Latest Interviews
Showing 286–300 of 476 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs29 min
2024 midyear outlook: building portfolios for a more volatile macroeconomic backdrop
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analysts Christian Mueller-Glissman and Alexandra Wilson Elizondo project that while U.S. equities currently trade at all-time highs justified by record Return on Equity, the second half of 2024 will likely face increased volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and upcoming elections in the U.S. and U.K. The firm recommends maintaining a "risk-on" stance with a 60/40 equity-to-bond allocation, emphasizing diversification into AI-driven growth, European value opportunities, and Japanese structural reforms to mitigate late-cycle risks. Furthermore, they highlight specific hedging opportunities in low-cost volatility markets and a strategic tilt toward real assets to buffer against potential inflationary policy shifts while anticipating non-recessionary rate cuts.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Power surge: AI, renewable energy, and the future of electricity
Carly Davenport, Alberto Gandolfi, Brian Singer, Allison Nathan
Global power demand is surging due to generative AI and data center expansion, with US growth forecast to accelerate to a 2.5% CAGR by 2030 while Europe faces similar pressure from electrification plans. Goldman Sachs predicts an "all-of-the-above" generation strategy dominated by natural gas and renewables to support an estimated $50 billion in new US infrastructure investment, even as nuclear adoption shifts toward direct power purchase agreements and small modular reactors. This transition faces significant bottlenecks including multi-year permitting delays, equipment shortages, and grid modernization needs, positioning the sector for a generational investment boom over the next decade.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Hedges, privates and tax alpha: How investors are navigating record-high markets
David Kostin, Padi Raphael, Adam Siegler
The 2024 market outlook highlights robust U.S. equity gains and a decelerated recession risk of 15%, driven by resilient corporate earnings and consumer spending despite elevated valuations. Investors are increasingly utilizing $100 billion structured notes to hedge downside while private credit and extended private market participation offer yield and alpha alternatives as Federal Reserve rate cuts approach. Independent RIA firms are prioritizing technology partnerships and tax-efficient strategies to scale operations and replicate institutional infrastructure while expanding into new asset classes.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Central bank divergence: Why it's happening and why it matters
Jan Hatzius, Peter Praet, Maurice Obstfeld, Alison Nathan
Market participants anticipate a divergence in G10 monetary policy as the European Central Bank prepares to cut rates in June while the U.S. Federal Reserve maintains its stance amid slower domestic disinflation and decelerating GDP growth. Leading economists argue that while this split may strengthen the dollar and trigger currency volatility, it is unlikely to cause systemic instability given deeper debt markets and improved inflation credibility globally. Experts further warn that premature Fed easing could tighten financial conditions too early, whereas sustained policy differences driven by U.S. fiscal expansion may prolong dollar strength and raise protectionist risks.
- Goldman Sachs31 min
Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks on revolutionizing healthcare and medicine
Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks outlines a strategic pivot from the current GLP-1 obesity drug boom to a 2030s focus on brain health and gene therapy, backed by a plan to double R&D spending to $11 billion annually. The company is accelerating development cycles by 50% through a global "follow the sun" manufacturing model and investing heavily in AI-driven discovery to overcome traditional productivity curves, while simultaneously scaling production capacity tenfold to meet demand. To secure future growth, Lilly is shifting toward talent-focused acquisitions and diversifying intellectual property protections against regulatory and political headwinds as it targets the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases and chronic conditions.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
Is China’s rebound for real?
Hui Shan, Kinger Lau, Alison Nathan, Kendra Lau
Goldman Sachs attributes the recent 30% rally in Chinese offshore equities and 15% domestic gain to strong Q1 GDP growth, direct "national team" market intervention, and a strategic policy shift that has successfully priced out fears of a property crash. While investors remain cautious due to pending housing reforms and escalating US tariffs on green technology, analysts project a near-term 10% upside for the CSI 300 index driven by conservative valuations and anticipated earnings improvements in the internet and consumer sectors. The firm maintains a constructive outlook on A-shares over offshore markets, anticipating that domestic policy easing and governance reforms will outpace geopolitical headwinds in the coming months.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
How AI, the energy transition, and the future of work are shaping impact investing
Brian Singer, Greg Shell, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs researchers Brian Singer and Greg Schell articulate a strategy for the $2 trillion sustainable investment market that rejects the premise of trading financial returns for societal impact. Their "concentric circles" approach targets private companies in healthcare, education, and financial inclusion, utilizing $50 million to $150 million buyout checks to drive decarbonization and social mobility. By evaluating success through dual financial and impact metrics, the firm positions impact investing as a commercial mechanism to unlock the estimated $7 trillion annual capital gap while delivering robust returns.
