Latest Interviews
Showing 16–30 of 30 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs27 min
The music industry’s turning point
Goldman Sachs projects the global music industry will exceed $150 billion by 2030, driven by a resilient 8–10% annual growth rate fueled by streaming expansion, vinyl resurgence, and rising demand in non-English markets. The report identifies critical structural shifts including planned subscription price increases, the emergence of "superfan" monetization strategies, and ongoing debates over AI integration and royalty reforms to address revenue concentration among the top 5% of artists. While live events have fully recovered from pandemic losses and independent artists gain ground, the sector faces a turning point where major labels must leverage multimedia licensing and global regional trends to sustain growth despite increasing content volume and commercialization barriers.
- Goldman Sachs30 min
Why the ‘great de-stocking’ in oil and commodities could pave the way for future gains
Goldman Sachs forecasts a market transition from a historic destocking phase to a substantial deficit by summer, projecting oil prices to reach $97 per barrel and gold to hit $2,050 by year-end. The firm attributes current low prices to the liquidation of 500 million barrels in physical and paper inventories while maintaining that resilient green infrastructure demand and OPEC+ supply constraints will drive a sharp price rebound if recession fears prove overpriced. Strategic analysis highlights copper as a long-term decarbonization play and suggests that commodity levels currently serve as an effective hedge against persistent inflation and elevated interest rates.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
How much higher can bond yields go?
Rick Rieder, Praveen Korapaty, Alison Nathan, Praveen Kaurapati
BlackRock's Rick Reeder and Goldman Sachs analysts project the Federal Reserve has peaked with rates likely to stay elevated to protect millions of jobs while inflation remains sticky. Global central banks are diverging as the Bank of Japan adjusts its yield curve control and the ECB hikes toward 4%, prompting investors to favor European assets and high-yielding short-duration cash over U.S. credit. This strategic shift aims to capture over 5% annualized returns on the front end of the yield curve while navigating a structurally higher neutral rate environment.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
As China reopens, what’s ahead for commodities in 2023?
Goldman Sachs economists project a 43% rally in commodities during 2023, driven by a convergence of China's economic rebound, persistent supply constraints, and a structural underinvestment cycle that mirrors the bullish conditions of 2007. Key demand drivers include a surge in Chinese oil and copper consumption alongside Europe's urgent need for energy capacity, while OPEC's pricing power remains elevated due to limited spare production outside the Gulf region. Consequently, the report positions the complex as a superior hedge against inflation and market volatility, with copper offering a steadier risk-adjusted return compared to the higher volatility expected in oil markets.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
The global economy in 2075: Growth slows as Asia rises
Goldman Sachs Research has released its 2024 iteration of the long-term global economic forecast, extending the projection horizon to 2075 across 104 economies to analyze structural drivers like demographics and productivity. The study predicts a global population peak of 10 billion by 2050, which will decelerate growth but enable low-income emerging markets to continue converging with developed nations, ultimately driving China to overtake the US economy by 2035 and India to catch up by 2075. While these structural trends support a shift of investment and corporate expansion toward emerging markets, the outlook remains vulnerable to specific risks including rising protectionism and climate change impacts on vulnerable economies.
- Goldman Sachs31 min
What’s ahead for economies and markets in 2023?
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects a 35% probability of a U.S. recession in 2023 despite a baseline forecast for positive growth driven by cooling inflation and a labor market correction via reduced job openings. The firm anticipates Federal Reserve funds rates peaking between 5% and 5.25% by May, followed by a pause and potential cuts in late 2024 as inflation targets 3%. While U.S. equity valuations remain constrained by tight labor and rich pricing, emerging markets and Europe offer deeper discounts supported by anticipated global growth recovery and a structurally weakening dollar.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
What’s next for crypto regulations?
Jay Clayton, Timothy Massad, Marcel Kasumovich, Gary Gorton, Alison Nathan
Following the collapse of major industry players like FTX, former SEC Chair Jay Clayton and former CFTC Chair Timothy Massad advocate for immediate joint standards and a self-regulatory organization to address jurisdictional gaps while enforcing existing laws. This proposed framework aims to balance innovation with investor protection by establishing common rules for asset custody and fraud prevention, despite ongoing debate over whether the current regulatory environment suffers from a lack of clarity or inadequate federal oversight. While experts agree on the resilience of underlying blockchain technology, consensus is shifting toward the imminent introduction of stablecoin regulations and potential Central Bank Digital Currencies to mitigate systemic financial risks.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
The Outlook for Financial Services
Richard Ramsden, Alex Blostein, Alison Nathan
Banking executives report strong current performance and record-low loan losses despite widespread market fears of a recession, as capital markets and M&A activity remain suppressed by high interest rates and valuation resets. Strategic priorities are shifting toward digitalization, alternative assets, and energy transition to counter margin compression, while lenders maintain stable underwriting standards and anticipate a gradual normalization of credit conditions. Although investors anticipate a recovery in capital market activity in the second half of 2023, the sector continues to navigate significant uncertainty regarding unemployment, commercial real estate values, and the broader macroeconomic impact of Federal Reserve tightening.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Asset Allocation Outlook for 2023: Greater Diversification and Divergence
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analyzes 2022's market turbulence, where real yield spikes and inflation-driven volatility caused equities and crypto to decline while commodities and the US dollar surged, fundamentally breaking traditional asset correlations. Looking ahead to 2023, the firm forecasts a high probability of recession and persistent market volatility as investors shift from the "TINA" narrative to seeking reasonable fixed income alternatives and real assets. Strategically, the outlook suggests avoiding overvalued cyclical equities while capitalizing on valuation discounts in international markets and a potential rotation away from the US dollar as it peaks.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Europe’s Energy Crisis: End in sight or far from over?
