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  1. The Economist6 min

    The art of deception in modern war | The Economist

    Jack Watling, Shashank Joshi

    The event analyzes how modern deception strategies now target an adversary's intent rather than mere presence to neutralize overwhelming surveillance, drawing on historical precedents like D-Day alongside recent intelligence failures in Ukraine, Israel, and Russia. It further details how transparent battlespaces compel forces to deploy resource-intensive drone operations that paradoxically increase human density and logistical footprints, requiring teams of five and nearly two tons of equipment per unit. By forcing enemies to waste munitions on decoys, these tactics aim to degrade capabilities, though the summary notes their inherent vulnerability and limited operational endurance of roughly three days.

  2. RAISE Summit20 min

    Beyond the Helpdesk: AI Turning IT Into a Strategic Function | Serval | RAISE Summit 2026

    Jake Stauch, Anas Biad

    Serval is an AI-native platform that completely rebuilds IT Service Management infrastructure to replace legacy systems like ServiceNow by integrating dual-agent architecture for full automation of enterprise workflows. Co-founded by Jake, the company has driven an 80% automation rate for major clients such as SeatGeek and Ramp, enabling thousands of IT staff to shift from support roles to building cross-functional solutions in marketing, legal, and HR. By treating AI as a core foundation rather than an add-on layer, Serval allows enterprises to eliminate support queues and rapidly reinvent their operational roadmaps every six months.

  3. Goldman Sachs19 min

    US Midyear Outlook: Geopolitical Shocks, the New Fed Era, and Growth

    David Mericle, Alison Nathan

    Recent U.S. economic data reveals unexpectedly resilient job growth and stickier inflation stabilizing near 3%, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and AI-related price measurement distortions. Goldman Sachs forecasts core PCE inflation to settle around 2.1% with real GDP growth of 2%, prompting expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates through July while shifting its policy stance toward neutralizing inflation regardless of its source. Despite market speculation regarding rate hikes, the primary economic risk remains a potential escalation of the Middle East conflict that could trigger sustained price increases and destabilize financial markets.

  4. Bank of America6 min

    Signals & Noise: Our case for 3 rate hikes this year

    Aditya Bhave

    PFA Securities forecasts three cumulative 75 basis point Federal Reserve rate hikes in late 2026 to correct a policy stance that analysts deem 75 basis points too accommodative relative to flat unemployment and rising core PCE inflation. While some clients dispute the severity of inflation or the Fed Chair's hawkish intent, the firm argues that a 2.5% underlying inflation rate necessitates restrictive measures to prevent long-term credibility loss and yield curve steepening. Consequently, the analysts predict that if the Fed moves, the initial adjustment will likely be a single 50 basis point hike to align financial conditions with mid-cycle norms.

  5. Bank of America6 min

    Must Read Research: High Bar for 2Q; Netflix; Heatwaves and Corn; US TSY Softening Demand

    T.J. Thornton, Candace Browning

    Civita "Supermanian" projects a robust Q2 2026 earnings season driven by a 28% year-on-year EPS growth forecast, with technology and semiconductors leading the charge despite IBM's record-breaking stock decline. In the consumer tech sector, Netflix faces intense valuation scrutiny over declining engagement metrics and a 50% stock pullback, even as analysts debate the longevity of its ad-supported revenue model against competition from short-form platforms. Concurrently, global agriculture confronts severe supply risks from Northern Hemisphere heatwaves threatening EU corn output, while US Treasury markets navigate diminishing foreign demand as Japanese holdings stagnate and participation in auctions slips below 20%.

  6. The Economist7 min

    Why the AI race won't have a winner | The Economist

    Arthur Mensch, Alex Hern

    Europe is pursuing a fragmented AI strategy that leverages sovereign capabilities in specific domains like audio processing and symbolic reasoning to capture a projected $1 trillion market without relying on a single US provider. National governments in France, Luxembourg, and other states are accelerating industrial policy to secure strategic power comparable to oil, prioritizing the ownership of AI infrastructure to enhance civil servant productivity. This approach aims to stabilize the region's economy against global commercial imbalances while addressing demographic challenges by using AI to augment, rather than replace, the aging workforce.

  7. Goldman Sachs18 min

    Carlos Cordeiro on the Legacy of the FIFA World Cup 2026

    Carlos Cordeiro, Gene Sykes

    The 2026 FIFA World Cup marks a historic first with 48 teams competing across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, generating projected revenues of $14 billion for FIFA and a $20–25 billion impact on U.S. GDP. Under the strategic leadership of co-chair Carlos Cordero, this joint bid leveraged unified North American governance to secure the tournament and fund development programs that currently sustain one-third of global football federations. While aiming to broadcast to 6 billion viewers and shift international perceptions of the region, the event is designed to catalyze a shift in player development, fostering homegrown talent capable of challenging established football powers.

