Latest Interviews
Showing 61–75 of 497 transcripts.
Clear all filters- The Economist8 min
Britain’s chancellor: closer relations with the EU are in our national interest
Rachel Reeves, Rachana Shanbhogue
The UK government has formalized a strategy for broader regulatory alignment with the EU to unlock an estimated 8% GDP boost, moving beyond previous sectoral deals in areas like food and energy to mitigate isolation risks from global protectionism. Led by the Chancellor and recently discussed with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, this approach prioritizes functional market integration while explicitly rejecting a return to the EU or Customs Union to avoid political division. European partners have welcomed these concrete commitments, viewing the UK's shift as a pragmatic step toward shared economic growth and security that leverages the nation's position as a G7 growth leader.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
Emerging Markets: Stirred, But Not Yet Shaken
Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analysts observe that risky assets recently reversed gains following an Iran conflict-driven oil spike, shifting market expectations from rate cuts to an inflation shock that has strengthened the US dollar through favorable terms of trade. While traditional hedges have underperformed, the firm maintains a positive outlook for emerging market equities, projecting 10–12% upside driven by robust earnings and structural trends like the AI semiconductor supply chain rather than multiple expansion. This bullish stance assumes the energy crisis remains short-duration; however, a prolonged conflict threatening physical supply shortages could force a re-evaluation of growth estimates and trigger significant market damage.
- The Economist8 min
Is Russia the real winner from the war in Iran? | The Economist
Zanny Minton Beddoes, Shashank, Greg, Ed
A strategic assessment highlights Russia's improved economic resilience and reduced incentive for negotiations, while Gulf states face a binary choice between dealing with Iran or deepening US security ties at the cost of regional stability. The conflict simultaneously exposes critical US industrial limitations in interceptor stockpiles despite demonstrating superior technical execution, a dynamic that China interprets as evidence of American war fatigue. Consequently, these developments entrench Russia's position and accelerate Beijing's military modernization efforts focused on endurance and missile capabilities.
- The Economist7 min
What stocks should you buy during an oil shock? | The Economist
The ongoing war in Iran has disrupted global oil supplies, causing high-quality assets within the S&P 500 and MSCI World Index to underperform as rising energy costs strain long-term valuation models while boosting near-term earnings for low-quality energy stocks. This inversion of traditional flight-to-quality dynamics stems from the fact that speculative, high-multiple valuations are highly sensitive to geopolitical uncertainty, whereas lower-multiple firms possess a valuation buffer that supports performance during volatility. Analysts warn that while market trends currently favor low-quality stocks due to fear, a rapid reversal of this pattern is only anticipated if the Strait of Hormuz opens to restore free oil flow.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
Can Software Survive AI?
Gabriela Borges, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs and industry analysts report a market sentiment shift in the software sector, where investor concerns over AI-driven existential risks have triggered significant sell-offs by challenging the defensibility of incumbent technology moats. In response, major players like Salesforce and Microsoft are executing strategic replatforming, targeted M&A, and granular monetization tactics to validate that their integrated AI solutions outperform third-party alternatives. Despite slowed revenue growth rates, the sector is showing signs of stabilization as companies demonstrate improved free cash flow margins and attract value-oriented investors seeking GAAP profitability over unchecked stock-based compensation.
- The Economist8 min
Are Gulf states running out of missile interceptors? | The Economist
Amidst sustained Iranian ballistic missile barrages, Gulf nations and Israel are depleting their layered air defense stocks, including Patriot and Arrow systems, at unsustainable rates that could exhaust reserves within two weeks. This rapid attrition forces regional militaries to ration interceptors, raising the risk of breached defenses, increased casualties, and the targeting of high-value assets like the US consulate in Dubai. Consequently, the conflict is straining global US production capacity, threatening to divert critical munitions from other theaters while exposing long-term vulnerabilities in allied preparedness against high-intensity missile warfare.
- The Economist7 min
Anthropic’s CEO explains why he took on the Pentagon
Zanny Minton Beddoes, Dario Amodei
A technology executive highlights a strategic conflict with the Pentagon over negotiating a new, broader AI contract that includes restrictions on fully autonomous weapon deployment due to current safety limitations and the risk of a normative oversight vacuum. While the speaker asserts 99% alignment with government goals on non-autonomous capabilities, the dispute centers on the Pentagon's rejection of operational constraints, which the executive warns could force the effective nationalization of private AI firms. This tension is framed as a long-term challenge where both private companies and state actors possess unprecedented power that requires balanced oversight to prevent abuse or overreach.
