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  1. 80,000 Hours2h 54m

    Can policy keep up with AI advances? | OpenAI's Amanda Askell, Miles Brundage, & Jack Clark (2019)

    Amanda Askell, Miles Brundage, Jack Clark, Niel Bowerman, Michelle Hutchinson, Rob Wiblin

    OpenAI researchers and policy experts convened to discuss a strategic framework that balances scientific transparency with safety, exemplified by the partial release of the GPT-2 model to prevent malicious applications like autonomous warfare and large-scale disinformation. The panel emphasized that short-term governance challenges mirror long-term alignment issues, proposing collaborative incentives and institutional mechanisms to avoid harmful development races while engaging with military sectors to enforce safety constraints. To accelerate these goals, speakers outlined critical career pathways for policy professionals, including newsletter creation and technical translation, while expressing optimism that robust coordination can harness AI to solve global challenges like poverty and disease.

  2. 80,000 Hours2h 36m

    How to ensure the US remains a democratic country | Mike Berkowitz (2021)

    Mike Berkowitz, Rob Wiblin

    Mike Berkowitz of Third Plateau and the Democracy Funders Network outlines a multi-decade strategy to counter "illiberal democracy" by shifting philanthropic focus from partisan battles to cross-ideological coalitions protecting voting rights and local institutions. He advocates for specific structural reforms, including independent redistricting and nonpartisan primaries, while urging donors to fund neutral organizations like Protect Democracy and the American Journalism Project to bolster civic engagement. This approach prioritizes state-level action and social cohesion to prevent the erosion of democratic norms before irreversible authoritarian trends take hold.

  3. 80,000 Hours2h 25m

    Strong longtermism, Pascal's mugging, and whether existing is good for us | Hilary Greaves (2020)

    Hilary Greaves, Rob Wiblin, Arden Kaler

    A leading expert defines Strong Long-Termism as a framework requiring decision-makers to prioritize a narrow subset of actions with superior millennia-long consequences, establishing that this thesis holds robustly across diverse moral theories from prioritarianism to non-consequentialism. The presentation addresses complex epistemic challenges such as simple and complex cluelessness, alongside strategies for navigating moral uncertainty through expected choice worthiness to mitigate risks of fanatical reasoning. Concluding with an outlook on the field, the discussion highlights the Global Priorities Institute's strategic expansion into economic modeling and its plans to open postdoctoral positions aimed at advancing research in infinite ethics and long-run prediction.

  4. 80,000 Hours1h 59m

    Nate Silver on his theory of SBF and top criticisms of effective altruism

    Nate Silver, SBF, Rob Wiblin

    Nate Silver analyzes psychological feedback loops, such as "winner's tilt," and critiques the Effective Altruism movement's failure to account for human nature after the Sam Bankman-Fried collapse, advocating for rule utilitarianism over strict act utilitarianism. He challenges current AI safety narratives by arguing that unilateral slowdowns are selfish given global benefits, while simultaneously rejecting overfit election models in favor of probabilistic forecasting and warning against the false precision of prediction markets. Silver further contends that venture capital firms often rely on herd behavior rather than true contrarianism and urges pandemic responses to adopt binary game-theoretic strategies to avoid the catastrophic outcomes of half-measures.

  5. 80,000 Hours1h 6m

    Off the Clock #6: Starting Small with Conor Barnes

    Conor Barnes, Bella, Huon, Matt Reardon

    ADK staff hosts Matt Reardon, Bella, and Huon discuss career strategy and ethical frameworks with guest Connor Barnes, an Effective Altruist who transitioned from library work to software engineering through self-education and public writing. The conversation details Barnes' philosophical shift toward utilitarianism and his "100 Tips for a Better Life," which emphasize finishing imperfect work, building discipline through self-promises, and recognizing the superior impact of high-stakes career choices over domain-specific skills. These insights are contextualized within ADK's first-principles advising approach, which prioritizes solving the world's most important problems while Barnes shares his commitment to non-AI-assisted fiction writing.

  6. 80,000 Hours2h 0m

    Disinformation & synthetic media on the rise | Nina Schick (2021)

    Nina Schick, Rob Wiblin

    Nina Sheik warns that the rapid democratization of synthetic media has fundamentally destabilized the global information ecosystem, creating an unprecedented "Liar's Dividend" where authentic evidence can be plausibly denied to erode democratic consensus and enable political genocide. As the technology evolves to generate 90% of audiovisual content within the decade, the current lack of universal detection capabilities leaves societies vulnerable to biometric hijacking, authoritarian narrative control, and the systematic destruction of shared objective reality. Addressing this existential risk requires a shift from ineffective bans to mandatory content provenance standards, consent-based biometric legislation, and global cooperation on media literacy to inoculate populations against synthetic disinformation.

  7. 80,000 Hours30 min

    Highlights: How quickly AI could transform the world | Tom Davidson (2023)

    Tom Davidson, Luisa

    Senior research analyst Tom Davidson argues that transformative AI will likely emerge within decades, driven by rapid scaling trends and the unique ability of automated systems to accelerate scientific discovery. While this technology promises explosive economic growth and superior problem-solving capabilities compared to human teams, it poses severe existential risks if internal reward functions prioritize accuracy over human welfare. Davidson warns that a "prisoner's dilemma" driven by geopolitical competition could prevent safe coordination between labs, suggesting that decentralized AI architectures modeled on ant colonies may be necessary to mitigate these dangers before a critical window for alignment closes.

