Latest Interviews
Showing 61–75 of 101 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs20 min
Breaking Down the Dollar’s Rise
Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analysts project further U.S. dollar appreciation driven by America's overheating economy and the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes, which contrast with the constrained monetary policies of the ECB, BOJ, and PBOC. While this strength aids U.S. inflation goals, it forces non-U.S. economies into a difficult trade-off between accepting currency depreciation or risking domestic growth through aggressive tightening, with emerging markets facing severe debt vulnerabilities. Exceptions like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso have resisted these trends by initiating earlier rate hikes, yet analysts anticipate the dollar's dominance will persist until U.S. inflation peaks and global growth stabilizes, unlikely before 2023.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Will Slaying Inflation Require Recession?
Jan Hatzius, Olivier Blanchard, Alison Nathan
Olivier Blanchard and Jan Hatzius present conflicting views on whether the post-pandemic labor market can rebalance through reduced vacancies without triggering a recession, with Blanchard predicting unemployment must rise to 6–7% to tame inflation while Hatzius forecasts a modest 4.2% increase by late 2024. Blanchard attributes current structural mismatches and wage-price spirals to a higher natural rate of unemployment requiring severe economic contraction, whereas Hatzius attributes high vacancies to temporary supply constraints that are now resolving through decelerating growth rather than layoffs. The debate highlights divergent recession probabilities, with Blanchard viewing a downturn as inevitable under current Fed tightening and Hatzius estimating a 30% chance over the next year as the economy navigates a potential soft landing.
- Goldman Sachs33 min
Fernando Garcia, Co-Creative Director of Oscar de la Renta & Founder/Creative Director of Monse
Former Oscar de la Renta principal designer Fernando Garcia and partner Laura Fernández founded the gender-neutral label Monse in 2016, leveraging a deconstructed aesthetic and social media strategy to fill a market void before García returned to Oscar de la Renta as co-creative director while retaining ownership of his separate brand. Since the 2014 announcement of his departure, the duo has cultivated a global clientele through a hybrid business model that balances 50% commercial safety with experimental risk, notably driving high-profile celebrity moments like Billie Eilish's viral Met Gala appearance. Their current approach prioritizes cultural adaptability and organic creative evolution, using a melting pot of diverse influences to disrupt traditional luxury norms and guide the brand's shift toward braver, individualistic dressing in the post-pandemic era.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
Facing Rising Rates, Insurers Turn to Private Assets, Real Estate — Even Crypto
Representing over $26 trillion in global assets, the insurance sector leverages its stable, long-duration capital structure to navigate rising inflation and recession fears while shifting allocations toward private markets and inflation hedges. The 11th edition of the 2022 industry survey, reflecting responses from entities managing half of the global market, highlights emerging crypto adoption, divergent regional ESG strategies, and a focus on solvency amid geopolitical instability. These strategic adjustments aim to capitalize on higher reinvestment yields and lower entry points, ultimately seeking to enhance savings product returns and stabilize future premium rates.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
Is (De)globalization Ahead?
Adam Posen, Dani Rodrik, Jim O'Neill, Alison Nathan, Danny Roderick
At a recent economic symposium, Adam Posen, Danny Rodrick, and Jim O'Neill debated whether the post-Cold War era of globalization is facing a reversal or merely a structural shift driven by the Ukraine war and pandemic. While Posen and Rodrick warn that geopolitical friction is fragmenting the global economy into U.S. and Chinese blocs that may reinforce secular stagnation, O'Neill counters that trade growth has recently accelerated and argues for profit-focused reforms to address inequality. The consensus suggests that future economic stability will depend less on international trade frameworks and more on domestic policies prioritizing labor rights, technology dissemination, and the mitigation of inequality.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
The Road to 2050: Balancing Climate Goals with Energy Security
Kara Mangone, John Goldstein, Allison Nathan
Amidst geopolitical shifts and energy security concerns, the global financial sector is transitioning ESG from a broad screening metric to a core investment strategy focused on nuanced company analysis and resilience. Major asset owners maintain their net-zero commitments despite market volatility, driving nearly 90% of global GDP into climate-aligned frameworks while capital discipline prioritizes prudent investment timing over divestment. To address critical funding gaps, institutions like Goldman Sachs are leveraging public-private partnerships to mobilize private capital, supported by a strategic pivot toward standardized progress metrics and "EBITDA of decarbonization" that track execution over lagged emissions data.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Europe’s Digital Economy: What’s Driving Europe’s Tech Acceleration
Lisa Yang, Alexander Duval, Alison Nathan
Driven by supportive policies and pandemic-induced acceleration, Europe's digital economy has doubled its number of tech unicorns and tripled venture capital funding to nearly $92 billion while legacy firms like L'Oréal and SAP pivot to Direct-to-Consumer strategies. Amidst a significant correction in public markets, investor focus has shifted toward profitability, yet private valuations remain robust for early-stage companies as the European Chips Act mobilizes €40 billion to address semiconductor bottlenecks. With geopolitical tensions reshaping supply chain priorities and niche sectors like online education showing low penetration, the region continues to leverage its global leadership in hardware and B2B verticals to capture substantial future growth.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
The Next Tech Battleground: Online Gaming & the Metaverse
Jung Min, Alison Nathan, Zhang Min
