Latest Interviews
Showing 16–30 of 42 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs22 min
AI Exchanges: Will falling costs drive new opportunities?
Allison Nathan, George Lee, Kim Posnett
Host George Lee and guests analyze how DeepSeek's low-cost AI model challenges the economic viability of massive U.S. tech capital expenditures while triggering a shift in consensus from data scarcity to power availability as the primary industry constraint. Despite short-term market volatility, the panel highlights record CapEx commitments from hyperscalers and emerging enterprise adoption trends, including Goldman Sachs' internal AI tools and synthetic data markets, which collectively suggest a rapid transition toward autonomous AI agents and multi-gigawatt infrastructure needs. The discussion concludes with a bullish long-term outlook, predicting that declining computing costs will fuel new use cases and accelerate workforce productivity even as the sector navigates immediate supply chain bottlenecks.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon on the business environment, AI, and private credit
On January 27, 2025, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and host Allison Nathan discussed a macroeconomic outlook defined by regulatory optimism alongside persistent uncertainties in immigration, trade, and energy policy. Solomon projected a robust 2025 recovery for capital markets and M&A activity while highlighting artificial intelligence as a critical productivity driver, even as he flagged geopolitical instability and complex inflation dynamics as key risks. The firm further emphasized its strategy to deploy excess capital buffers through private credit expansion and asset management growth, contingent on the appointment of key financial regulators and the resolution of stress testing ambiguities.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Power surge: AI, renewable energy, and the future of electricity
Carly Davenport, Alberto Gandolfi, Brian Singer, Allison Nathan
Global power demand is surging due to generative AI and data center expansion, with US growth forecast to accelerate to a 2.5% CAGR by 2030 while Europe faces similar pressure from electrification plans. Goldman Sachs predicts an "all-of-the-above" generation strategy dominated by natural gas and renewables to support an estimated $50 billion in new US infrastructure investment, even as nuclear adoption shifts toward direct power purchase agreements and small modular reactors. This transition faces significant bottlenecks including multi-year permitting delays, equipment shortages, and grid modernization needs, positioning the sector for a generational investment boom over the next decade.
- Goldman Sachs37 min
What’s ahead for retail: how retail CEOs are navigating a more complex environment
Tim Ingrassia, Vishaal Rana, Ted Decker, Dave Kimbell, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analysts and retail leaders including Home Depot's Ted Decker and Ulta Beauty's Dave Kimball characterize 2024 as a pivotal shift where micro-level corporate strategies outweigh macroeconomic trends in driving performance. Private equity firms are increasingly targeting defensive sectors like collision repair while navigating debt constraints, forcing a consolidation of single-banner models and a reevaluation of Direct-to-Consumer valuation models that have shed 97% of their 2021 peak value. As interest rates remain elevated and geopolitical risks introduce new logistics costs, the market is prioritizing sustainable profitability over revenue growth, with physical stores re-emerging as critical drivers of customer lifetime value compared to digital-only channels.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
2024: the year of elections
Richard Haass, Timothy Garton Ash, Allison Nathan
Richard Haass and Timothy Garten-Ash analyze 2024 as a pivotal global year marked by democratic backsliding and a surge of right-wing populism across Europe and the United States. They argue that the U.S. presidential election serves as the decisive geopolitical event, where the policy divergence between an alliance-first Biden and an isolationist Trump will fundamentally shape the security architecture of NATO and the trajectory of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. These shifts carry profound implications for European integration, Taiwan's defense, and the United Kingdom's future relations with the EU, as Western uncertainty may embolden adversaries like Putin and undermine the credibility of international commitments.
- Goldman Sachs35 min
Uncharted territory: Navigating a ‘geopolitical recession’
Jared Cohen, Ian Bremmer, Allison Nathan
Former State Department official Jared Cohen and political analyst Ian Bremmer describe a global "geopolitical recession" where domestic political pressures in the US and China have eroded traditional governance, creating a credibility deficit that forces all sectors into the crossfire of great power rivalry. While the Middle East conflict has isolated Washington and empowered Iran, strategic stabilization has emerged in US-China relations driven by Beijing's economic fragility, leaving a leadership void that can only be partially filled by climate cooperation. The speakers advise businesses to abandon pure efficiency for "intellectual efficiency," targeting geopolitical swing states like India and the Gulf nations to navigate an era defined by fragmented trade blocs and supply chain weaponization.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
M&A in 2024: Navigating opportunities and challenges
Stephan Feldgoise, Mark Sorrell, Allison Nathan
Following a 2023 period defined by valuation misalignments and high interest rates, the M&A market is experiencing a surge in dialogue and specific sector activity driven by resilient natural resources, healthcare, and stable industrial performance. While private equity deal volume has contracted due to financing costs, corporate buyers have maintained robust activity and public-to-private transactions have reached record levels to address pressure on portfolio monetization. Looking ahead to 2024, experts anticipate a normalization of interest rates and reduced inflation will catalyze a rebound in technology deals and strategic spinoffs, with international activity expected to trail the US market by several months.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
Navigating the ‘perfect storm’ in commercial real estate
Lotfi Karoui, Jeffrey Fine, Allison Nathan, Jeff Fine
Commercial real estate confronts a convergence of record-high interest rates, $1 trillion in impending debt maturities, and a bifurcated asset landscape that is driving a projected "right-sizing" of the sector. Goldman Sachs analysts and industry experts forecast a slow-burn crisis lasting four to five years, characterized by significant equity destruction in office properties and a heavy reliance on distressed small banks, while private credit markets struggle to fill the gap left by a 75% drop in CMBS issuance. Although a systemic 2008-style collapse is deemed unlikely due to tighter underwriting standards, the lack of an organized public-private partnership raises concerns about a messy unwind of distressed assets that could further erode valuations over the next 24 months.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon on the economy, markets and the firm's performance
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and economists reassess the 2023 macroeconomic outlook as a soft landing becomes more probable, citing stickier inflation and cautious CEO sentiment amid geopolitical and cyber risks. The firm reported a 10.2% return on equity for 2022, driven by strategic reorganizations that merged banking and asset management divisions to enhance market share and target $10 billion in fees by 2024. Looking ahead, leadership emphasizes a shift toward multi-year resilience and long-term growth in artificial intelligence and clean energy, with key financial details slated for an investor day on February 28, 2023.
