Allison Nathan
Showing 61–75 of 109 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Central bank tightening: what could break?
Allison Nathan, Jeremy Stein, Vítor Constâncio
Former Federal Reserve officials Jeremy Stein and Lyle Brainard, alongside ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio, assert that the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank must prioritize fighting inflation over preemptive financial stability measures while navigating Quantitative Tightening risks. These experts warn that structural fragilities, including sovereign bond liquidity shortages in the US and complex energy-driven inflation in Europe, could trigger market instability if central banks fail to adapt tools like standing repo facilities or manage open-end fund vulnerabilities. Despite acknowledging that tightening cycles are expected to peak at 5% for the Fed and 3% for the ECB, the panelists caution that the absence of 2020-era fiscal backstops may amplify the impact of future credit events.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Amid rising inflation and slowing growth, how is the U.S. consumer faring?
David Mericle, Kate McShane, Eric Sheridan, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs economists project U.S. consumption growth will stabilize near 1% in late 2022 and 2023 as falling household wealth and the expiration of pandemic stimulus offset modest gains in real disposable income. While retail growth remains price-driven with consumers prioritizing essential goods over big-ticket items, the technology sector faces a shift toward lower single-digit growth rates focused on free cash flow visibility. Looking ahead, industry participants anticipate normalized supply chains and a balanced mix of unit and price growth in 2023, though retailers must manage elevated inventory levels through targeted promotions to offset slowing demand.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Navigating Macro Headwinds: A Conversation With the Founders of Brex and Chief
Kim Posnett, Henrique Dubugras, Carolyn Childers, Allison Nathan
At Goldman Sachs' 11th Annual Builders and Innovators Summit, Allison Nathan moderated a dialogue between Carolyn Childers, CEO of the women's executive network CHIEF, and Enrique Dubagras, Co-CEO of fintech firm Brex, to discuss their strategic pivots during a macroeconomic downturn. Childers detailed CHIEF's billion-dollar valuation and UK expansion as a response to the "Great Resignation," while Dubagras outlined Brex's shift from long-term bets to immediate profitability and opportunistic M&A to navigate reduced corporate spend. The conversation concluded with actionable guidance for founders to balance high-trust cultures and scalable processes against the bureaucratic risks of extreme outlier management.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
China’s Congress: an inflection point?
Susan Shirk, David Li, Hui Shan, Allison Nathan
The 20th National Party Congress of the Chinese Communist Party is expected to solidify President Xi Jinping's third term as General Secretary, shifting China away from collective leadership toward a personalized concentration of authority. Expert analysis regarding the event's economic and geopolitical outcomes presents a divergence: while Goldman Sachs predicts the continuation of strict pandemic controls and structural policies that suppress long-term growth, Tsinghua Professor David Lee anticipates a necessary reprioritization of economic growth to ensure social stability. Concurrently, analysts warn that although Xi may harbor ambitions to resolve the Taiwan issue, the catastrophic risk to his leadership and the cautionary context of the Ukraine war currently act as significant deterrents to military action.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
How Inflation, Rates and Recession Are Reshaping the Real Estate Market
Jeff Fine, Nora Creedon, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs identifies a structural shift in real estate where post-pandemic inflation and tighter credit markets have dismantled the asset class's historical role as a universal hedge, necessitating a move toward selective investment in sectors like residential and logistics. While public market REITs face significant dislocations from rising rates and recession fears, the firm highlights opportunities in private distressed assets and evergreen capital structures that leverage specific regional inefficiencies. The outlook for the coming decade demands a departure from broad market exposure, favoring assets with strong pricing power and limited supply constraints over traditional growth cycles.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Why We’re In a ‘Golden Age’ of Life Sciences Innovation
With the life sciences sector valued at over $2 trillion and projected to surpass $5 trillion through innovations like mRNA and cell therapy, analysts Allison Nathan and Amit Sinha characterize the current climate as a golden era driven by advanced genetic tools and supportive regulation. Despite a decade-long market correction caused by unsustainable capital surges and increased clinical trial failures, the industry is adapting by shifting toward private capital scaling and downstream investments in companies with experienced management. This structural evolution aims to sustain the development of critical breakthroughs, such as gene therapies for spinal muscular atrophy and immunotherapies for rectal cancer, while navigating complex supply chain and biological challenges.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Equity Bear Market: A Paradigm Shift?
Allison Nathan, Cathie Wood, Cliff Asness, David Kostin, Kathy Wood
ARK Invest's Kathy Wood, AQR Capital's Cliff Asness, and Goldman Sachs' David Koston analyze the current market correction as a response to surging interest rates and inflation that has severely impacted unprofitable growth stocks. While Wood advocates for a return to high-growth disruptive sectors based on long-term innovation and temporary supply shocks, Asness and Koston argue for sustained value tilts or profitable growth strategies to navigate a structural shift toward higher cost-of-capital realities. The panelists converge on identifying rate-driven valuation regressions but diverge on whether the trend represents a permanent paradigm shift or a cyclical opportunity to acquire quality assets at depressed prices.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
How Retail Investors Are Shaping Markets
John Marshall, Greg Tuorto, David Jeria, Allison Nathan
Retail participation in U.S. equity markets surged to a dominant 30% share of trading volume by 2021 before undergoing a sharp reversal characterized by systematic profit-taking and a structural shift from speculative individual stocks to passive ETFs and energy sectors. This behavioral divergence between active day traders and "buy and hold" investors has altered market liquidity dynamics, driving significant order flow off-exchange and increasing transaction costs for institutional players while prompting SEC Chairman Gensler to explore regulatory reforms aimed at improving price discovery. Despite these structural changes and elevated risks in single-stock herding, analysts project a stable market baseline supported by automatic investment flows, with future retail activity primarily contingent on broader macroeconomic factors such as inflation relative to wage growth.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
What’s Behind the Tech Sell-Off?