- Milken Institute20 min
American Dream Investing: Conversation with HUD Secretary Scott Turner | Future of Finance 2026
The Department of Housing and Urban Development has proposed a rule change mandating work requirements for able-bodied public housing recipients, aiming to assist 79,000 families in achieving self-sufficiency while generating a projected $501 million income increase. Under Secretary Benson's leadership, the agency is simultaneously streamlining regulations by removing federal zoning overreach to empower local jurisdictions and revitalizing the Opportunity Zones program, which has already facilitated $100 billion in private investment and lifted 1 million people from poverty. These initiatives reflect a strategic shift toward leveraging private sector innovation and emphasizing personal responsibility to address root causes of homelessness and expand housing affordability.
- The Economist8 min
Will the Iran war spread across the Middle East?
Greg, Anshul, Adam, Pete Hexeth
Experts warn that regional chaos in Iran could trigger a prolonged conflict, spiking energy prices and threatening the security models of Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and Qatar. While historically neutral, these nations are shifting toward military alignment with the US and abandoning diplomatic restraint as Iranian strikes backfire by uniting regional populations against Tehran. This escalation occurs amidst a US strategy driven by legacy considerations rather than broad public support, aiming to transform Iran's political landscape while balancing fears of a quagmire against the need to signal power to global rivals like China.
- Goldman Sachs14 min
Oil Market Impacts from Iran
Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stroivind
A U.S. and Israeli military campaign against Iran resulted in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, triggering a significant disruption to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and causing Brent crude prices to surge 25% year-to-date. While Goldman Sachs forecasts a base case of no sustained supply interruptions with prices stabilizing by late 2026, the market currently prices in a risk premium for a potential one-month closure that could drive costs to triple digits. As global spare capacity remains trapped by the blockade and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve levels remain low, the situation presents immediate inflationary risks and elevated geopolitical tail risks for Gulf Cooperation Council infrastructure.
- The Economist10 min
Will the Iranian regime collapse? | The Economist
US and Israeli forces are executing a decapitation strategy against the Islamic Republic of Iran's security apparatus, targeting senior figures like General Vahidi while neutralizing half of Tehran's ballistic missile capabilities. Despite inflicting significant damage on command structures and nuclear research sites, the conflict faces logistical risks as regional air defenses may deplete after a week of intense retaliation and accidental strikes have already resulted in American casualties. Ultimately, the war's trajectory hinges on whether the regime collapses under pressure or if political constraints force a reversal of the stated goal of regime change.
- Y Combinator20 min
The Powerful Alternative To Fine-Tuning
Ian Fischer, Mark Mandelbaum, Francesc Campoy Flores, Mark Mandelmann, Jr.
Poetic, led by co-CEO Ian Fisher, deploys a recursive Meta-System that autonomously optimizes foundation models to outperform them on benchmarks like Arc AGI v2 and the Humanity's Last Exam at a fraction of the cost. This stealth-stage platform functions as a cost-effective "stilts" for startups, achieving 9 percentage point gains over competing models while utilizing a lean team of seven scientists rather than massive training budgets. The company now invites early access from ventures seeking to integrate these self-improving reasoning strategies into their specific verticals.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
A New Way to Trade Emerging Markets
Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey
Global emerging market equities have surged 15% year-to-date on $45 billion in inflows, driven by strong earnings fundamentals and a weaker US dollar that specifically benefits non-China regions like Korea and Brazil. While broad markets rally, China lags due to a lack of earnings growth and tariff headwinds, prompting investors to shift capital toward Latin American assets and structural plays like call spreads to manage valuation risks. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish stance on this "EM ex-China" exposure, citing anticipated Brazilian interest rate cuts and election cycles as key catalysts for continued, albeit slower, appreciation.
- The Economist7 min
Has Putin pushed Russia’s economy too far? | The Economist
Putin, Arkady, Adam, Zannie, Al-Qadi
Russia has incurred approximately 1.2 million total casualties in a conflict where President Putin's reliance on a paid mercenary force drawn from rural areas prioritizes fiscal containment over social cohesion. This strategy has accelerated the country's transition into a war economy, creating a fiscal drag that has pushed the budget deficit to 2.6% of GDP while forcing the state to extract capital from investment and civilian living standards. Although an immediate macroeconomic collapse remains unlikely, experts warn that current recruitment incentives and resource diversion are eroding long-term state power by consuming future potential faster than it can be replaced.
- The Economist16 min
How to play chess like a grandmaster | The Economist
This analysis positions chess as a rigorous framework for human cognition, illustrating how expert players balance intuitive pattern recognition with deliberative calculation across the game's three distinct phases. The discussion highlights how modern AI engines, which prioritize probabilistic outcomes over traditional material evaluation, have paradoxically driven human players toward more aggressive and creative styles rather than rendering the game obsolete. Ultimately, the enduring surge in chess popularity despite AI dominance serves as a resilient precedent for human adaptation in an increasingly automated landscape.