Boaz Weinstein

Corporate Credit Concerns

Boaz Weinstein, Lotfi Karoui, Alyssa Nathan, Latvi Karwi

Goldman Sachs Chief Credit Strategist Latvi Karwi projects a benign credit outlook with default rates stabilizing near historical averages, while Saba Capital's Boaz Weinstein warns that tight spreads fail to price in significant macroeconomic uncertainty and rising bankruptcy risks. The discussion highlights a structural divergence where leveraged loan issuers face immediate floating-rate pressure despite investment-grade fundamentals, alongside a growing schism in default rates between public and private credit markets. Consequently, investment strategies are split between capitalizing on carry in fixed income versus rotating into U.S. Treasuries to hedge against the technical risks of rapid spread widening and potential valuation compression.