Brook Dane, Peter Callahan, Allison Nathan
Following a valuation correction comparable to the 2000 dot-com bust, the technology sector is undergoing a cyclical retrenchment driven by structurally higher interest rates that have compressed multiples for software and semiconductor stocks. While hedge funds have de-leveraged and capital flows have reversed, institutional buyers like Goldman Sachs are accumulating assets at five-to-seven-year lows, targeting resilient sub-sectors such as cybersecurity and AI-driven semiconductors. This strategic repositioning anticipates a market recovery in 2023 and beyond as inflation falls and management teams align operations with a normalized macroeconomic environment.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
Facing Rising Rates, Insurers Turn to Private Assets, Real Estate — Even Crypto
Representing over $26 trillion in global assets, the insurance sector leverages its stable, long-duration capital structure to navigate rising inflation and recession fears while shifting allocations toward private markets and inflation hedges. The 11th edition of the 2022 industry survey, reflecting responses from entities managing half of the global market, highlights emerging crypto adoption, divergent regional ESG strategies, and a focus on solvency amid geopolitical instability. These strategic adjustments aim to capitalize on higher reinvestment yields and lower entry points, ultimately seeking to enhance savings product returns and stabilize future premium rates.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Crypto Volatility: What’s the Outlook for Digital Assets?
Mathew McDermott, Allison Nathan
Hosted by Goldman Sachs between May 3 and May 16, 2022, this discussion analyzes the 30% year-to-date decline in Bitcoin and the TerraUSD collapse as catalysts that distinguished algorithmic risks from asset-backed stability within the evolving digital asset ecosystem. The speakers detail how institutional adoption is accelerating through volatility-focused strategies and regulatory frameworks like the US executive order, while blockchain innovations such as the European Investment Bank's tokenized debt issuance demonstrate T+1 settlement efficiency. Furthermore, the dialogue explores the future trajectory of synthetic CBDCs and retail versus wholesale Central Bank Digital Currencies across 87 countries, projecting a market normalization that balances high venture valuations against the structural benefits of on-chain transparency.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
The Road to 2050: Balancing Climate Goals with Energy Security
Kara Mangone, John Goldstein, Allison Nathan
Amidst geopolitical shifts and energy security concerns, the global financial sector is transitioning ESG from a broad screening metric to a core investment strategy focused on nuanced company analysis and resilience. Major asset owners maintain their net-zero commitments despite market volatility, driving nearly 90% of global GDP into climate-aligned frameworks while capital discipline prioritizes prudent investment timing over divestment. To address critical funding gaps, institutions like Goldman Sachs are leveraging public-private partnerships to mobilize private capital, supported by a strategic pivot toward standardized progress metrics and "EBITDA of decarbonization" that track execution over lagged emissions data.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Changes at the Top: Spinoffs, Separations and Restructurings
Ben Snider, David Dubner, Allison Nathan
Amidst slowing U.S. growth and persistent inflation, the S&P 500 is shifting valuation focus toward high-profit-margin companies, driving a surge in corporate restructuring activities. Global spinoff volume has doubled the five-year average to over $100 billion as management teams prioritize portfolio rationalization and capital allocation efficiency. While transaction structures range from initial-step IPOs to spin-mergers, Goldman Sachs forecasts this trend will persist through 2022 as firms seek to optimize operations against sustained economic headwinds.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
Gene Editing: The Future of Genomic Medicine & Biotech Investing
Salveen Richter, Allison Nathan, Selvine Richter
Gene editing distinguishes itself from traditional gene therapy by utilizing molecular scissors like CRISPR-Cas9 to permanently correct genetic defects in liver, eye, and neurological applications, with recent ex vivo successes for sickle cell disease and the first in vivo proof-of-concept for TTR. As two CRISPR-based therapies approach regulatory filings in 2022 and pivotal studies advance for rare diseases, the industry faces rigorous FDA safety mandates requiring fifteen years of follow-up data alongside complex reimbursement challenges stemming from the high one-time cost of curative treatments. While significant venture capital and pharmaceutical acquisitions drive the integration of next-generation tools like base and prime editing, the field maintains a strict consensus against germline modifications to mitigate ethical concerns and long-term safety risks.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Raising Capital: How Companies’ Financing Strategies Are Changing In Volatile Markets
Driven by Federal Reserve rate hikes and geopolitical instability, global financial markets in early 2022 shifted from accommodation to tightening conditions while robust debt markets facilitated $30 billion in leveraged buyouts and $230 billion in share buybacks. Corporate strategies prioritized capital optimization through conservative leverage, strategic spinoffs, and a pivot in SPAC activity toward profitability-driven deals as redemption rates surged to 80%. Despite heightened equity volatility and credit spread widening, strong balance sheets prepared companies to navigate uncertainty by locking in rates and focusing on resilient, regionalized growth.