- Goldman Sachs37 min
Jay Shetty on mindfulness in the workplace
Jay Shetty, Jacqueline Arthur, Jack Arthur
Jay Shetty transforms traditional mindfulness into a scalable business strategy by integrating neuroscience-backed practices into corporate culture, drawing on his own journey from multiple rejections by major firms to success at Accenture. He advocates for structural shifts such as shorter meeting blocks and specific sleep hygiene protocols to enhance decision-making speed and clarity, citing high-performance athletes and executives who credit mental training as a core success factor. By reframing goal-setting around internal growth rather than external outcomes, Shetty enables organizations to replace escape mechanisms with intentional elevation, turning mental health management into a driver of sustainable organizational thriving.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Is the UK economy finally turning the corner?
Jari Stehn, Charlotte Keenan, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects a 0.6% UK GDP growth for the year, driven by falling headline inflation and a likely Bank of England rate cut in June that diverges from US Federal Reserve timing. Despite this recovery trajectory, the economy faces structural headwinds including a 5% output gap from Brexit, tight labor supply caused by shifting immigration patterns, and significant financing hurdles for the 99% of private enterprises that are small businesses. While political consensus on fiscal consolidation remains strong across both major parties, persistent wage growth and educational mismatches continue to constrain productivity and investment within the SME sector.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Why Treasury auctions — and rising deficits — are becoming a focal point for markets and investors
Jonny Fine, Alec Phillips, Alison Nathan
This analysis examines U.S. Treasury auction mechanics and market dynamics where rising issuance volumes have combined with Federal Reserve expectations to drive a "higher for longer" interest rate environment. While political discourse has largely sidelined the deficit despite projected long-term debt growth, record corporate refinancing and resilient consumer spending currently offset immediate concerns about fiscal sustainability. Ultimately, Goldman Sachs analysts anticipate intermittent market volatility from specific auction tails rather than a systemic correction, warning that a future recession remains the primary catalyst for deteriorating economic conditions.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Weighing the GLP-1 Market
Dr. Fatima Cody Stanford, Jonathan Gruber, Alison Nathan
Experts and economists convened to analyze the clinical efficacy of GLP-1 agonists for obesity, contrasting their maximum 22.5% weight reduction rates against the superior remission capabilities of bariatric surgery and the 20% non-response rate observed in diverse patient cohorts. The discussion highlighted systemic barriers where Medicare excludes obesity coverage while private plans vary, driving debates on pricing models and the potential $800 billion annual economic impact of widespread adoption. Ultimately, the dialogue proposed policy interventions such as government price adjudication and prize-based incentives to balance pharmaceutical innovation incentives with public affordability and workforce productivity gains.
- Goldman Sachs38 min
Jared Cohen on US leaders finding purpose post-presidency
Jared's new #9 New York Times bestseller analyzes the historical trajectories of post-presidencies through four distinct case studies, including William Howard Taft, Herbert Hoover, George W. Bush, and Grover Cleveland. By examining how these leaders successfully deferred ambitions, recovered from defeat, detached from former power, or faced the limitations of a political comeback, the work illustrates that the institution's resilience relies on evolving norms rather than constitutional text alone. The author argues that longevity and fulfillment in retirement require abandoning the vanity of office to pursue new service or hobbies, offering a framework for navigating life after the presidency regardless of political affiliation.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Are inflation fears overblown? The outlook for inflation, US growth, and long-term rates
Goldman Sachs projects U.S. GDP growth of 2.5% in 2024, driven by labor supply expansions from immigration that prevent overheating despite disinflation from shelter rents. The firm argues the neutral interest rate has structurally shifted to 3.0%–3.5%, forecasting Federal Reserve rate cuts beginning in July 2024 as financial conditions remain accommodative. This outlook suggests a balanced labor market and mechanical rent adjustments will allow inflation to trend toward 2.5% without triggering wage-price spirals.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Global insurers turn to private credit — and AI
Mike Siegel, Matt Armas, Alison Nathan
The Goldman Sachs Insurance Survey, recorded on April 4, 2024, reveals that global insurers are reallocating $26 trillion in assets toward private credit and high-yield fixed income to counteract recession risks and declining interest rates. While the industry accelerates AI adoption to improve underwriting accuracy and drive consolidation, it simultaneously reduces commercial real estate exposure and pivots ESG strategies toward climate transition financing. These shifts reflect a strategic effort to balance portfolio resiliency against economic downturns with the operational efficiencies promised by new technology.
- Goldman Sachs43 min
Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace on long-term investing, succession planning, and leadership lessons
Capital Group leverages its unique multi-manager "Capital System" to manage $2.5 trillion in assets by utilizing five to six distinct portfolio managers per fund, a structure designed to smooth volatility and ensure continuity without relying on star manager branding. This private-ownership model, supported by custom proprietary software and an eight-year bonus cycle, enables the firm to withstand market cycles while advising on macro trends such as avoiding direct Chinese equity exposure in favor of multinationals and capitalizing on Japan's recovery from deflation. By prioritizing long-term style consistency over short-term client demands for single-point accountability, the firm maintains active equity leadership in public markets while cautiously exploring partnerships in alternative assets.