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  1. Goldman Sachs9 min

    Staying long US assets

    Ashok Varadhan, Chris Hussey

    Economic analysts project a benign inflation trajectory toward the Federal Reserve's 2% target and a low probability of recession, supported by a resilient labor market and the current absence of significant tariff-driven price spikes. While market returns are expected to moderate from recent highs, the outlook remains anchored in a 65-70% allocation to US assets driven by hyperscaler competitiveness, complemented by a balanced approach to global currencies and fixed income within a stable 4.5% to 4.6% Treasury yield environment. Investors are advised to monitor upcoming budget reconciliation data for potential shifts in trade or deficit narratives, though current volatility is viewed as temporary as risk premiums gravitate toward a sensible baseline.

  2. Goldman Sachs25 min

    How to win: Steve Cohen on markets and the Mets

    Steve Cohen, Tony Pasquariello

    Steve Cohen, founder of Point72, discusses the firm's strategic pivot toward a conservative multi-strategy model and the integration of AI to generate alpha amidst declining market efficiency. While ceasing personal trading to focus on mentoring portfolio managers and managing the New York Mets, Cohen outlines his vision for expanding the firm's private credit pillar and developing a major resort complex in Queens. He further details his leadership philosophy, emphasizing direct communication and the creation of internal talent pipelines over external acquisitions to sustain long-term performance.

  3. Goldman Sachs28 min

    Nelly Korda: The drive behind a world no. 1 golfer

    Nelly Korda, David Solomon

    Ranking world number one with 19 professional wins and Olympic gold, Nelly Korda draws upon a tennis-obsessed Czech American family legacy to fuel her 10-year LPGA career marked by a rigorous daily routine and a "process" philosophy. She leverages partnerships with Nike and TaylorMade while mentoring younger athletes, viewing the sport as a marathon that requires avoiding data over-reliance to prevent a robotic mindset. Looking ahead, Korda plans to team with her sister at the Dow Championship while championing co-ed events and male advocacy to further the growth of women's golf.

  4. Goldman Sachs19 min

    A German economic revival?

    Wolfgang Fink, Allison Nathan

    The new German coalition government has enacted legislation to unlock €500 billion for infrastructure and committed to raising defense spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2030, while simultaneously implementing reforms to boost economic competitiveness. These structural shifts occur amidst significant external pressure from U.S. tariff proposals that threaten the Eurozone's GDP and force multinational corporations to restructure supply chains, particularly within the automotive and chemical sectors. Despite macroeconomic headwinds and elevated valuations in European markets, robust M&A activity persists as companies accelerate digital transformation and restructuring to navigate a volatile geoeconomic landscape without an imminent recession on the horizon.

  5. Goldman Sachs8 min

    "This is what people were hoping for”

    Rich Privorotsky, Chris Hussey

    The July jobs report alleviated recession fears and spurred significant capital deployment, with Goldman Sachs recording substantial buy volumes as clients pivoted from trade anxieties to technology and AI themes. Despite mechanical flows suppressing volatility, structural uncertainties around global trade deadlines and upcoming inflation data suggest potential market turbulence. Investors are now prioritizing U.S. growth sectors over cyclical plays, awaiting corporate earnings and CPI releases to validate continued capital expenditure in the artificial intelligence space.

  6. Goldman Sachs25 min

    How Goldman Sachs’ John Waldron is navigating “a more uncertain time”

    John Waldron, Allison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs reports that the U.S. economy remains resilient against recession fears despite April tariff shocks, though persistent fiscal deficits and policy uncertainty continue to constrain corporate capital investment and global capital allocation. The firm has moderated its own risk positioning while anticipating a resurgence in capital markets activity this summer, provided no further exogenous policy disruptions occur. Leadership is simultaneously pivoting toward operational excellence and technology infrastructure to stabilize revenue streams and navigate a volatile environment defined by shifting interest rates and tariff trajectories.

  7. Goldman Sachs16 min

    Will legal challenges end the trade war?

    Alec Phillips, Allison Nathan

    A three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of International Trade blocked most of President Trump's sweeping tariffs in a May 29, 2025 ruling, determining that the executive branch lacked the intelligible limits required to impose duties on Canada, China, and Mexico under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. While the administration plans to appeal to the Supreme Court and may shift toward temporary Section 122 tariffs or sector-specific Section 301 investigations to maintain revenue, the decision significantly alters the legal landscape by invalidating the broad, unlimited authority claimed by the previous strategy. This pivotal judgment introduces substantial market uncertainty regarding future tariff levels and fiscal projections, as analysts anticipate a transition from across-the-board rates to more restrictive, country-specific measures.

  8. Goldman Sachs9 min

    Why emerging markets could keep rallying

    Stratford Dennis, Mike Washington

    Goldman Sachs projects a 10% rally in MSCI Emerging Markets equities through year-end, driven by positive growth differentials, a weaker US dollar, and widespread institutional underweight positioning. Analysts favor "EM ex-China" strategies over Chinese assets while specifically highlighting Brazil as a high-conviction opportunity supported by attractive valuations and expected rate cuts. The firm recommends purchasing upside calls on dollar-denominated Brazilian indices to capitalize on this convergence, framing the broader shift toward emerging markets as a multi-year structural trade dependent on US bond market stability.

