Goldman Sachs
Showing 301–315 of 533 transcripts.
- 44 min
Private credit investing with Ares Management’s Mike Arougheti
CEO Mike Arrighetti leads Ares Management, a global alternative asset firm overseeing over $400 billion in assets and establishing itself as a premier direct lender through active origination strategies. Under his 2018 succession of co-founder Bennett Rosenthal, the firm has institutionalized a partnership culture while expanding its private credit footprint across aging demographics, regulatory shifts, and emerging markets in Asia and Latin America. Arrighetti projects the sector will sustain 10–15% annual growth driven by bank disengagement and infrastructure demands, a trajectory that aligns with the firm's focus on floating-rate resilience and its broader charitable initiatives.
- 10 min
Biopharma opportunities and macro challenges: A check-up on the industry
Asad Haider, Chris Shibutani, Salveen Richter, Sylvain
Major pharmaceutical and biotech leaders converged to identify GLP-1 agonists and AI integration as primary drivers for a market revised upward to $130 billion, while strategically addressing patent cliffs through aggressive external collaborations and M&A targeting metabolic and neurology assets. Although the biotech IPO window has reopened with nine clinical-stage offerings, investor sentiment remains sensitive to interest rate trajectories and the need for immediate commercial validation of AI-driven discoveries. Consequently, industry capital allocation prioritizes balancing near-term revenue generators with long-term growth catalysts to navigate complex clinical challenges in the central nervous system and cardiovascular disease sectors.
- 29 min
Canva CEO Melanie Perkins on growing an idea into a multibillion-dollar design company
Canva, led by co-founders Melanie Perkins and Cliff Obrecht, has scaled to serve 165 million users and 90% of Fortune 500 companies by leveraging a bottom-up adoption strategy and its proprietary Magic Studio for AI-driven design automation. The company recently pivoted toward "wall-to-wall" enterprise deployment while maintaining profitability, a trajectory supported by its strategic acquisition of visual AI firm Collido and a dedicated trust and safety framework. Guided by a dual mission of commercial growth and social impact, Canva plans to expand its ecosystem to one billion monthly active users by donating equity and profits to eradicate extreme poverty.
- 28 min
A skeptical look at AI investment
Daron Acemoglu, Jim Covello, Alison Nathan
While Goldman Sachs projects generative AI could boost U.S. GDP by 6.1% over a decade, MIT's Darren Acemoglu and Goldman's Jim Covello warn that high infrastructure costs and technical limitations may restrict automation to less than 5% of tasks. Driven by fear of missing out in a competitive "arms race," major technology firms are currently pouring capital into GPU-heavy infrastructure despite the absence of a cost-effective "killer application," sparking concerns that the sector mirrors the overbuild of the 2000 internet bubble. Analysts emphasize that the next 12 to 18 months serve as a critical inflection point where the emergence of tangible business use cases will determine whether this trillion-dollar investment cycle results in sustained productivity gains or a sharp correction in valuations.
- 28 min
Graphcore’s Nigel Toon on advances in semis and an AI-powered future
Experts project that while modern semiconductor progress is slowing and alternatives like quantum computing remain decades away, AI infrastructure will soon host 150 million intelligent agents capable of governing sectors and transforming fields like drug discovery and fusion energy. Led by founders with history-making exits in Intel and NVIDIA, the company Graphcore addresses these shifts by developing specialized hardware and software ecosystems that prioritize application value over raw compute. As the industry moves toward a future where education focuses on fundamental problem-solving rather than coding, the economic landscape will eventually shift from hardware creators to a vast network of developers who leverage machine intelligence to reshape business operations.
- 22 min
Oil’s extended reign? Adapting to a new era in oil markets
Daan Struyven, Nikhil Bhandari, Alison Nathan, Dan Stroivin
Goldman Sachs projects global oil demand will peak around 2034 rather than 2024, driven by emerging market growth in India and China where jet fuel and petrochemical consumption continue to rise despite stagnating EV sales in developed economies. The bank forecasts Brent crude to trade between $75 and $90 per barrel through 2026, supported by OPEC spare capacity, before supply risks intensify in the latter half of the decade due to underinvestment in long-cycle projects and structural tightness in the refining sector. Political outcomes in the 2024 US election may further influence prices through potential sanctions on Iran or changes to EV incentives, with the firm recommending gold over oil as a primary hedge against policy-driven inflation.
- 18 min
Taking stock: Can the US rally continue?
Goldman Sachs U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin raised the firm's year-end S&P 500 target to 5,600, citing resilient earnings expectations despite the index's heavy reliance on just five AI-driven stocks that accounted for 60% of year-to-date gains. While forward valuations remain near historic highs at 21 times earnings, Kostin projects a slight multiple compression to 20.5 times as market participants pivot from AI euphoria to scrutiny over the timing of revenue realization in upcoming earnings reports. The outlook further incorporates potential election-related volatility and tariff uncertainties, with the primary downside risk identified as a rapid valuation correction if AI investment returns fail to materialize alongside robust corporate share repurchase demand.
