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  1. Goldman Sachs26 min

    How AI Debt Is Reshaping Credit Markets

    Amanda Lynam, Zach Ablon, Allison Nathan

    Global credit markets have shifted as AI-driven debt issuance from hyperscalers and the broader ecosystem now dominates supply, reaching nearly $500 billion year-to-date in 2026 alone. This unprecedented concentration is reshaping the Investment Grade landscape by skewing duration weight toward tech giants like Amazon and Google, while simultaneously testing market absorption limits and driving spread widening among insurance investors. As traditional US IG capacity approaches a $510 billion ceiling, the financing void is forcing a structural pivot toward private capital, non-USD jurisdictions, and alternative vehicles like project finance to sustain the multi-trillion-dollar AI investment cycle.

  2. Goldman Sachs30 min

    The Healthcare Outlook: Macro Challenges and Biotech Innovations

    Asad Haider, Amit Sinha, Allison Nathan

    Following five years of underperformance driven by capital rotation into artificial intelligence and regulatory uncertainty regarding drug pricing, the U.S. healthcare sector is undergoing a structural correction characterized by a declining S&P 500 weighting and a shift in early-stage capital formation toward private markets. Despite these macro headwinds, specific innovation cycles in oral obesity treatments, oncology, and cardiovascular therapeutics are creating idiosyncratic opportunities, particularly within the mid-cap biotech space where investors are beginning to recognize potential for outsized returns on revenue. While large pharmaceutical firms report initial AI-driven cost savings, market participants remain cautious, awaiting tangible earnings improvements before fully re-rating assets in an environment defined by a looming patent cliff and reduced federal research funding.

  3. Goldman Sachs20 min

    Is a US fiscal crisis ahead?

    Kenneth Rogoff, Niall Ferguson, Allison Nathan, Ken Rogoff, Neil Ferguson

    Economists Ken Rogoff and Niall Ferguson argue that the United States faces an unsustainable fiscal trajectory driven by rising global interest rates and a critical threshold where sovereign debt servicing costs have surpassed defense spending. They warn that without political reforms or productivity breakthroughs from artificial intelligence, the nation risks a rapid financial crisis involving inflation or a permanent erosion of the dollar's reserve currency status. This convergence of historical parallels and modern geopolitical fragmentation suggests the U.S. must navigate a difficult choice between austerity, higher inflation, or diminished global influence within the coming years.

  4. Goldman Sachs29 min

    Power surge: AI, renewable energy, and the future of electricity

    Carly Davenport, Alberto Gandolfi, Brian Singer, Allison Nathan

    Global power demand is surging due to generative AI and data center expansion, with US growth forecast to accelerate to a 2.5% CAGR by 2030 while Europe faces similar pressure from electrification plans. Goldman Sachs predicts an "all-of-the-above" generation strategy dominated by natural gas and renewables to support an estimated $50 billion in new US infrastructure investment, even as nuclear adoption shifts toward direct power purchase agreements and small modular reactors. This transition faces significant bottlenecks including multi-year permitting delays, equipment shortages, and grid modernization needs, positioning the sector for a generational investment boom over the next decade.