" while centering campaign values on candor and authenticity to counter perceptions of weakness. On foreign policy, the figure proposes a significant NATO troop realignment west of the Rhine to deter Russia and rebuild U.S.-European trust damaged by recent administrations, while explicitly condemning the 2003 Iraq War and current Gulf conflict as strategic failures. The analysis concludes that American public support for Ukraine will persist provided leadership adopts a "smart" approach that fosters shared burdens rather than isolationism or unilateral mistakes.

  3. The Economist9 min

    Do plants feel pain? | The Economist

    Michael Pollan, Alok Jha

    Biologists Michael Levin and other experts presented evidence that non-neural mechanisms like bioelectric fields enable information processing in organisms without centralized brains, as demonstrated by planaria worm regeneration and conditioned *Mimosa pudica* responses. The event detailed documented plant capabilities including visual mimicry, auditory toxin release, and the distinction between environmental sentience and human-style consciousness. While debate persists regarding whether immobile flora can perceive pain, the consensus among interviewed scientists suggests that plant intelligence is fundamentally an adaptive problem-solving tool rather than a basis for moral objection to consumption.

  4. The Economist8 min

    Are AI models running out of power? | The Economist

    Shailesh Chitnis, Rosie Blau

    Facing severe hardware shortages and monopoly choke points where Nvidia and TSMC dominate supply, major AI developers like OpenAI and Anthropic are throttling services and redirecting resources to manage capacity. In response to these constraints, five cloud providers plan a $700 billion infrastructure build-out while companies grapple with three-to-five-year lead times for essential components and aging chip inventories. This fundamental mismatch between rapid software cycles and slow physical production is projected to reverse declining inference costs, potentially raising prices and slowing overall industry adoption.

  5. The Economist6 min

    How high could the oil price go? | The Economist

    Zanny Minton Beddoes, Edward Carr, Mathieu, Henry

    Global oil markets face a structural crisis where a 14 million barrel-per-day supply deficit has eroded the "sanguine" expectation of a quick peace deal, creating a price disconnect that literature estimates would require $167 to $460 per barrel to correct. With production gains from non-conflicted regions proving negligible, the market is currently absorbing this shortfall through record-fast inventory drawdowns of 8 to 10 million barrels daily, driven by pre-war shipments and sanctions-induced cargo displacement. As critical buffers for jet fuel and diesel approach minimum levels and logistical constraints lengthen trade routes, the only remaining adjustment mechanisms involve further depletion of commercial stocks or active demand destruction in major consuming regions like Asia.

  6. The Economist6 min

    Why does political violence seem to be getting worse in America? | The Economist

    John Prideaux, Rosie Blau

    During the White House Correspondents' Dinner, 31-year-old Cole Thomas Allen breached the Hilton Hotel security checkpoint to attempt an attack on President Trump before being tackled by police. The incident forced an immediate evacuation of the ballroom, resulted in an officer injury, and triggered a review of Secret Service protocols following the shooter's prior claims of lax access measures. While President Trump utilized the event to advocate for new defensive infrastructure and praised the agency's response, experts warn that despite a perceived rise in political violence, the long-term impact on governance and approval ratings will likely remain tied to broader economic conditions rather than the assault itself.

  7. The Economist10 min

    This vaccine could stop the next pandemic | The Economist

    Ainslie Johnstone, Alok Jha

    Advances in immunology over the last 15 years, highlighted by research from Mihaly Netea at Radboud University and a 2024 Stanford study, demonstrate that vaccines like BCG can epigenetically "train" the innate immune system to provide broad-spectrum protection. This emerging approach aims to deploy universal vaccines as a strategic bridge at the onset of pandemics or before flu seasons to maintain societal stability while waiting for highly specific variants to be addressed. Although current findings are limited by species differences, the proposed strategy envisions a complementary model where these broad-acting shots work alongside traditional vaccines to buy critical time against diverse pathogens.

  8. The Economist6 min

    What does The Economist’s election model predict for the midterms | The Economist

    Dan Rosenheck, Jason Palmer

    *The Economist*'s forecasting model predicts a 98% likelihood of Democrats flipping the House while estimating only a 48% chance of securing Senate control, heavily influenced by the President's low approval ratings and historical midterm trends. The Senate outlook hinges on winning key races in North Carolina and Michigan alongside successful Republican recruitments in Ohio and Alaska, as the party requires a 51-seat majority to overcome a structurally favorable map. Although the House projection assumes current district lines remain intact despite potential judicial interventions in Virginia and Florida, the Senate forecast explicitly accounts for primary uncertainty and the critical variable of candidate quality in competitive states.

  9. The Economist9 min

    AI has got better at hacking—how big a risk is it?

