Bruno Brasenia
Showing 1–2 of 2 transcripts.
- Bank of America20 min
Payroll call
Sphia Salim, Zviya Salim, Aditya Abbas, Shruti Mishra, Alex Cohen, Mark Havana, Bruno Brasenia
The June 5th release of U.S. payroll data significantly surpassed consensus expectations with 120,000 private sector jobs added and upward revisions of 93,000, driven primarily by leisure, hospitality, and local government roles. This strength shifted risk distributions toward a hawkish stance for the Federal Reserve, yet strategists maintain that a June rate hike remains unlikely due to stable unemployment and wage growth, anticipating that Chair Jerome Powell will address inflation concerns at upcoming Senate testimony. Consequently, the dollar rallied against major currencies while two-year Treasury yields jumped over 10 basis points, though market pricing for pre-midterm rate increases may overestimate immediate policy action given lingering skepticism about Chair Powell's timeline.
- Bank of America19 min
Ceasefire, rates and the US consumer
Ralf Preusser, Bruno Braizinha, Sophia Salim, David Tinsley, Sfia Salim, Bruno Brasenia
Driven by persistent energy supply shocks and uncertain inflation baselines, market analysts project a limited number of European Central Bank rate hikes, with 10-year yields forecast to decline toward 2.9% before falling further to 2.7% by 2027 as growth risks persist. Concurrently, the volatility landscape reflects a regional divergence where European markets lag US levels due to rich pricing, while Asian markets like China demonstrate unique immunity to geopolitical tensions. In the US, consumer spending remains robust at a 3.2% annualized rate fueled by tax refunds and wage growth, creating a K-shaped recovery where higher-income groups drive discretionary gains despite rising gasoline costs.