Jon Cohen
Showing 1–2 of 2 transcripts.
- All-In Podcast3h 0m
E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, Chamath, Michael Newman, Jon Cohen, Pete Buttigieg, Joe Biden, Jason Calacanis, David Friedberg, David Sacks
Financial markets rallied and betting odds flipped violently as Donald Trump secured critical victories in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, driven by voter backlash against COVID-19 lockdowns and unexpected demographic shifts. While major media networks initially misjudged the election dynamics, the results projected a "soft landing" scenario where a potential Biden presidency coincides with a Republican Senate to ensure government gridlock and fiscal stability. Key swing states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona remain statistically tight, creating uncertainty over whether a clear winner will be declared or if a contested election will extend into early December.
- Milken Institute1h 0m
The Art and Science of Polling
Mollyann Brodie, Jon Cohen, Michael Dimock, Alex Lundry, Margie Omero, Molly Ambroti
A panel of polling experts and campaign strategists analyzed how modern data science and media dynamics reshaped the 2016 election, noting that traditional models failed to predict Donald Trump's rise until online metrics and social media sentiment captured his "black swan" status. While Republican voters were driven by divisive rhetoric and fear, the discussion highlighted a methodological revolution where machine learning and aggregated diverse data sources replaced outdated telephone surveys to identify unarticulated voter preferences. The event concluded by emphasizing that despite industry challenges with response rates and public trust, polling remains an essential democratic check against punditry by validating the broader electorate's mandate.