- 26 min
Large-cap investing with Jennison Associates’ Kathleen McCarragher
Kathleen McCarragher, Betsy Gorton
Kathleen McCarriger, the Head of Growth Equity at Jenison Associates, discusses the firm's fundamental research approach and its substantial success in identifying structural growth opportunities, exemplified by a transformative 2016 Nvidia investment. Leveraging a team with an average of 25 years of industry experience, McCarriger distinguishes current AI spending from historical bubbles while emphasizing a 3-to-10-year client horizon that prioritizes active management outperformance. She further attributes the firm's enduring culture to the legacy of late founder Sig Sigalis and a strict discipline in adhering to known fundamentals rather than speculative trends.
- 26 min
Why the French and UK elections matter for investors
Sharon Bell, George Cole, Alison Nathan
French equity and bond markets have surged into volatility following President Macron's snap election, driven by concerns over the nation's 110% debt-to-GDP ratio and the potential for fiscal slippage under a fractured coalition government. While credit spreads have widened to 2017 levels and the STOXX 600 underperformed the S&P 500 by 5%, the broader European response remains contained, suggesting investors currently view the crisis as a domestic issue rather than a Eurozone-wide threat. In contrast, UK markets have maintained stability ahead of the July 4th election due to clear polling leads for Labour and strict fiscal commitments, highlighting a sharp divergence in investor confidence between the two major economies.
- 29 min
2024 midyear outlook: building portfolios for a more volatile macroeconomic backdrop
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analysts Christian Mueller-Glissman and Alexandra Wilson Elizondo project that while U.S. equities currently trade at all-time highs justified by record Return on Equity, the second half of 2024 will likely face increased volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and upcoming elections in the U.S. and U.K. The firm recommends maintaining a "risk-on" stance with a 60/40 equity-to-bond allocation, emphasizing diversification into AI-driven growth, European value opportunities, and Japanese structural reforms to mitigate late-cycle risks. Furthermore, they highlight specific hedging opportunities in low-cost volatility markets and a strategic tilt toward real assets to buffer against potential inflationary policy shifts while anticipating non-recessionary rate cuts.
- 29 min
Power surge: AI, renewable energy, and the future of electricity
Carly Davenport, Alberto Gandolfi, Brian Singer, Allison Nathan
Global power demand is surging due to generative AI and data center expansion, with US growth forecast to accelerate to a 2.5% CAGR by 2030 while Europe faces similar pressure from electrification plans. Goldman Sachs predicts an "all-of-the-above" generation strategy dominated by natural gas and renewables to support an estimated $50 billion in new US infrastructure investment, even as nuclear adoption shifts toward direct power purchase agreements and small modular reactors. This transition faces significant bottlenecks including multi-year permitting delays, equipment shortages, and grid modernization needs, positioning the sector for a generational investment boom over the next decade.
- 10 min
Hedges, privates and tax alpha: How investors are navigating record-high markets
David Kostin, Padi Raphael, Adam Siegler
The 2024 market outlook highlights robust U.S. equity gains and a decelerated recession risk of 15%, driven by resilient corporate earnings and consumer spending despite elevated valuations. Investors are increasingly utilizing $100 billion structured notes to hedge downside while private credit and extended private market participation offer yield and alpha alternatives as Federal Reserve rate cuts approach. Independent RIA firms are prioritizing technology partnerships and tax-efficient strategies to scale operations and replicate institutional infrastructure while expanding into new asset classes.
- 21 min
Central bank divergence: Why it's happening and why it matters
Jan Hatzius, Peter Praet, Maurice Obstfeld, Alison Nathan
Market participants anticipate a divergence in G10 monetary policy as the European Central Bank prepares to cut rates in June while the U.S. Federal Reserve maintains its stance amid slower domestic disinflation and decelerating GDP growth. Leading economists argue that while this split may strengthen the dollar and trigger currency volatility, it is unlikely to cause systemic instability given deeper debt markets and improved inflation credibility globally. Experts further warn that premature Fed easing could tighten financial conditions too early, whereas sustained policy differences driven by U.S. fiscal expansion may prolong dollar strength and raise protectionist risks.
- 27 min
Can private equity bounce back?
Alex Blostein, Allison Nathan, Mike Nickols, Gina Lytle
Following a period of exceptional growth, the private equity industry is navigating a cyclical reversion marked by subdued returns and a record $2.5 trillion in dry powder, driven by a valuation gap between buyers and sellers and limited institutional capital availability. Goldman Sachs projects a shift toward multi-asset platforms and global expansion, with firms increasingly relying on private credit, secondary markets, and GP-led continuation funds to manufacture returns and provide liquidity in a higher-rate environment. This consolidation trend suggests that future market success will depend on diversification and operational value creation rather than financial leverage, as the sector matures and normalizes its growth trajectory.
- 31 min
Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks on revolutionizing healthcare and medicine
Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks outlines a strategic pivot from the current GLP-1 obesity drug boom to a 2030s focus on brain health and gene therapy, backed by a plan to double R&D spending to $11 billion annually. The company is accelerating development cycles by 50% through a global "follow the sun" manufacturing model and investing heavily in AI-driven discovery to overcome traditional productivity curves, while simultaneously scaling production capacity tenfold to meet demand. To secure future growth, Lilly is shifting toward talent-focused acquisitions and diversifying intellectual property protections against regulatory and political headwinds as it targets the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases and chronic conditions.