  8. The Economist7 min

    Why Le Pen is keeping Trump at a distance | The Economist

    Le Pen, Trump, Edward Carr, Adam Roberts, Sophie Pedder

    France currently stands as Europe's only power combining significant military spending with the operational will to deploy forces globally, fostering a strong strategic partnership between President Macron and Prime Minister Starmer. Conversely, the rise of the far-right National Rally under Marine Le Pen threatens to fracture the EU's core France-Germany axis by prioritizing national sovereignty over integration, potentially clashing with Berlin on Ukraine policy and demanding fiscal concessions. While Le Pen's administration seeks to reduce EU contributions and rollback regulations, the French public's reluctance toward total withdrawal may force the party to adopt a more restrained, albeit disruptive, approach to European reform.

  9. Goldman Sachs12 min

    How Earnings, Volatility, and AI Capex Are Affecting US Markets

    Brian Garrett, Chris Hussey

    Amid a high earnings bar and $6 trillion in projected AI infrastructure capital demands, the market faces divergent pressures between rising single-stock volatility and muted index fluctuations. Goldman Sachs addresses these tensions by recommending specific trades that exploit anomalous option pricing, such as single-stock collars and highly leveraged downside protection on the S&P 500. These strategies aim to capitalize on compressed index volatility while preparing investors for imminent catalysts including the July PCE inflation print and the Federal Reserve's upcoming FOMC meeting.

  10. Sourcery with Molly O'Shea16 min

    SpaceX's Former CIO: "Never Worked Harder in My Life"

    Ken Venner, Elon Musk, Molly, Jordan

    Ken, leveraging his track record of scaling Broadcom and building operational infrastructure at SpaceX, has joined Senra Systems to automate and consolidate the fragmented cable harness market essential for autonomous vehicles. Drawing on principles of first-principles thinking and a "rinse and repeat" manufacturing model, he is deploying AI-driven platforms to transform the industry with a significantly leaner technical team. Over the next year, the organization aims to prove that technology can drastically reduce costs while improving quality, effectively turning a dormant sector into a scalable global enterprise.

  11. Goldman Sachs9 min

    David Solomon Joins CNBC to Discuss 2Q Earnings, the Deal-Making Environment, and AI

    David Solomon

    Goldman Sachs reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase and 78% earnings growth, attributing this performance to a "technology super cycle" where AI infrastructure demands have created a capital formation environment with supply constrained by high demand. Management characterized the current market as being in the early stages of a long-term trend, citing the $1 trillion in capex from six major firms and robust capital raising activity from entities like Alphabet as evidence of sustainable growth rather than a bubble. Despite acknowledging potential economic dislocations, the firm expects the U.S. economy to navigate speed bumps effectively while leveraging strong client demand to drive selective deal origination and $20 billion in quarterly revenue across capital markets, M&A, and wealth management.

  12. Goldman Sachs18 min

    How Falling Launch Costs and AI Are Driving the Space Economy

    Michael Tarulli, Erik Sparks, Alison Nathan

    Driven by a 95% cost reduction through rocket reusability, the global space economy has shifted from government dominance to an 80% commercial model currently valued at $625 billion. Key technological transitions to Low Earth Orbit constellations and AI integration are fueling growth toward a projected trillion-dollar market by 2040, though investors still prioritize order backlogs over profitability amidst high launch failure risks. While geopolitical tensions and collision cascade threats challenge sustainability, the sector is rapidly evolving toward autonomous manufacturing, commercial stations, and eventual off-world resource extraction as a universal utility by 2050.

  13. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Will Hyperscalers Justify AI Spend?

    Mark Wilson, Rich Privorotsky

    Recent market analysis highlights an unsustainable U.S. equity equilibrium driven by AI spending for 70–80% of incremental GDP, creating a concentration risk where hyperscalers underperform against beneficiaries while credit markets face $250 billion in issuance stress. With Q2 earnings priced for 23–24% growth and retail positioning heavily leveraged in semi-hardware, the primary risk involves a failure to validate ROI that could disrupt the current AI capital expenditure cycle. Concurrently, a structural divergence between U.S. tech dominance and European industrial headwinds presents a potential trade where equities may drive macro expectations rather than traditional macro factors.

  14. Bank of America8 min

    Must Read Research: SpaceX; The Next AI Winners; Europe’s Earnings Momentum; Buy Value

    Candace Browning

    An investment committee analysis evaluates the space economy, global AI adoption led by South Korea and the UAE, and a European earnings turnaround while warning of potential overvaluation in AI hyperscaler spending. The report highlights that forward free cash flows for major cloud providers are projected to turn negative for the first time since 2007, eroding current cash generation despite significant capital expenditure. Consequently, the committee recommends pivoting from crowded artificial intelligence trades toward undervalued sectors like gold miners, Latin American equities, and U.S. small-cap value stocks.

  15. Goldman Sachs11 min

    Why the US Dollar Could Continue to Strengthen

    Brian Dunne, Chris Hussey

    Driven by geopolitical tensions with Iran, robust U.S. corporate performance, and a shifting Federal Reserve stance toward rate hikes, analysts project sustained dollar strength against global rivals. This outlook supports a primary strategy of long USD positions against G10 currencies, particularly the Swiss Franc, to capitalize on favorable interest rate differentials and potential central bank divergence. Market participants also anticipate upside in specific emerging markets like Brazil and Egypt while noting that structural challenges to the dollar's reserve status remain distant.