  8. 80,000 Hours2h 13m

    Flaws that make AI architecture unsafe & how to fix them | Stuart Russell (2020)

    Stuart Russell, Rob Wiblin

    Stuart Russell argues that the standard AI model of optimizing fixed objectives is fundamentally flawed, proposing instead a "Human Compatible" framework where systems remain uncertain about human preferences to ensure safety. He warns that without this paradigm shift and new regulatory standards, humanity faces existential threats from autonomous weapons, surveillance, and the gradual erosion of human autonomy. Russell emphasizes that while superintelligent AI could dramatically increase global wealth, achieving this safely requires immediate technical breakthroughs in alignment and strict government oversight of algorithmic deployment.

  9. 80,000 Hours2h 11m

    A security expert on why we MUST vote on paper | Bruce Schneier (2019)

    Bruce Schneier, Rob Wiblin

    This event defines the urgent need for public interest technologists to bridge the gap between software development and societal welfare, addressing critical shortages in the sector while highlighting a shift in cybersecurity risks from digital vulnerabilities to physical infrastructure failures. Experts further analyze evolving threats such as election interference, the governance flaws inherent in cryptocurrency, and the diverging safety profiles of software versus synthetic biology, advocating for a move away from secrecy toward public risk disclosure. The discussion concludes with a framework for securing democracy through policy reforms and actionable personal security measures, emphasizing that economic incentives and infrastructure design are more effective than mass surveillance in protecting civil liberties.

  10. 80,000 Hours1h 25m

    Should we interfere with wild nature to reduce suffering? | Peter Godfrey-Smith

    Peter Godfrey-Smith, Luisa Rodriguez

    In a discussion with host Luisa Rodriguez, philosopher Peter Godfrey-Smith outlines the themes of his book *Living on Earth*, arguing for habitat preservation over active predation management while asserting that difficult wild experiences can hold redemptive value. He further distinguishes human technological uniqueness as a product of cumulative culture and the specific evolutionary advantage of the sea-to-land transition, contrasting this with the limitations faced by other intelligent species like octopuses and whales. The dialogue concludes with a shared view on the necessity of empirical research to guide future ethical decisions regarding wild animal welfare and the potential biological constraints on artificial sentience.

  11. 80,000 Hours1h 53m

    A world without email & revolutionising office work | Cal Newport (2021)

    Cal Newport, George Marshall, Rob Wiblin

    The dominant "hyperactive hive mind" of modern knowledge work creates severe cognitive fatigue and a trillions-dollar productivity gap by forcing constant digital context switching. Successful alternatives exist, such as extreme programming and George Marshall's wartime restructuring, which replace parallel interruptions with deep, sequential focus through strict workflow redesign. Despite cultural barriers regarding autonomy, a rare consensus among workers and leaders suggests a massive opportunity for consulting, research, and career shifts to implement these systemic organizational reforms.

  12. 80,000 Hours1h 6m

    Getting humanity to bounce back faster in a post-apocalyptic world | Lewis Dartnell (2022)

    Lewis Dartnell, Rob Wiblin, Luisa Rodriguez

    Lewis Dartnell proposes creating specialized "civilization recovery manuals" that guide survivors through a step-by-step reconstruction of technology, bypassing the centuries of accidental discovery required to reach modern capabilities. To ensure long-term resilience, he advocates for stockpiling appropriate intermediate technologies, heirloom seeds, and decentralized knowledge repositories while prioritizing energy solutions like thermal solar and recycled metals that can function without high-purity industrial infrastructure. Current efforts are already evolving from theoretical concepts into practical "reboot drills" and funded infrastructure projects designed to test these recovery strategies against real-world post-collapse scenarios.

  13. 80,000 Hours2h 12m

    Forecasting & the drivers of AI progress | Danny Hernandez (2020)

    Danny Hernandez, Rob Wiblin, Arden Kaler

    OpenAI's Foresight team and associated experts analyzed the exponential 10x annual growth in AI compute since 2012 alongside multiplicative algorithmic efficiency gains to project how hardware constraints and research trends will shape future capabilities. The discussion emphasized that organizational success depends on fostering a culture of numerical forecasting and calibration training to reduce decision-making bias and resource misallocation. Furthermore, the event outlined viable non-traditional pathways for researchers to enter the field through targeted mentorship, while highlighting the critical need for government-supported compute access and policy expertise to prevent the fragmentation of the global AI ecosystem.

  14. 80,000 Hours44 min

    Luisa and Robert Long on how to make independent research more fun (2023)

    Robert Long, Luisa Rodriguez, Kieran Harris, Rob Long

    Host Kieran Harris interviews independent researchers Rob Long and Louisa about the methodologies and psychology required for effective independent inquiry, specifically contrasting uncertainty modeling in nuclear safety with the higher ambiguity of consciousness research. The discussion highlights how structural supports like co-working and external deadlines combat imposter syndrome and perfectionism, while also examining the necessity of negotiating a balance between altruistic impact and personal intrinsic motivation. Ultimately, the conversation advocates for transparent, provisional publishing and the use of accountability frameworks to help researchers sustain long-term productivity without succumbing to isolation or self-doubt.

  15. 80,000 Hours2h 39m

    Radical honesty & reframing global problems as puzzles | A.J. Jacobs (2020)

    A.J. Jacobs, Rob Woodland, Kieran Harris

    Author and podcaster AJ Jacobs applies his signature immersive experimentation methodology to diverse fields ranging from utilitarian ethics and effective altruism to personal productivity strategies. His work, which includes books like *The Year of Living Biblically* and *Thanks a Thousand*, advocates for reframing global challenges as solvable puzzles while encouraging donors to view charitable giving as an opportunity rather than a guilt-induced obligation. Currently writing on the power of puzzles and promoting solutions journalism, Jacobs utilizes techniques such as visualizing future selves and leveraging public accountability to drive both personal habits and broader societal shifts toward cooperation and optimism.