  9. Goldman Sachs30 min

    Alnylam’s Yvonne Greenstreet on RNAi and a ‘golden era’ in biotech

    Yvonne Greenstreet, Jerry Lee

    Alnylam Pharmaceuticals leverages a decade of RNA interference research to achieve a 55% clinical success rate and recently secured approval for Amvutra to treat hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis. Under CEO Yvonne Greenstreet, the company aims to become a top-five biotech leader by 2026 through a five-year strategy to deliver 25 clinical programs and expand into common diseases like hypertension. To reach this goal, Alnylam integrates AI-driven drug design with a culture of diversity and patient advocacy to de-risk development and target tissues beyond the liver, including the central nervous system.

  10. Goldman Sachs24 min

    How AI, tariffs, and the energy transition are reshaping infrastructure investing

    Tavis Cannell, Allison Nathan

    Large institutional investors have allocated 6% to 7% of assets to infrastructure, a sector that generated nine percent returns since 2022 while evolving from traditional transport dominance to focus on energy transition and digital assets like AI-driven data centers. Goldman Sachs identifies key opportunities across four segments, noting that solar plus storage is now cost-competitive and that European markets are gaining traction due to Germany's massive infrastructure plan, despite geopolitical and liquidity risks in specialized areas. To capitalize on these secular trends in decarbonization and digitalization, investors utilize closed-ended funds targeting mid-teens returns or evergreen vehicles for long-term capital appreciation.

  11. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Fade the S&P 500 rally?

    Brian Garrett, Chris Hussey

    Brian Garrett advises fading the S&P 500 rally by leveraging low volatility to purchase asymmetric upside calls while positioning for a potential recession through dual-digital products that profit when equities decline alongside rising yields. This strategy reflects a market divergence where soft data signals deterioration despite Goldman Sachs maintaining a 35% recession probability, creating elevated risk from upcoming geopolitical catalysts like the July tariff clock. Consequently, investors are hedging against a critical 5% to 6% yield threshold that could trigger significant equity outflows, particularly as retail capital becomes increasingly sensitive to upcoming labor data.

  12. Goldman Sachs22 min

    A world of opportunity: Rob Citrone’s best ideas

    Rob Citrone, Tony Pasquariello

    Discovery Capital Management founder Robert Citrone outlines a macro strategy delivering 50% annual returns in 2023 and 2024, driven by high-conviction short positions in U.S. regional banks and a bullish thesis on Latin American markets. Citrone forecasts a "fake recession" in the U.S. before a 2026 boom fueled by tax cuts, predicting higher Treasury yields and resisting near-term Fed rate cuts while championing Argentina's fiscal reforms as a prime investment opportunity. The firm combines Julian Robertson's stock-picking with George Soros's risk management, leveraging a unique 24-hour trading cycle and direct global policy access to capitalize on emerging political shifts and market inefficiencies.

  13. Goldman Sachs25 min

    Is Fed independence at risk?

    Richard Clarida, John Cochrane, Alison Nathan

    The Trump administration is actively pursuing legal challenges to overturn the *Humphrey's Executor* precedent, aiming to eliminate "for-cause" protections for Federal Reserve officials and subject them to direct presidential removal. While structural checks like the Federal Open Market Committee's voting system and Senate confirmation remain, this strategy threatens to destabilize financial markets by introducing uncertainty over the central bank's ability to maintain price stability. Experts warn that removing these independence safeguards could distort inflation expectations and encourage mission creep, as the Fed faces pressure to expand beyond its statutory mandate into areas like climate risk and housing policy.

  14. Goldman Sachs42 min

    Harvard’s Raj Chetty on upward mobility in America

    Raj Chetty, Greg Shell

    Research by Dr. Raj Chetty and the Opportunity Atlas team reveals a sharp decline in intergenerational income mobility, with the likelihood of children out-earning their parents dropping from 92% for the 1940 cohort to roughly 50% for those born in the mid-1980s. The analysis identifies four primary drivers of upward movement, with cross-class social capital acting as the strongest predictor, while highlighting successful local interventions like Charlotte's $160 million investment and Vaughan College's model that combines high access with strong technical outcomes. These findings suggest that targeted strategies integrating financial aid with social support can effectively reverse trends of regional inequality without relying solely on broad federal policy changes.

  15. Goldman Sachs24 min

    Repricing risks post tariff truce

    Tony Pasquarello, Dominic Wilson, Josh Shiffrin

    A panel of analysts forecasts a low but non-zero recession risk while projecting 1% growth amid a "higher inflation, lower growth" environment driven by effective tariff rates of 12% to 13%. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in 2025 if unemployment exceeds 4.5%, potentially ushering in a dovish regime that supports equities despite narrow paths constrained by bond market volatility and deficit concerns. While U.S. dollar depreciation may cushion equity performance, the discussion concludes with a cultural segment where Josh Shiffrin and Dominic Wilson critique the narrative outcomes of *Lost*, *The Shining*, and *The Departed*.