    Tom Standage, Alex Hern

    Anthropic withheld its latest model, Mythos, from public release after it demonstrated the ability to autonomously identify and exploit critical software vulnerabilities, such as a 27-year-old OpenBSD flaw, with minimal human intervention. This decision follows evidence that AI scaling laws now enable automated systems to accelerate the vulnerability exploitation cycle from years to mere hours, drastically outpacing current defensive capabilities. While Anthropic employed responsible disclosure by patching the specific bug before sharing details, the incident highlights a growing risk that open-source models will soon democratize high-level cyberattacks.

  10. The Economist9 min

    The new AI model that’s alarming Washington | The Economist

    Zanny Minton Beddoes, Edward Carr, Zannie, Daria, Ed, Alex, Dario Amadei

    Anthropic has unveiled Mythos, an AI model demonstrating unprecedented cybersecurity capabilities that triggered immediate emergency meetings involving US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell, and major tech executives. To prevent the democratization of these dangerous attack vectors, the company has restricted general access to a select group of partners including Apple and Microsoft, mirroring safety protocols from 2019 while aiming to help firms patch vulnerabilities before the technology leaks. This crisis has catalyzed a shift in the Trump administration's stance, prompting discussions on international coordination and a potential industry-led certification framework to manage the deployment of high-risk AI models.

  11. The Economist10 min

    How close is Iran to having a nuclear weapon? | The Economist

    Rafael Mariano Grossi, David Rennie

    Following a 12-day military conflict that obscured the location of 440 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, the IAEA reports no evidence of systematic weapon production despite Iran's failure to account for nuclear material. Agency leadership rejects claims that military strikes or diplomatic promises can neutralize the threat, emphasizing that technical knowledge remains indelible and physical verification is the only viable path to ensuring peaceful compliance. The current geopolitical tension has significantly complicated access to Iranian facilities, leaving the international community without confirmation of whether the undisclosed uranium remains in inspected sites or has been diverted.

  12. The Economist8 min

    Donald Trump’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is a dangerous gamble | The Economist

    Donald Trump, Shashank Joshi, Rosie Blau

    U.S. Central Command is implementing an economic blockade targeting all vessels transiting Iranian coastal waters to cripple Tehran's revenue and force negotiations on its nuclear program. This strategy risks triggering a global energy crisis with Brent crude projected to hit $150 per barrel if Iran retaliates by restricting neutral shipping in the Gulf of Oman. Analysts warn that the move may alienate key allies and ultimately fail, as Tehran appears prepared to outlast the U.S. administration amid approaching midterm elections.

  13. The Economist6 min

    How Hungary’s election result could change Europe | The Economist

    Matt Steinglass, Rosie Blau, Viktor Orban, Peter Magyar, Vladimir Putin

    Hungarian opposition leader Péter Márki-Zay led a historic coalition victory with a two-thirds parliamentary majority, ending 16 years of Viktor Orbán's Fidesz rule after a 77% voter turnout driven by rural discontent over corruption and Russia-aligned policies. The new administration has pledged to immediately unfreeze approximately €20 billion in EU aid and dismantle constitutional "poison pills" that previously allowed the former regime to block agendas, including court control. This pivotal shift secures a path for Hungary to align with European Union norms, removes obstacles to sanctions on Russia, and marks a significant setback for international national conservative populist movements.

  14. The Economist6 min

    Google DeepMind’s boss on AI, power, God and what’s next | The Economist

    Demis Hassabis, Alex Hern

    An AI researcher outlines a vision where artificial general intelligence serves as a fundamental scientific instrument to solve existential challenges like disease and energy crises, rather than a tool for corporate dominance or "making God." Despite a fragmented geopolitical landscape that hinders the preferred international cooperation model, the speaker advocates for cautious optimism and the establishment of minimum safety standards agreed upon by leading labs. This approach aims to ensure the safe delivery of AGI within roughly five years, fulfilling a lifelong mission that prioritizes global benefit over personal accolades.

  15. The Economist7 min

    Has America frozen Israel out of ceasefire talks with Iran? | The Economist

    Anshel Pfeffer, Jason Palmer

    Direct negotiations led by Donald Trump through Pakistan to resolve the Iran conflict face a stalemate because Iran insists on a Lebanon ceasefire and Israel refuses to participate or extend the truce to its northern front. While President Trump reportedly possesses the leverage to force Netanyahu to halt airstrikes, the Prime Minister persists due to domestic election pressures and the failure of the war to achieve its core strategic objectives. These unresolved tensions, compounded by internal U.S. administration dissent and the strategic threat in the Strait of Hormuz, have begun to fracture the previously unified operational alliance between the two nations.