Samantha Dart, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan
Europe is navigating the current energy crisis with a heightened risk outlook driven by mild weather and robust gas storage, yet structural supply gaps and delayed LNG projects will necessitate recurring demand management through 2024. While geopolitical sanctions and price caps aim to redistribute Russian oil flows, Goldman Sachs forecasts Brent crude reaching $115 per barrel alongside a projected Eurozone recession starting in late 2022 due to persistent inflation. Ultimately, the region faces a volatile trajectory where industrial activity is already contracting and government interventions risk creating future fiscal cliffs if weather patterns turn colder or China's demand rebounds.
- Goldman Sachs47 min
Investing with Altimeter Capital’s Brad Gerstner
Brad Gerstner, Katie Koch, Alison Nathan
Altimeter Capital founder Brad Gerstner forecasts a deep global recession followed by a deflationary shift, positioning the current market dislocation as a historic buying opportunity for high-quality private and public technology assets. He outlines a concentrated investment strategy that prioritizes secular AI and data trends over cyclical volatility, specifically highlighting undervalued opportunities in Meta, Snowflake, and the broader enterprise cloud migration. Beyond portfolio performance, Gerstner advocates for structural wealth inequality solutions through the "Invest America" initiative, which proposes universal investment accounts to democratize ownership of the American economy.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Investing with Advent International’s Tricia Glynn
Tricia Glynn, Alison Mass, Alison Nathan
Advent International's Tricia Glynn outlines a strategy for navigating a volatile macroeconomic landscape by prioritizing governance, downside control, and data-driven insights to drive growth at scale. The firm leverages its global network to advance decarbonization efforts and transfer cross-border technologies like live selling while championing aggressive Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion goals for 2030. Glynn concludes that future investment success will depend on balancing rigorous analytics with human-centric leadership to attract top talent in a transformed labor market.
- Goldman Sachs31 min
A ‘Seismic’ Shift in Private Markets
Goldman Sachs co-president Mike Kester outlines a private market sector growing to $10 trillion that is undergoing a seismic shift toward individual investor participation while navigating a fundraising slowdown driven by the denominator effect. Despite regulatory pressures and a transition away from financial engineering toward active operational management, the industry continues to deliver consistent excess returns and is prioritizing sectors like infrastructure and life sciences. Kester projects that while capital raising will decelerate and valuation reporting standards will tighten, systemic risk remains low due to the pre-syndication of risk to long-term limited partners.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Europe’s Digital Economy: What’s Driving Europe’s Tech Acceleration
Lisa Yang, Alexander Duval, Alison Nathan
Driven by supportive policies and pandemic-induced acceleration, Europe's digital economy has doubled its number of tech unicorns and tripled venture capital funding to nearly $92 billion while legacy firms like L'Oréal and SAP pivot to Direct-to-Consumer strategies. Amidst a significant correction in public markets, investor focus has shifted toward profitability, yet private valuations remain robust for early-stage companies as the European Chips Act mobilizes €40 billion to address semiconductor bottlenecks. With geopolitical tensions reshaping supply chain priorities and niche sectors like online education showing low penetration, the region continues to leverage its global leadership in hardware and B2B verticals to capture substantial future growth.
- Goldman Sachs30 min
Investing in Climate Change 2.0
Mark Carney, Chris James, Alison Nathan, Evie Hambro, Caspar Lorenzen, Jeff Curry
Leading financial institutions and investors, including Mark Carney, Engine No. 1, and BlackRock, are deploying a strategy of active engagement to steer $130 trillion in assets toward a net-zero future, effectively challenging high-emitting industries like ExxonMobil through proxy campaigns and portfolio adjustments. This approach asserts that climate action aligns with fiduciary duty by mitigating long-term risks and capitalizing on market shifts, while experts like Goldman Sachs' Jeff Curry emphasize that private sector efforts alone are insufficient without government-mandated carbon pricing and standardized disclosure frameworks. Ultimately, achieving the required $4 trillion annual climate investment by 2050 depends on a hybrid model where voluntary decarbonization plans are reinforced by binding public policies to ensure efficient capital allocation and affordable energy transitions.