- Goldman Sachs31 min
Are we on the cusp of a generative AI revolution?
Eric Sheridan, Kash Rangan, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs experts predict a rapid 12 to 18-month acceleration in consumer-facing generative AI, shifting technology from predictive forecasting to autonomous content creation that drives enterprise productivity and labor market transformation. This evolution will consolidate market power among established cloud infrastructure giants while redefining search and software interfaces through conversational models and automated workflows across supply chain management and creative sectors. Although high development barriers and ethical safeguards will shape the landscape, the sector is projected to expand its global economic share by replacing traditional information retrieval with actionable, natural-language solutions that augment rather than solely replace human labor.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Central bank tightening: what could break?
Allison Nathan, Jeremy Stein, Vítor Constâncio
Former Federal Reserve officials Jeremy Stein and Lyle Brainard, alongside ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio, assert that the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank must prioritize fighting inflation over preemptive financial stability measures while navigating Quantitative Tightening risks. These experts warn that structural fragilities, including sovereign bond liquidity shortages in the US and complex energy-driven inflation in Europe, could trigger market instability if central banks fail to adapt tools like standing repo facilities or manage open-end fund vulnerabilities. Despite acknowledging that tightening cycles are expected to peak at 5% for the Fed and 3% for the ECB, the panelists caution that the absence of 2020-era fiscal backstops may amplify the impact of future credit events.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Amid rising inflation and slowing growth, how is the U.S. consumer faring?
David Mericle, Kate McShane, Eric Sheridan, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs economists project U.S. consumption growth will stabilize near 1% in late 2022 and 2023 as falling household wealth and the expiration of pandemic stimulus offset modest gains in real disposable income. While retail growth remains price-driven with consumers prioritizing essential goods over big-ticket items, the technology sector faces a shift toward lower single-digit growth rates focused on free cash flow visibility. Looking ahead, industry participants anticipate normalized supply chains and a balanced mix of unit and price growth in 2023, though retailers must manage elevated inventory levels through targeted promotions to offset slowing demand.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Navigating Macro Headwinds: A Conversation With the Founders of Brex and Chief
Kim Posnett, Henrique Dubugras, Carolyn Childers, Allison Nathan
At Goldman Sachs' 11th Annual Builders and Innovators Summit, Allison Nathan moderated a dialogue between Carolyn Childers, CEO of the women's executive network CHIEF, and Enrique Dubagras, Co-CEO of fintech firm Brex, to discuss their strategic pivots during a macroeconomic downturn. Childers detailed CHIEF's billion-dollar valuation and UK expansion as a response to the "Great Resignation," while Dubagras outlined Brex's shift from long-term bets to immediate profitability and opportunistic M&A to navigate reduced corporate spend. The conversation concluded with actionable guidance for founders to balance high-trust cultures and scalable processes against the bureaucratic risks of extreme outlier management.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
How Inflation, Rates and Recession Are Reshaping the Real Estate Market
Jeff Fine, Nora Creedon, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs identifies a structural shift in real estate where post-pandemic inflation and tighter credit markets have dismantled the asset class's historical role as a universal hedge, necessitating a move toward selective investment in sectors like residential and logistics. While public market REITs face significant dislocations from rising rates and recession fears, the firm highlights opportunities in private distressed assets and evergreen capital structures that leverage specific regional inefficiencies. The outlook for the coming decade demands a departure from broad market exposure, favoring assets with strong pricing power and limited supply constraints over traditional growth cycles.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Why We’re In a ‘Golden Age’ of Life Sciences Innovation
With the life sciences sector valued at over $2 trillion and projected to surpass $5 trillion through innovations like mRNA and cell therapy, analysts Allison Nathan and Amit Sinha characterize the current climate as a golden era driven by advanced genetic tools and supportive regulation. Despite a decade-long market correction caused by unsustainable capital surges and increased clinical trial failures, the industry is adapting by shifting toward private capital scaling and downstream investments in companies with experienced management. This structural evolution aims to sustain the development of critical breakthroughs, such as gene therapies for spinal muscular atrophy and immunotherapies for rectal cancer, while navigating complex supply chain and biological challenges.