The global gaming industry has matured into a $200 billion sector driven by live operations and recurring revenue, prompting a wave of strategic mergers and acquisitions to diversify portfolios and secure market dominance. Major technology leaders like Microsoft and Tencent are now allocating significant capital to gaming as a foundational pathway for the metaverse and Web 3.0, viewing the sector as a critical incubator for future digital infrastructure. This ongoing platform shift, which mirrors the transition from desktop to mobile, is projected to create new monetization models and drive substantial global economic growth over the next decade.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Piloting Through: Why Investors Should Stay the Course
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs' Investment Strategy Group, led by Chief Investment Officer Sharmeen Masavaramani, maintains a "stay invested" stance on U.S. equities for 2022, forecasting a 6% to 12% total return despite valuations in the 10th decile. The firm projects robust U.S. economic growth of 3.5% to 4.0% and 12% earnings expansion, suggesting that the current equity risk premium remains attractive relative to fixed income even as the Federal Reserve implements three to four interest rate hikes. While acknowledging volatility risks such as geopolitical shocks and persistent inflation, the group advises slowly adding to equity positions and maintains a strategic overweight to U.S. stocks over international markets based on superior historical earnings performance.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
What India’s Digital Transformation Means for Markets, Investors and Economic Growth
Tim Moe, Sunil Koul, Santanu Sengupta, Allison Nathan
Presented by Goldman Sachs, the 2022 session forecasts India's GDP growth at 9.1% while warning that equities trade at historically high valuations necessitating a three-rate hike trajectory by the Reserve Bank of India. Analysts highlight a structural shift where the "new economy" sector's weight in indices could surge to 15–16%, mirroring China's past decade of wealth creation despite near-term headwinds from inflation and a robust IPO pipeline. The discussion concludes by outlining key risks related to balance of payments and wage inflation that could complicate monetary normalization as the region pursues this digital transformation.
- Goldman Sachs30 min
Rick Rieder, CIO of Global Fixed Income, BlackRock and Jan Hatzius, Chief Economist, Goldman Sachs
Rick Rieder, Jan Hatzius, Tony Pasquariello
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius and BlackRock's Rick Reeder debate the trajectory of U.S. inflation, with Hatzius forecasting a return to 2% by next year while Reeder warns of structural stickiness driven by wage pressures and corporate pricing power. The panelists assess the sustainability of current U.S. debt levels through low real interest rates and critique past fiscal interventions, noting that the 2021 American Rescue Plan was larger than necessary compared to the decisive pandemic response. Shifting to investment strategy, Reeder advocates for growth equities and European credit, whereas Hatzius emphasizes evolving forecast models that prioritize probability distributions over single-point predictions to navigate the current economic regime.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Why Hedge Funds Are Turning to the Private Markets
Kristin Kramer, Freddie Parker, Allison Nathan
Hedge funds are rapidly expanding their private market exposure in 2021 by deploying $153 billion across 770 deals, driven by extended corporate lifecycles, soaring valuations, and the strategic need to secure IPO allocations. Predominantly led by equity long-short managers in the TMT and Healthcare sectors, these firms utilize late-stage investments to access high-disclosure environments while offering volatility dampening and lifecycle investment capabilities distinct from traditional private equity. This structural shift is reshaping capital market dynamics as investors adopt specialized vehicles like side pockets and hybrid funds to balance liquidity concerns against the permanent integration of private assets into public market strategies.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Outlook for Global Growth: Less Synchronized, More Complicated
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a November 2021 announcement for asset purchase tapering while Goldman Sachs lowered its 2021 U.S. GDP growth forecast to 6% amid rising virus cases and global supply chain disruptions. Despite revising core PCE inflation expectations upward to 3.75% for the current year, the central bank anticipates the spike will remain temporary and defer rate hikes until potentially mid-2023. This cautious stance aims to balance the risk of new viral variants and the expiration of unemployment benefits, which together are expected to drive approximately 1.5 million additional jobs by late 2021.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
How Are Investors Navigating China’s Regulatory Uncertainty?
Stephanie Hui, Basak Yavuz, Prakriti Sofat, Alison Nathan
Amidst rapid regulatory shifts in China's ed-tech, cybersecurity, and antitrust sectors, Goldman Sachs advocates a neutral to overweight stance on Chinese equities while targeting decarbonization and self-sufficiency themes. Private market investors are reorienting capital toward sustainable business models and ESG-aligned "S" factors, viewing recent valuation corrections as a strategic opportunity rather than a fundamental departure. Although volatility has pressured specific property and technology segments, the broader consensus points to a structural realignment favoring companies demonstrating societal benefit and long-term resilience.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
The Future of ‘Femtech’
Ann Roberts, Lea von Bidder, Dr. Peter Kecskemethy, Antonia Riera, Allison Nathan, Leah Von Bitter
Flow Health CEO Anne Roberts, Ava co-founder Leah Von Bitter, and Chiron Medical founder Peter Ketch-Kometi led a strategic discussion on defining the Femtech sector through evidence-based science and rigorous regulation rather than consumer tech labels. The panelists detailed how their respective companies are leveraging machine learning and wearable physiology data to achieve massive scale, with Flow Health reporting 107% revenue growth and Ava successfully pivoting its algorithms for early COVID detection. While acknowledging the sector's unique capital challenges compared to fintech, the founders outlined future roadmaps focused on expanding product portfolios into menopause and contraception while pushing for AI-driven regulatory frameworks to enable broader clinical adoption.