Dennis Berman

White Swans, Grey Swans and Black Swans for the Global Economy

Dennis Berman, Bill Gross, Jim McCaughan, Ross Perot, Jr., Nouriel Roubini

Nouriel Roubini and panelists analyze a divergent global economy where technological expansion and stable oil prices coexist with severe structural risks, including labor displacement by AI, European financial fragility, and rising geopolitical tensions. The discussion highlights critical policy failures in monetary and fiscal spheres, warning that low interest rates and populist backlashes may precipitate a "Lehman-type" crisis or a hard landing in China. Despite these challenges, the dialogue concludes with a long-term optimistic view that historical innovation will ultimately create new employment paradigms to counteract current demographic and social divides.